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Jo Maugham QC @JolyonMaugham
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
So here's an interesting thing. I am told that Theresa May has put her name to a document promising that there will be no second vote on leaving the EU *within this Parliament*. /1
Why would you feel the need to add those words? Is the plan that if Chequers fails Theresa May will go for a General Election and seek to win Remain votes by offering a referendum? /2
That would be quite a cute strategy - not least because (1) it would be a pretty effective stick with which to chivvy ERG types into supporting Chequers but also (2) if they did call her bluff she'd win *lots and lots* of Remain votes from Labour in a GE. /3
Source is an insider. It also has, to my ear at least, the ring of plausibility. /ENDS
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More from @JolyonMaugham see all

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The point of a "flexible" constitution is that it is responsive to underlying political reality and fits around core principles like Parliamentary supremacy. Its strength is that it cannot be 'gamed' by a constitutional player.

This is what we are, collectively, missing.
This is critical stuff. What Chris Heaton Harris is here saying is that an Executive of a (minority) Government can thwart the will of a Parliament that is said to be supreme. If our constitution means anything it must mean that Chris is wrong.
However the problem is that our approach to the relationship between an Executive that (we assume) will deliver no deal rather than risk no Brexit and a Parliament that (we learned yesterday) will not contemplate no deal is tangled in the weeds of Parliamentary convention.
Read 4 tweets
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Labour is terrified of bringing a vote of no confidence that it knows it will lose because it lacks a plan for what happens next. It's neither in Government nor Opposition.
There is no key Brexit legislation currently before Parliament and we could well leave the EU with no deal before any comes before it.

Labour is chicken, clueless and enabling.
I hate this Government. I hate it for the contempt it has shown for our democratic superstructure: for governance, for the rule of law, and for constitutional norms. But you have to give it this: at least it has a plan. Labour has nothing and is nowhere.
Read 3 tweets
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Absent Laffer curve effects, lifting our top rate to 70% for those paid £2m+ would raise about £6.5bn. But a HMT report found lifting the top rate to 50% raised little because of those effects. But what's oft missed is Govts can reshape the Laffer curve.
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
Here's that HMT 2012 paper google.com/url?sa=t&sourc…
And here's a piece I wrote on Laffer some time ago. waitingfortax.com/2015/09/07/laf…
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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How @DailyMailUK twisted the results of @Survation poll and created a nice little frontpage to support Theresa May with some beautiful YESes in red and some lovely supporting words, even though the front page does not actually reflects the results of the poll...
So, let's have a closer look at some of the questions asked and the ACTUAL answers of voters...
Q1. When UK Govt's negotiations over the terms of Britain's exit from #EU are complete, would you support or oppose holding a People's Vote - a referendum - asking the public their view?

- Support 48% 👈
- Oppose 34%
- Don't know 18%

Large margin 14% to support a #PeoplesVote!
Read 18 tweets
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Here’s the interesting thing about this political moment: men pretending that women haven’t been full-throatedly screaming about & mobilizing against YEARS of attacks on Roe because they’d rather act like we didn’t do/aren’t doing enough than admit they just weren’t listening.
Repro rights groups were & are at the forefront of the fight for justice in statehouses, in Congress, in the courts. If those battle cries didn’t make it into your echo chamber—and if you aren’t working now to help mobilize for the biggest fight of all—that’s entirely on you.
if onLY pROgREssIVES WOulD SEizE on That ENErGy now
Read 8 tweets
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“May has left our fingers in the EU mangle but there is a way to get free”; highly dillusional article by ⁦@DavidDavisMP⁩. 1/

thetimes.co.uk/article/335917…
Take this for example, ditch #EU regulation and replace it in order to reach a trade deal with the US. They will have us for breakfast, forcing further deregulation and acceptance of harmful agri-products. Industry don’t necessarily want it and in services they will squeeze us./2
This; how, what and when? @DavidDavisMP has been Secretary of State for 2 years and hasn’t come up with any substantial and viable proposals, as the technology doesn’t exist. Neither has he strongly engaged with the #EU27 to work this out due to lack of internal HMG agreement. /3
Read 8 tweets
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Any other time, economists would be talking about rising interest rates, ignorant tariffs,
gas prices rising,
huge debt load,
over-inflated stock market,
unregulated greed, &
already in to high-risk investments

Recession imminent‼️

Losing so many jobs, is why low emp #’s!
Read 20 tweets
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Here's an interesting thing about moths.
Moths spend their daylight hours flying directly towards the sun. Each daybreak, all the moths take flight and hurtle frantically towards the horizon. They don't stop until nightfall.
As the sun crosses the sky, the moths follow its arc in a huge loop until they return to earth, some distance to the west. The flight path looks something like this:
Read 11 tweets
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This is gonna be long, but I think it's worth it. A well-regarded twitter poster, let’s call him Giorgio, has recently publish a thread stating among other things as follows. “The pathways to stopping or delaying Brexit are blocked.
But once the mandate is discharged, the pathways to UK rejoining, or being in a close association agreement with EU, within the single market and customs union, will be open, with no obstacles.”
This approach annoys me for two reasons, one because Giorgio seems to be attempting to cajole Remainers to put all activity on hold until we actually leave the #EU.
Read 17 tweets

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