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Is there anyone out there who understands the origin of the estimate that there are only ~400 absentee ballots to be reconsidered in Gwinnett in GA-7? @conorsen @bluestein
I don't really see support for the estimate in the absentee file, which, as I interpret it, implies there are no fewer than 480 ballots in this category and potentially hundreds more. But I could be wrong
With Woodall's lead down to around 500, and these ballots expected to break overwhelmingly to Dems, the difference between 400 and 800 ballots in this category is pretty significant
The only basis for the difference, that I can think of, is that 40% of these people successfully cured their ballots in-person and on election day, which seems possible I guess
I can get down from 480 to 400 with voters who successfully cured their ballot in-person in early voting; presumably the rest would need to be on election day.
Still strikes me as a 'floor,' though given the 395 voters in the 'insufficient oath information' which was previously (perhaps erroneously) reported to include YOB cases
