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Peter Ungphakorn @CoppetainPU
, 8 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
Thanks to @SimonClarkeMP I got to listen to this fascinating session of @CommonsTreasury

But did HRMC affirm there's no need for infrastructure? I think they were saying something quite different. They would be under ORDERS to avoid infrastructure/checks, quite a challenge

1/7
Here's a quote from HRMC:

"I'm not aware of any customs border in the world today that has found the technology that operates completely in that way. So it is a very significant challenge despite the evidence that those witnesses gave. ...

2/7
parliamentlive.tv/event/index/cd…
"... If it was the case that within two years you could have this at a customs border, I'd expect to see lots of countries around the world jumping to do it."

"Two years" = time HMRC said would be needed to set up systems to handle customs clearance

3/7
parliamentlive.tv/event/index/cd…
Earlier HMRC answers included these phrases: "It's really difficult to answer that question. ... We would need further clarity. ... Up to 30 months to do that. ... There's a known unknown. .... It's highly plausible there'll be a queue at Dover."

4/7
parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/cd…
2 yrs first mentioned for setting up a dual tariff system "under the facilitated customs arrangement".

That's "24 months from certainty", ie from the when HMRC is told what arrangement to plan for. If "certainty" in Aug '19, then takes until Aug '21

5/7
parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/cd…
Plus, more time to set up a system for companies that don't know which tariff applies. They'd have to pay the higher one, and claim a rebate later.

HRMC also said no system exists in the world to do that so more time needed.

6/7
Full session: parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/cd…
"Setting up the system" is not just about HMRC's own system. Includes companies, ferries, ports adapting their own systems to link in to HMRC

Brexit may add the challenge of losing access to EU systems & databases, unless new agreements.

Once solution found, backstop ends

7/7
Apologies as usual for typos. Should be HMRC, of course
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Some Brexiters (by no means all) apparently see “no deal” increasingly as a “viable” option, particularly no deal on March 29.

Those who argue in favour, need to address in detail the weight of evidence that it would be seriously harmful for many.

huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/increasi…

1/17
Remember:

1. Arguing against “no deal” is not arguing against Brexit. (It’s sad that this has to be repeated.)

2. “No deal” on March 29, is far worse than a gradual transition to “no deal” over a number of years. And it can’t be a “managed no deal” unless there’s a deal.

2/17
3. Even “no deal” on March 29 won’t mean the end of the world (a phrase used repeatedly), but for many it could mean the end of their present livelihoods.

If it’s a “viable” option, define “viable”.

And for whom?

3/17
Read 20 tweets
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The "transitional arrangement" @bbaschuk refers to is, for now, the proposed Withdrawal Agreement (WA). It has provisions (129.1) specifically dealing with issues such as the WTO's Government Procurement Agreement (GPA)

What needs to be sorted out?

1/10

gov.uk/government/pub…
With the WA, the time to sort out the GPA is extended under the WA's transition period. Without the WA and no consensus in the WTO's Government Procurement Committee (the GPA signatories), UK preferential access is lost.

2/10

Source (paywalled): ….agribusinessintelligence.informa.com/PL218600/New-s… Screenshot of paragraphs in the linked paywalled article quoting a WTO news story in which the UK and EU say the UK will be treated as an EU member until the end of the transition, and Article 129.1 plus footnote of the draft Withdrawal Agreement
The problem isn't the UK's offer (already accepted in principle) but legalese & procedure in the committee's draft decision

@bbaschuk shared a leaked US amendment to the EU's draft committee decision.

It is revealing. This first part is unamended.

3/10

drive.google.com/file/d/1pW-3P0… Screenshot of the top of page 2 of the US proposed draft decision, down to
Read 10 tweets
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This is nonsense.

No one does deals to "escape" the WTO. They remain WTO members, bound by the agreements they made in the WTO.

They get some better terms through free trade deals, but the WTO agreements remain the shell. Those free trade agreements reside within the WTO shell
One of the needs of Brexit (whatever the outcome) is to understand the implications for trade, including the WTO and its agreements.

It doesn't help if influential people like @mikegalsworthy & @Scientists4EU can't be bothered to find out what the WTO really is.

Pointers

1/3
Here's somewhere to start: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2017/12/17/wto…

2/3
Read 4 tweets

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Friends, please listen to me. Don't be duped into crazy ideas and false possibilities. It only leads to disappointment. If someone is saying something, and its only conjecture, then just discard it. Don't chase after false hope. Be a fan of truth, and stick to reality. Think!
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Read 3 tweets
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Tusk: we want to facilitate the ratification protest on continent and the UK - yesterday’s conclusions are quite clear, we have to treat it as a good sign we are ready to reconfirm our reassurances. I have no mandate to reopen renegotiations. I’m always at Theresa May’s disposal
That was after Tusk asked when the talks of reassurances mentioned by PM would happen
Juncker repeats concession from last night - second after Commons sign the deal we’ll start the trade negotiations - it was crystal clear that nobody in room agreed to reopening the Withdrawal Agreement in any way.
The Political Declaration will not be joined with WA (a May ask)
Read 4 tweets
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So according to Security Minister @BWallaceMP it was "stupid" by @The3Million to note that his comment on @BBCRadio4, where he stated that Brexit will give the UK "more powers to exclude people", is not a sign of govt language improving after May's #QueueJumper speech. 1/
Well, @BWallaceMP: your language is not a sign of improvements, as your reply happens to illustrate very well - and not only because of the use of the word "stupid". Who of us EU citizens, in your view, are "not conducive to the public good"? Am not conducive, for example? 2/
Here's what I think is not conducive to the public good: a govt minister going on a radio programme to mislead the public by choosing not to state facts - the UK can exclude people now; the fact that govt chose not to implement options available is something quite different. 3/
Read 4 tweets
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Good evening friends, Happy last Sunday in November, this time next week, it's December already... Hurray!
I'm super excited, I don't know about you, not because of what I have but for what I went through and survived.
#ThanksgivingMode
#Audacious
I want you to also think back and see the things that could have killed you, but you survived. Enough of what we have or don't have, enough of the comparison, it is only those alive and sane that can do that.
#Audacious
Today, we want to quickly look at a topic that keep on resonating, and by God's grace, I will try to do good justice to this topic today.

The title of our broadcast today is WRITE IT DOWN
Follow closely...
#WriteItDown
#Audacious
Read 34 tweets
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(1) My Top Ten Aretha Franklin hits.

No politics tonight. Only soul.🕶️🌟

(2) At the age of 10 I was introduced to the Queen of Soul through this scene in the classic 1980 movie The Blues Brothers.

If for some reason you haven't seen this movie, you know what to do.

#Think

(3) Then I found out Aretha Franklin sang R.E.S.P.E.C.T. in 1967. One of her biggest hits.

Read 17 tweets
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So, it's about time I finally did it. Join me as I play Thief: The Dark Project; I've never got further than The Sword before. Thanks to the No Spiders mod from @adurdin I hope to actually finish it this time. #ThiefTDP
I'll be playing Thief Gold. I have multiple copies of The Dark Project but they'd require me to dig through boxes to find. Thief Gold is the only one reliably available online. I am reserving the right to level skip past the Thieves Guild, though. #ThiefTDP
I'll be using the New Dark version, but sticking to a 4:3 aspect ratio. #ThiefTDP
Read 639 tweets

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