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Robert Peston @Peston
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Labour and @jeremycorbyn won’t press no-confidence vote under Fixed Term Parliament Act till @theresa_may has her chance to renegotiate her deal. They fear if they press for election now they will be seen as putting party before country. So the no-confidence vote will...
...also be shelved till she returns from Brussels with or without an amended Brexit deal. But Labour will press for debate tomorrow so Parliament can try to have a say on her new Brexit negotiating mandate. Let’s see if Speaker allows. PS all other party leaders, SNP, Green,...
...LibDem and Plaid Cymru want no/confidence vote now. Corbyn scheduled to discuss with @NicolaSturgeon I am told
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I put to senior government source whether attached is official NHS advice. This was the reply: “No. This is not an official NHS publication. People should trust advice from official NHS sources. We are confident that if everyone does what they need to do, medicine...
”supplies will be uninterrupted, and patients will get their prescriptions in the usual way”. That said, I understand why anyone with chronic or acute illness will be anxious. If @theresa_may really wants no-deal Brexit to be seen as preferable to a referendum, which...
...apparently she does, then providing credible reassurance to the most vulnerable must surely be top priority.
Read 3 tweets
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For the civil service Brexit is becoming very real indeed. Officials at the Department for International Development, which isn't much affected by Brexit in a direct sense, were told this morning that up to 600 of their number - out of just 3000 - may have to be redeployed to...
...departments that are suffering from staff shortages because of their Brexit workloads. One department they are likely to be seconded to, they were told, is @michaelgove's Department for Environment, Food and Regional Affairs. A source at DFID tells me that it won't be till...
...the new year that anxious DFID civil servants know their fate. Another source told me that this unsought Brexit merry-go-round for civil servants will affect every Whitehall department in some way. There is a widespread sense that planning, for both no-deal and a deal-based...
Read 4 tweets
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Very important decision by @ONS that a proportion of student loans should count as public spending, because they will never be repaid. This has big implications. It means government’s annual deficit rises at a stroke by £12bn or 0.6% of GDP. Which...

blog.ons.gov.uk/2018/12/17/acc…
...in turns means 1) there is much less of a perceived saving for government from lending to students rather than giving grants, or funding universities directly (so makes Labour’s grant abolition more affordable), and 2) reduces scope for @PhilipHammondUK to end austerity
Sorry. Solecism just spotted. I meant “Labour’s loan abolition”, not “grant”. But I know you are all smart enough to know what I was driving at.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Thread on what actually happens if there's a REAL vote of No Confidence.

Theresa May has confirmed there will be a vote on her deal in the week commencing 14th January.

For the sake of argument, let's assume it's Thursday 17th, which is probably the most likely day.

1/10
Assuming the deal is voted down, Jeremy Corbyn will likely be forced to finally put in a Vote of No Confidence in the Government.

Let's assume that vote happens on Friday 18th Jan, and despite their assurances, the DUP rebel and it passes.

2/10
Per the Fixed Term Parliament Act, we then enter a 14 day period of total chaos, where basically any MP can claim that they can hold the support of the commons, be appointed as temporary PM and attempt to pass a motion of confidence.

3/10
Read 11 tweets
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Breaking:
On @skynews now: if PM does not announce a date for meaningful vote Today Corbyn will announce no confidence vote IN PM
Whilst reporting that some pro Brexit campaigners in yellow jackets were shouting misogynist stuff at Kay and that I was “not British” and “a rapist” ... well done all who helped create this situation. Good job.
PM: I can confirm we will return to the Meaningful Vote debate in week commencing 7 January, and have the vote the following week...
Read 12 tweets
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The Tories and their media mates are dodging the question of what happens when May's botched #Brexit deal gets voted out by The Commons.
This Thread is on why the Brexit deal vote is essentially a vote of confidence and why a defeat should mean a General Election.
(1 of 6)
The key concept here is 'confidence'. A government stays in power by having the confidence of the House of Commons. Meaning that it has a majority to pass its business. Losing a vote of confidence means they've 'lost' the House and by convention a General Election is due
(2 of 6)
The #Brexit deal vote is for all intents and purposes a vote of confidence. It is what the Tories have said themselves their government is all about achieving. It's been their excuse for neglect of other areas of policy, like social care. It is a "big set piece" vote.
(3 of 6)
Read 6 tweets
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BREAKING: Labour motion agreed. It’s not absolutely everything we wanted - but it’s close!

Lots of good things:
- Labour will vote AGAINST any deal that fails to meet the 6 tests in full
1/
- labour will not accept No Deal (so that means McCluskey’s bonkers idea of a ref between Tories’ Deal and No Deal is off the table)
- full participation in single market (not sure if that means IN single market but sounds pretty damn close)
2/
- no hard border in Ireland (there was a bit about “for goods, services or people” at one stage but that seems to have been removed)
- vote down May’s deal, call vote of no confidence and then GE (highly unlikely labour can force this because if Fixed Term Parliament Act)
3/
Read 5 tweets
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Anyone want a thread on what in the actual hell is going on in the UK ‘government’ right now? Here we go.....
It took Cabinet 18 months to agree on what Brexit should look like. Entire government has been consumed with Brexit and held hostage by hardline Brexiteers in the Tory party
Cabinet agreed on a soft-ish Brexit last weekend (some freedom of movement and goods). Also soft is Overton Window stuff as 2 years ago, we’d have labelled the plan extreme and hardline
Read 19 tweets
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Quick thread on UK politics.
Help me out here. Parliament clearly doesn't want a cliff-edge Brexit, but Brussels may make that the only choice, other than a very soft Brexit (which the EU thinks is the only solution to the Irish border issue). 1/9
But what happens if parliament votes to yield to the EU, and soften Brexit; and then refuses to boot the government out in a confidence motion? Every outcome seems implausible. 2/9
First and easiest solution: Theresa May stays on and negotiates Brexit on parliament's terms. But it seems really difficult for that to happen. It would be like David Cameron staying on to deliver Brexit in 2016. 3/9
Read 9 tweets

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