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Why Theresa May might want a GE
- Chance to get rid of Bercow
- Chance to dump policies that have been neglected due to Brexit ("No, that was the *last* Parliament.")
- A few of the ERG just might be knobbled and lose their seats
- Ditto the biggest thorn in her side Remainers
- Chance to get rid of Bercow
- Chance to dump policies that have been neglected due to Brexit ("No, that was the *last* Parliament.")
- A few of the ERG just might be knobbled and lose their seats
- Ditto the biggest thorn in her side Remainers
- Buys a few months with a "reasonable" excuse to extend A50, rather than just "teacher, I couldn't be bothered to do my homework."
- She might win a majority (v unlikely but not impossible)
- Forces Labour to come down off the Brexit fence they've been on the last 2.5 years
- She might win a majority (v unlikely but not impossible)
- Forces Labour to come down off the Brexit fence they've been on the last 2.5 years
- She might lose. Then she can retire into the sunset, and the dumpster fire of Brexit becomes Someone Else's Problem
- It reinforces her authority (survived Tory vote of no confidence, Labour vote of no confidence, and GE)
- Holds Tory party together a few more months
- It reinforces her authority (survived Tory vote of no confidence, Labour vote of no confidence, and GE)
- Holds Tory party together a few more months
- Strengthens her hand for her deal, if it's baked into the Tory Manifesto
Reasons *not* to have a GE (strictly from TM's point of view, not anyone else's)
- Um
- Er
- No, that's it
Reasons *not* to have a GE (strictly from TM's point of view, not anyone else's)
- Um
- Er
- No, that's it
Remember, Labour have been banging on about a GE like a stuck record for ages. So they pretty much have to vote in favour if TM tries to call one. She only needs to carry about half her party along as well, and bingo that's a 2/3 majority in favour of dissolving Parliament.
