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Jed Shugerman
@jedshug
, 3 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
Paging @kateshaw, paging @kateshaw stat:
What do you make of this kind of presidential speech weighing against claim of emergency?
(See Shaw on Pres Speech, papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…)
cc: @gtconway3d @EricColumbus @McDeereUSA @Shalev_Roisman @rroiphe @becingber
2/ I'm also flagging this outstanding new paper from @Shalev_Roisman on presidential fact-finding, super relevant today.
cc: @jacklgoldsmith
3/ And if we may, these questions are relevant to good faith and faithful execution of the laws and faithful execution of the office, as understood historically as deference to the legislature, limitations of executive power, and a duty of loyalty.
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More from @jedshug see all

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Jed Shugerman
@jedshug
Kushner/Brookfield bailout update, Flynn edition:
@WendySiegelman (linked here) and I have been two of the people focusing the closest on the Brookfield bailout of Kushner 666 5th Ave.
Beyond Qatar's link, why would Brookfield bail out Kushner?
We are learning more from Flynn. 1/
2/ Last week, Qatar officials were scrambling to @reuters with the utterly disingenuous claim that its bailout of Kushner through Brookfield was "unwitting." I wondered if Qataris knew something was going to break. Maybe it was the Flynn news today?
3/ A timeline, drawing from the House Oversight Report for @RepCummings, linking Flynn, Kushner, Westinghouse, and Brookfield:
"Whistleblowers Raise Grave Concerns w/ Trump Administration’s Efforts to Transfer Sensitive Nuclear Technology to Saudi Arabia"
assets.documentcloud.org/documents/5743…
Read 23 tweets
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Jed Shugerman
@jedshug
What is a high misdemeanor?
Historically, a fiduciary breach of the duties of office, including:
"Acting outside authority...and issuing unlawful and irregular orders" (Comyns, 1780)
See Robert Natelson (building on a 1975 article by Rogers and Young) 1/
fedsoc.org/commentary/pub…
2/ "At the federal convention, Madison argued that an impeachment procedure for the President was necessary because:
'it [was] indispensable that some provision should be made for defending the Community agst [sic] the incapacity, negligence or perfidy of the chief Magistrate...
3/ Madison continued on the basis for high misdemeanors and removal: "He might lose his capacity after his appointment. He might pervert his administration into a scheme of peculation or oppression. He might betray his trust to foreign powers.”
Read 7 tweets
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Jed Shugerman
@jedshug
Qatar's bailout of Kushner's 666 5th Ave disaster.
Follow-up:
How do we know if the Brookfield $1.3 billion deal for a 99-year lease (but without taking title!) was a sweetheart bailout for Kushner?
The devil is in the 666 details. And they are secret. Analysis here 1/
2/ I posted this long blog post on the deal's details and financing here. It's very detailed. Here are some bottom lines in this thread.
shugerblog.com/2018/12/18/mor…
3/ In 2007, the Kushners bought 666 5th Ave. for $1.8 billion - at the top of the real estate bubble just before the crash. It was never worth $1.8 B in the first place, as you can read in a ton of different articles.
vanityfair.com/news/2018/05/k…
Read 13 tweets

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Matthew J. Becker 🌟🌟🌟
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ArsonCrafts
@visionsurreal
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@visionsurreal
cc: @thespybrief
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Femi
@Femi_Sorry
See you in Darlington at 5am👍🏿 if you fancy meeting up before the event below, just reply to this tweet.
facebook.com/events/2215903…
If it's anything like last time I was in Darlington, this should be fun!!
So if you're around #darlington, I hope to see you at our event tomorrow. 👍🏿
facebook.com/events/2215903…
Read 5 tweets
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Andrew Goodman-Bacon
@agoodmanbacon
Does your diff-in-diff treatment variable turn on at different times? Of course! Most of them do!

nber.org/papers/w25018

Very happy to share my paper showing how DD with variation in treatment timing works and what that means in theory and practice. 1/29
So…

Maybe there are untreated units and units treated at different times.

Maybe you ONLY have variation in timing (ie. everyone winds up treated).

Essentially your data look like this: 2/29
We add “two-way fixed effects” for units and times to our regression. But what comparisons actually get made in this case? Where did the elegant DD expression in terms of sample means go? 3/29
Read 30 tweets
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emptywheel
@emptywheel
You guys: Roger Stone thinks I suck.

😢

Even worse, he's not threatening to sue me this time.
Here's the post that made Roger Stone so cross.

emptywheel.net/2018/09/05/rog…
Also, if Roger Stone calls me a #See You Next Tuesday can I call him a rat-fucker on TV?
Read 3 tweets

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