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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Brexit: we need them more than they need us...
UK exports to the EU: about 50%
EU exports to the UK: about 8%

UK & EU trade deals now: 80+
UK trade deals after Brexit: 7 so far
EU trade deals after Brexit: 80+

EU population: 510 million
UK population: 65 million
UK reliance on food imports from EU: 30%
EU reliance on food imports from UK: low (less than £10 billion out of £100+ billion imports from non-EU countries; doesn't even take into account international EU trade)
More than 8 out of 10 passenger cars made in the UK are exported.
Less than 4 out of 10 passenger cars (38.3%) made in the EU27 are exported.

UK buys 281,232 domestically produced cars.
EU27 buys 9,032,086 domestically produced cars.
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
I've taken a very candid look at Brexit already on many occasions. Now it's time to turn the spotlight on what revoking Article 50 and staying in the EU would be like in practice. No holds barred.
Let's get the legal stuff out of the way first. The UK has an absolute right to unilaterally revoke Article 50 any time. The EU can only block the request if it's insincere. In other words, we can't fake-cancel Brexit then restart the process a few days later. We have to mean it.
If we did cancel Brexit, we would be entitled to stay in the EU under our existing membership conditions. We will retain all our vetoes, rebates, special dispensations etc. That too is a matter of law.
Read 35 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Remember yesterday's "Bribes for Brexit" scandal, in which Theresa May tried to buy Labour votes for her deal in exchange for £1.6 billion in funding for poorer areas? Now they won't even publish which towns would get the money...
thetimes.co.uk/article/d0329b…
Presumably the "logic" is that, if the money isn't specifically seen in advance to be going to Area X, then the MP of Area X can vote for TM's frankendeal without nakedly being bribed. Rubbish logic, of course, like all things Brexit-related, but I imagine that's the sequence.
Oh, and just as a refresher: the same areas that would be getting the £1.6 billion currently benefit from over £10 billion in EU regional development funding. So it's not a generous ploy by our benevolent Government, but a massive punch in the face disguised as something else.
Read 4 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
A 21-month Article 50 extension seems like it could maybe be on the cards.

PROS
- Puts paid to no-deal danger for a long time
- Allows for A50 revocation (which transition would not)
- Gives measure of stability to businesses (but see CONS below)
- Gives time for a People's Vote
- Gives time for a General Election
- Gives time for Brexit preparedness, including proper scrutiny of the necessary laws
- May allow criminal court cases against Leave to complete
- May enable EU to complete additional trade deals (and full benefits of Japan/Canada to kick in)
CONS
- Prolongs uncertainty (will we see variants of TM's deal again and again and again)
- Likely to bring a change of PM (if you think that's good, imagine a hard Brexiter in charge of negotiations!)
- May go beyond Speaker's term
- Doesn't actually resolve anything
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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Isolated Brit
@IsolatedBrit
The destruction of UK Agriculture in exchange for lower-standard US imports. This is why we're leaving the EU? #Brexit
The dismantling of UK Banking/Services & their relocation to Europe. This is why we're leaving the EU? #Brexit
The destruction of UK car industry. That's why we're leaving the EU? #Brexit
Read 22 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
So the #brexit debate is still fogged by confused and wishful thinking.

Here's what I think I know, after chats with both sides. 1/Thread
Let's start with the negotiation in Brussels where @Geoffrey_Cox is trying to secure enough changes to the backstop to change his legal advice that the Irish backstop is a potentially permanent trap.

There was a reason he didn't make his promised speech last week... /2
@Geoffrey_Cox It's because he's struggling (and going to struggle) to get what the ERG wants: either a 'time-limit' or an 'exit mechanism' from the Irish backstop.

My understanding is that discussion is not on time limits, but on "elucidating" the exit-mechanism process/ 3
Read 20 tweets
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Mark Stone
@Stone_SkyNews
Ahead of @theresa_may’s latest visit to Brussels, where are we with #Brexit?!

A not-so-short thread which I hope simplifies a seemingly never-ending process but one which could have an abrupt end in less than 40 days. /1
Some context first: The key problem is the backstop - the Irish Protocol to us its proper name

It’s a section of the Withdrawal Agreement (WA) - a 585-page legal text which, together with a shorter Political Declaration (PD), forms the divorce treaty between UK & the EU. /2
The two texts - the WA & the PD - were the consequence of nearly two years of negotiations.

They were finalised + agreed by both the UK government (@10DowningStreet) and the EU (@EU_Commission) late last year. /3

(Skip to tweet 10 in the thread if you know this background!)
Read 25 tweets
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets
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Paul Chaplin #FBPE 🇪🇺
@CottlestonPie
I'm currently at this #Brexit conference in Copenhagen, where the British ambassador and several #DExEU officials will be on panels with representatives of Danish trade and security. It'll be very interesting to see what's said, especially in light of May's recent Munich speech.
And now that I'm not desperately trying to keep up with livetweeting it, I shall turn my mess of self-retweets into a proper thread. #Brexit #BrexitDK
acknowledges #Brexit will have challenges; emphasises no naïveté regarding "land of milk and honey". Refreshing sense of pragmatism; we'll see how #DExEU and DK reps present it.

#BrexitDK
Read 55 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

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