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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
A 21-month Article 50 extension seems like it could maybe be on the cards.

PROS
- Puts paid to no-deal danger for a long time
- Allows for A50 revocation (which transition would not)
- Gives measure of stability to businesses (but see CONS below)
- Gives time for a People's Vote
- Gives time for a General Election
- Gives time for Brexit preparedness, including proper scrutiny of the necessary laws
- May allow criminal court cases against Leave to complete
- May enable EU to complete additional trade deals (and full benefits of Japan/Canada to kick in)
CONS
- Prolongs uncertainty (will we see variants of TM's deal again and again and again)
- Likely to bring a change of PM (if you think that's good, imagine a hard Brexiter in charge of negotiations!)
- May go beyond Speaker's term
- Doesn't actually resolve anything
- Adds to the costs (Brexit prep, plus ongoing EU contributions in parallel)
- May further fan the rise of the far right

Overall, I think the prize of avoiding no-deal pips it, but it's neither straightforward nor clear cut.
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
You know the service sector, the one that makes up 80% of our economy. The one that hardly gets mentioned in Brexit discussions. Do you know WHY it never gets brought up? Because it's so politically toxic, it would be the equivalent of deliberately urinating on an electric fence.
Yes, that's right. In the event of a no-deal Brexit, *nothing* stays the same for UK firms exporting services to the EU/EEA and EFTA countries. Good luck with that!
gov.uk/government/col…
So, like He Who Shall Not Be Named, MPs shy away from mentioning the service sector, the Voldemort of Brexit. Doesn't mean that elephant of a problem isn't there. Just means it's not getting a fraction of the attention it deserves.
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
One of the problems with the Brexit debate is that people misunderstand the use of qualifiers around Brexit-related predictions. ("might", "could", "may" etc.). For example "The UK might be subject to 10% tariff on cars." But the doubt isn't around the value of the tariff.
That's 10%. fixed by the EU's WTO schedule. So IF we end up trading with the EU on WTO terms, we WILL (not "might" or "may") be subject to that 10% tariff on cars. The uncertainty is there because, with 23 days left, we still don't know which version of Brexit we're getting.
In other words, we know a lot of things for definite. But we don't know whether those clearly defined things will happen or not. Brexiters get confused between the likelihood of them happening, and the likelihood of them being true - not the same thing!
Read 6 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Neatly illustrates the problem with #r4today - it's not an isolated incident, but a daily occurrence. Somebody will come on (usually pro-Brexit) and lie, lie, lie, until the airwaves crackle. But are they held to account? Are they ever! Facts, unlike opinions, don't have 2 sides.
The height of Nelson's column doesn't change based on your political leanings, neither does the chemical composition of water. The reality around us is filled with things that should be beyond doubt. And decades of stats tell us that US food is less safe - period, end of story.
Thing is, what the politicians don't say (because it's so politically toxic) is that it's the poorest who will suffer most. So long as food *labelling* laws are strong, those with means will be able to avoid US products. Those who can't will be forced to face the consequences.
Read 3 tweets

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Sean ⭐⭐⭐
@Cordicon
M.O.A.B? MAYBE.

Made this the DAY Maddog & @realDonaldTrump dropped the MOAB on ISIS Caves 💪🏼🇺🇸...

First sentence “Hold my beer watch this. We bout to drop the Morher Of All Bombs on ISIS”

#PAIN #MAGA
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David Henig
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No she isn't. She's close to a majority for an imaginary deal the EU told her they didn't accept 18 months ago. That isn't leadership but abdication.
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ProPublica: Russian oligarch-linked firm that paid Michael Cohen was also represented by long time Trump lawyer Marc Kasowitz. (THREADED)
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Jennifer Cohn
@jennycohn1
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Eketi Edima Ette
@eketiette
Are you one of those people who's looked back on 2017 and convinced yourself that you haven't achieved anything? Worried about catching up with your mates who seem to have done much better?

Let me tell you a story about #time.

A thread 👇
A long #time ago, back when I was about twelve or thirteen years old, my parents travelled to Uyo.

Before leaving, my mother asked me to prepare Edikang ikong soup so she and my father would eat when they returned.
When I was finished with the soup, it was supposed to look something like this:

*photo credit: waiter foodies.
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