, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Norway is a very useful case study. Were at Tanf, commiserate to D-IS mandate. Once the D-IS mandate ended and the mission morphed to blocking an Iranian land bridge, Norway withdrew b/c there was no longer a legal mandate. As US ask Euros for troops, the D-IS mandate matters
So as the US celebrates the Turmp letter to Congress that emphasizes Iran, it actually makes the demarche to European states harder for them to fulfill because the mandate is so nebulous. Would be wise to focus only on IS and never, ever mention Iran. The Norway precedent matters
Further, in the concurrent talks with the Turks, Ankara has not changed its position: Turkey must control the safe zone through a heavy TSO presence backed by TSK. This is at odds with the US and European position. A Turkish run safe zone is about the SDF, not D-IS.
As it becomes clear IS is militarily defeated with the looming SDF announcement, this will only get harder.
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