Thread by @VMuppi

Analyze this Saudi interest in Indo-Pak relations :
indianexpress.com/article/india/…
Saudi Deputy Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir will arrive in New Delhi tomorrow for merely four hours and twenty five minutes to meet PM @narendramodi and EAM @SushmaSwaraj
#PakIsNukeNude
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Reams were written on geopolitics and how US's and Chinese interests in keeping Pak alive to check on India and also Asia to Central Asia etc. Saudi is like Islamic fountain head and has certain brotherhood stuff but what're stakes in Indo-Pak conflict? #PakIsNukeNude
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Here are some important tweet series during recent Air Strikes standoff and the days after the India's Air Strikes. Three special cargo planes left Pak to Saudi during standoff.
threader.app/thread/1101157…
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1101344…
#PakIsNukeNude
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Then go thru this thread

https://twitter.com/ShilpiTiwari5/status/1101155770949787650

Are they just looking like amateur rambles and conspiracy theories.
#PakIsNukeNude
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And here is one more:

https://twitter.com/sarpamedha/status/1101138806969839617

Let us for a minute say this is also amateur and some conspiracy theory.
#PakIsNukeNude
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One more with more elegantly put -

https://twitter.com/RajaramMusings/status/1101354529734320128

Let us for a minute say this is elegant but ramble
#PakIsNukeNude
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Here is the twist (more smoke. Remember no smoke without fire):
#PakIsNukeNude
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This one plane never came to Pakistan ever. It chose the one day when their airspace was closed. Timing's new definition
#PakIsNukeNude
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See the service type here -
planefinder.net/data/flight/SV…

This plane shut off its transponder after it entered KSA airspace
#PakIsNukeNude
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Okay let us give a break. All these are some Indu Twitter jingoes. But here is the BBC article of 2013
bbc.com/news/world-mid…
Saudi Arabia has invested in Pakistani nuclear weapons projects, and believes it could obtain atomic bombs at will ...
#PakIsNukeNude
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Frequent Saudi visits and the cargo ( like the famous Kunduz lift after 9/11) is not some theory but there is substance because the Nukes have owners, storage location and trigger-owners. A joint venture between USA, China, Saudi but located in Pak.
#PakIsNukeNude
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So now the question is why now and what changed? If the Nukes are in Pak for so long why remove them now. why can't all these powers do the same thing to India and continue?
#PakIsNukeNude
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The answer is simple. India called the Nuke bluff and threatened to blast all bunkers and storage where these are stored. India has acquired (tech, tracking and weapons) what is needed to attack a nation that has Nukes.
#PakIsNukeNude
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It reminds me a general childhood school experience. A small kid takes his very big brother to threaten his other better fighting kids of his class as he can't directly do anything even one on one .
#PakIsNukeNude
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The big bro won't hit but tell his small bro to hit them. As they know the power of big guy, they take the blows. One day the small kids decide to smash the smaller one with a big instrument which will make the big bro to first attend the first aid.
#PakIsNukeNude
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Also all the countries has no use to fight with India on behalf of Pak and also maintain Pak as a Nuke state for ever. The geopolitical dividends are far lesser than having better relations with India for its size of economy.
#PakIsNukeNude
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Let us take another tangential story from Mahabharat. Bakasur is a demon who eats buffallows/oxen, humans and also carts and cart of food. The villagers gets into a deal with him and they will send two calves, one human and cart full of food per week
#PakIsNukeNude
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An attrition mode for the village to slowly die off with a hope that one day something good can happen and rest can survive. Bheema comes and kills Bakasur to rescue the village from the attrition.
#PakIsNukeNude
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Just like that village in the Bakasur story, India also has created a defensive attrition model with Pak's terror factory after the major powers gave Nukes to Pak.
#PakIsNukeNude
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After 1971 debacle the west realized that Pak's ability to stay as a nation is doubtful. But it needed one for the geopolitical equations. It is needed as a check to be used against Russia in Afghan theatre and also exploit its perineal hatred of India.
#PakIsNukeNude
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The west actively helped to radicalize the population and make Pak armed forces as leading force to send Mujahideens (later Al Quida) to defeat Russia in Afghanistan. But to keep them spirited, the same elements need to do Jihad on India via Kashmir.
#PakIsNukeNude
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India always has abilities to break Pak to smithereens. But West needed India to absorb the hits in Kashmir for its goals against Russia. There is no assurance or confidence that India will tolerate.
#PakIsNukeNude
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At that situation to enable longevity of Pak, the west transferred the Nukes to Pak. Called them as Islamic bombs and gave ownership to Mecca but the maintenance contract was to China. (read small kid threatening other kids via big kid story).
#PakIsNukeNude
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India does not have the abilities to take out all of Nukes and also survive and thrive on. It is a civilizational state trying to revive and grow to make its population prosperous out of poverty.
#PakIsNukeNude
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India will go back 50+ years in the madness if hit by a nuke. So it adopted an attrition mode as it has large population. Created multiple paramilitary forces and created defenses. Lost many civilians and forces but kept on improving by reducing losses.
#PakIsNukeNude
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A Bakasur model with a hope that one day it will have abilities to call the bluff.
#PakIsNukeNude
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The moment India has multiple missiles and also a sailing Nuke deterrent in the seas with a clear and assured second strike capability, the moment of defeating Bakasur arrived.
#PakIsNukeNude
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India also has proved via Doklam standoff that cost to China will be high and why would China fight and get bruised (even if it can defeat India) for a nonsense called Pakistan.
#PakIsNukeNude
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When India finally decided to hit deep into Balakot, it actually hit deep bunkers to send a message. It is not just terrorists or causalities, but it had hit things that gave ample proof to take the Nukes far away from Pakistan.
#PakIsNukeNude
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The Bakasur is killed. The attrition model is dying. A new era is emerging and what remains to be seen is if the big boy decides to make it official that Pakistan is nuke nude.
#PakIsNukeNude
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It may actually happen pretty soon as soon as more strikes happen and once the Pakistan public knows that their Armed forces are not what they think off. Few more independent states start asserting themselves out of so called nation.
#PakIsNukeNude
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In an interview at the Carnegie Endowment foreign policy think tank), Khalid Kidwai (Pakistan''s National Command Authority at that time) was asked by a former US diplomat & International Institute for Strategic Studies (think tank) fellow, Mark Fitzpatrick

#PakIsNukeNude