* Deal (WA with backstop)
+ some changes to PD (but hard/soft ambiguity)
+ more domestic oversight/parliamentary process for new negotiation phase.
* PM departs (summer)
* broad expectation of Autumn/Spring GE (includes harden/soften/return)
- maybe for referendum (though still looks short)
- or because replace transition/backstop with membership during phase 2 gets unusually broad coalition, inc on right.
Seems less likely to me. (could well end in 2021 referendum)
- Certainly not by design
- While it could happen by accident, it is difficult to see why the March Extend/Delay coalition would break-up & so acquiesce to No Deal in July.