, 6 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Extension.
There not a clear automatic majority, let alone unanimity, among EU27 for an extension.Different ideas conditions and length of extension
Extensions short or long will have lots of conditions and must come with a plan, EU will want MPs to decide on revoking Brexit, a second referendum or a soft exit
EU leaders, will according to most diplomats, extend until end of June as a relatively easy option.
The 23 May date is about pressure. One possibility is to set conditions, extend for 6 weeks with conditions that MPs must decide on revoke, referendum or soft Brexit to get a longer extension
May’s comments last night noted. She told MPs last night that for an extension they must decide whether to cancel Brexit, long extension for second vote or to negotiate Boles EEA+/Corbyn's customs union. A soft Brexit could conceivably mean extension until end June
UK can infringe EU rules if #EUCO gives green light - as any court action will take time. Elections could be held after the summer, poss in September. Countries taking hardest line on May elections are France (but Macron said to personally back long delay), Spain & Netherlands
To sum it up: a very badly damaged May is going to have to persuade EU leaders on an extension. It is by no means a given. As MPs drop no deal Brexit, EU will do the opposite and step up the threat of no deal. It now has maximum leverage
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