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Laura Kuenssberg
@bbclaurak
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
1. We've just done an interview with Geoffrey Cox - he says it's 'an article of faith' that Brexit happens, eurosceptics would have 'bitten off the arm' of the PM 5 yrs ago for a compromise like the one that might happen with Labour
2. Cox, who was crucial in Cabinet yday said 'if it is a choice between leaving and a customs union, then I will take leaving every single time' - tells colleagues they have to be prepared to move the red lines in order to get out
3. Cox won't be drawn on whether govt might offer Labour legal guarantees on any compromise that might be reached, but he is very clear, long term relationship can be changed at a later date under different govt - story online soon
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More from @bbclaurak see all

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Laura Kuenssberg
@bbclaurak
So few thoughts from the train on this pretty weird situation.....
1. UK asking for short delay but expects to get a long way 2. Tusk pushing for long delay but it’s far from settled - as me and @BBCkatyaadler have been reporting, short delay still poss - Tusk and Macron don’t seem to be in same place so tonight’s meeting might be v stormy
3. PM who always kept leaving without deal on the table, now willing to do almost anything to avoid it 4. She has to show political process with Labour constitutes a plan, when it is a process, miles off anything agreed
Read 8 tweets
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Laura Kuenssberg
@bbclaurak
1. PM's just arrived at Elysee Palace to see Macron - absolutely vital meeting - he and others are unlikely to refuse her request for extension, but there's a political cost at home for asking for delay at all, and EU might attach rather a lot of strings
2. LOTS of different views around Westminster and diplomatic circuit about where discussions will end up on delay - some believe a tight deadline end of June is more likely to put pressure on cross party talks to bear some kind of fruit
3. Most common view seems to consensus around long extension - some noting 9 month is the longest when there is a good bet that Theresa May would be around to conclude Brexit phase one, because after that, Tory MP s can have another go at ousting her
Read 5 tweets
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Laura Kuenssberg
@bbclaurak
1 Almost end of a long week in SW1 altho Lords look like they'll be going for quite some time yet - Cross party talks sound like they are serious and genuine, negotiators got into the guts of both their positions and technical details today
2. I'm told there might be more contacts tonight - not more face to face talks but it's all very live - skeptism is labour circles over whether govt is doing more so far than trying to explain merits of its deal, rather than suggest areas where they might budge
3. But this isn't just a stunt - suggestions it might be clear by tomorrow afternoon if process will actually be able to deliver anything, but talks, as we know, often turn to more talks, and more talks, and more talks
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

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Christopher James
@ChrisJames_90
THREAD 🧵🤓

🗳 What are #Brexit Indicative Votes?

🤔 How will the process work?

💡What ideas have been tabled?

🚨 Bare with me on this one... hopefully it’s worth a couple of minutes ☕️ 🚆 🚌
On Monday, MPs approved Sir Oliver Letwin’s proposal to give control of the Commons Order Paper on Wednesday 27 March to backbench MPs so that they could hold indicative votes on alternatives to the Prime Minister’s #Brexit deal.
The decision to back ‘The Letwin Amendment’ was seen as controversial as it disapplied a Commons rule - Standing Order 14(1) - which says that the Government largely controls what business is debated in the House.
Read 25 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
PM will soon address EU leaders at Brussels summit. She normally speaks for approx 15 mins. EU leaders can then ask her questions but they won't all sit and 'negotiate' together. After questions, Theresa May will leave the room so the 27 leaders can debate amongst themselves /1
EU leaders reject narrative that there's only 2 options now: Theresa May's deal or a no deal #Brexit . They will also debate option of a longer extension if the deal is rejected again by parliament next week /2
EU sees no 'ideal' solution here. They don't like idea of a long extension or rolling short extensions with permanent threat of a no deal #Brexit round the corner ("We've had enough drama" one EU diplomat told me) BUT leaders will want to avoid a no deal Brexit if they can /3
Read 4 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
SO. #Brexit boils down to how - or if - the UK can ever leave the dreaded Irish backstop.

There is talk of a "review mechanism". So what might that be? How might it work?

Some thoughts after chats with both sides + experts 1/Thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
Let's start from the point of agreement.

Both sides say backstop is
a) necessary
b) temporary
c) should be superseded by future relationship

So there does need to be what one EU source calls an "unwinding" mechanism. /2
The problem (before we get to the detail of that mechanism) is that no-one can see what version of the Future Relationship can deliver on UK commitment to no return to a hard border in Ireland.

May's dual tariff or 'MaxFac' unicorns are dead. /3
Read 17 tweets
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Pieter Cleppe
@pietercleppe
Senior sources say UK prime minister May has secured private #Brexit concessions from Brussels that will allow her to keep the whole of Britain in a customs union, avoiding a hard border in Northern Ireland thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/r…
EU concession 1: The EU will write an all-UK customs deal into the legally binding withdrawal agreement so an EU-designed “backstop” treating Northern Ireland differently from the UK mainland is not required
EU concession 2: There will be an “exit clause” to convince Eurosceptics the UK will not be under the EU's customs regime for ever
Read 8 tweets
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. The one component missing from #Brexit is an intellectual foundation. Eurosceptics once had one. There was a committee meeting twenty years ago in a Salisbury farmhouse twenty years ago and that's the last time we collectively gave it any thought.
2. At the core of it, the one thing we all agree on in the Benn/Foot angle on democracy - but there has never been agreement on an alternative vision. The old boys wanted the Commonwealth whereas some wanted to revive Efta.
3. A common strand has been an aversion to regulation and red tape and collectively eurosceptics have never really understood the economic utility of regulatory harmonisation. It was largely seen as a sinister integrationist device.
Read 21 tweets

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