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Tamara Cohen
@tamcohen
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Liam Fox letter to Tory MPs pulverises Labour’s customs union: “we would be stuck in the worst of all worlds”
Interested to hear @anandMenon1 view of whether it’s right on the detail?
Labour point out to me that they do not want a similar customs deal to Turkey. In Brussels they’ve discussed replicating the current customs union and rolling over EU trade deals.
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Tamara Cohen
@tamcohen
May wants to speak to Jeremy Corbyn to find a consensus deal based on current withdrawal agreement, and will ask for an extension to get it through.

House could vote on a number of options for the future relationship.

The red lines likely to be rubbed out.
The next question - can cabinet brexiteers possibly wear it?

Last two marathon cabinets - Chequers (July) and signing off the deal (nov) both resulted in resignations.
Epic change of strategy here

Admission that securing deal on Tory and DUP votes has failed, and that May doesn’t want no deal

We knew getting it through on Labour votes could work, but at risk of Tory split

ERG and beyond will be raging, as well a lot of the party membership
Read 3 tweets
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Tamara Cohen
@tamcohen
John Mann says he’s likely to vote for the deal on Tuesday and suspects he won’t be the only Labour MP to do so #Ridge
Mann says the PM gave him indications the government would give legally binding assurances of “the highest standards” for workers’ pay and conditions when we leave
He says Labour support won’t be enough to take Mrs May over the line on Tuesday but will help. He thinks the worst option would be an extension of article 50
Read 3 tweets

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Jon Stone
@joncstone
customs union defeated narrowly:
264 - 272
The Independent Group voted AGAINST Ken Clarke’s motion for a customs union, would have passed with their votes
33 Tory MPs backed a customs union, 1 Lib Dem
Read 5 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. I don't really pay much attention to #Labour Twitter. It;s not really saying anything worth my time. The right of the party are all Blairite remainers who I've always hated since they embody the worst of left wing paternalism and snobbery. Thread...
2. The left of the party however, is a shitshow of hipster communists and gobby younglings who know fuck all about nine tenths of anything, pushing a socialist agenda they don't understand much less comprehend the implications of it.
3. Then as I understand it, their fondness for Brexit is based on some half understood notions about competition rules and state aid - but in actuality they couldn't give a toss about Brexit. They're just at war with the FBPE morons since they attack Corbyn. Purely tribal.
Read 20 tweets
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Adrian Yalland
@AdrianYalland
Right, here we go. Please fasten seat-belts and make sure your trays are stowed in an upright position, and prepare for rebuttal of the @peoplesvote_uk "dodgy dossier" (this may be a long one....... there is a lot to rebut). You may wish to take tea and come back in an hour.
Essentially the #PVdodgyDossier repeats a few easy-to-discredit old anti-EEA myths, with a smattering of deeper research meant to be authoritative yet isn't. Shame as the author @jonlis1 is a solid researcher let-down by not knowing the law & having his work "edited" by PV.
I have covered two of the myths ("rule taker" and "continuing contributions") in this article. reaction.life/eea-efta-can-f… This is probably as good a place to start as any to understand why the #PVdodgyDossier is so unreliable.
Read 103 tweets
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Jonathan Lis
@jonlis1
Credit here to Nick. I was very critical of Norway for Now. Norway Plus is basically what we were campaigning for for a year: permanent single market, effectively a permanent customs union.

And yet. It is still the worst of all worlds. We don’t have to settle for this. 1/
Think why people so angry about current deal. It gives us integration but without any meaningful say or vote over our rules. Norway Plus is current deal on steroids. Max integration, zero vote. No increased prosperity; drastically reduced sovereignty. Why on earth would we do it?
Brexiters will hate it. One thing which has survived this deal- ending free movement- will fall. May, for one, would almost certainly have a new ref.

Remainers: what’s in it for us? A majority now want to stay at top table, not become a nation of lobbyists outside the room. 3/
Read 5 tweets
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pippocamminadritto
@guado77
...capito perché non se ne uscirà mai..?!?!
Dollar Shortage #FED
...le due chart "chiave"
Seguire #Fed fund rate futures e Eurodollar Futures oltre al libor è l'unica cosa che conta davvero e che impatta l'economia globale e la natura dei mercato aldilà degli algos telecomandati...
Libor up by 0.35 bps
Libor at 2.61813%
SPOT LOIS at 28.513
Read 135 tweets
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James Barisic 🇪🇺 #FBPE
@jamesmb
Let's learn from history.

Back in 1989/90, the Community Charge was introduced by Margaret Thatcher in Scotland and then England and Wales. You probably remember it as the Poll Tax. Despite it being hugely unpopular, Maggie pressed ahead with the policy.
Maggie's argument was that the people had voted for the policy - after all, it had been in the Tory manifesto that had given her another landslide - so she had to deliver it and they could not change their minds.
There were protests and some of them were pretty violent. Maggie said that there was no way that she would back down from the policy. Meanwhile, Tory MPs were hearing the upset from ordinary voters in their constituencies.
Read 12 tweets

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