He only has #Baloch separatists and a handful of fighters under the #ISKP banner on #Afghanistan.
For those who understand #Afghanistan’s landscape, you know 3-4 provinces on the Pakistan border are hotbeds for #terrorist activity. #PakArmy has been firing mortars into those areas for months, eliminating supply and escape routes.
Those same 3-4 provinces are where the #Afghan#Taliban#TTA is fully engaged in fighting #ISKP & #TTP splinter groups, who can’t find an alliance.
The attacks we are seeing now are because of infiltrations across our border facilitated by supporters within #Pakistan.
The question becomes: how much will they escalate while #India and @narendramodi face an election cycle?
Our analysis says the escalations will be limited but violent. The targets will be for maximum psychological impact, not high body counts.
Our enemies want to take us back to 2007 & #LalMasjid. As students of #terrorism in #Pakistan, you know the #TTP emerged after this event.
If #Pakistan can be pushed back, which it cannot, it would make all of our successes against #terrorism zero.
A global isolation because the problem we conquered so easily re-emerged.
This is the test for #Pakistan’s sovereignty. This is what will make Pakistan a superpower or a failed state.
The battle is psychological and will be fought in that space called your mind.
They will quote 1971 because they have nothing else to brag about. #Kargil, 1965, and the recent air showdown, show #Pakistan can’t be defeated as easily as India believes.
This morning, #NewOrleans was the target of a #VBIED, which thankfully didn't detonate.
The Mayor of New Orleans has called it a terrorist attack. We agree, because it follows the hallmarks of an ISIS Lone Wolf attack.
The @FBINewOrleans field office says it wasn't.
A man, driving an explosives laden truck, rams into a crowd of people, killing 12 (current count), emerges with an assault rifle, while being shot by police. He was dead on the scene.
How is that not a terror attack?
Is the @FBI attempting to cover up their own failure of tracking potential terror threats in New Orleans?
What is more concerning for us is...
With the collaboration of Mexican drug cartels and human traffickers, many ISIS & al Qaeda terrorists have been smuggled into the US over the past 2 years. Many have entered the US as refugees and asylum seekers.
Those terrorists are hiding in sleeper cells waiting for the green light from Afghanistan to carry out their attacks.
Europeans are already fighting this problem, but in the US, the objective is a spectacular, multi-city simultaneous attack, which they have completed their planning, surveillance & weapons acquisition.
During the Biden administration, a lackluster @DHSgov, @FBI & @CIA have largely missed the triggers & inflows, thus they have no idea where these cells are or what their targets could be.
2025 will be a very bad year for Americans, as terrorism is on their mainland now.
Let's add another one...
"The Justice Department is fighting the release of a Virginia man, Brad Spafford, whose house was raided in early December resulting in what a federal prosecutor called the “largest seizure of homemade explosives in FBI history.”
He was originally arrested for having an unregistered short barrel rifle, but upon an @FBI JTTF search of his home, they found:
- over 150 pipe bombs
- a jar of HTMD, a high-grade explosive
According to informants, Spafford wanted to bring back political assassinations, was preparing for 300 to 400-yard sniper qualification using a picture of Joe Biden for target practice.
The same informant, after the failed @realDonaldTrump assassination said - "Bro, I hope they don’t miss Kamala."
The judge hearing the case released him with restrictions - live with his mother and wear an monitoring device. The prosecutor immediately filed to have him held in detention, which was granted.
This is where America is headed. It's not just brown terrorists, but white ones too.
As the #Taliban continue to claim moving #TTP fighters to western #Afghanistan, TTP fighters have been confirmed in northern AFG, today the head of district intelligence of the Taliban’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GID) can under attack in #Badakhshah province.
For those unfamiliar with #Badakhshah provincial borders…
Another important factor to keep in mind is the #geological value of #Badakhshah province.
This is of key importance to #China’s investment into minerals in #Afghanistan.
Some interesting reports coming out of #Afghanistan over the past few days:
- roughly 2,000 #Taliban suicide bombers have been moved to the #Iran|ian border since the end of May.
- #ISKP has also started moving their fighters to northern #Afghanistan, according to sources within an anti-#Taliban group. They are being moved to #Badakhshan, #Takhar and some others.
Apparently, there are both @CIA and #ISI fingerprints on this.
The #TTP occupation in #Swat is significantly more than is being reported in the domestic media.
Many villages are under TTP control, and search operations have been on-going for more than 5 months.
It is no surprise that the TTP has returned to Swat for us @commandeleven.
For the past 3 years, we have repeatedly informed and warned that the TTP presence was growing and their influence was increasing.
Deaf ears.
We have repeatedly argued against the negotiating table, because it is a sign of weakness.
Why should we negotiate?
The news of Gen. #FaizHameed's deal to hand over parts of #KPK to #TTP, in return for peace for the country - that is accepting defeat and emboldening the enemy.
Is it any surprise that there was a significant uptick in violence from December onwards, when TTP walked away again?