, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
So, who's gonna make the 3rd Democratic debate, when the qualifying criteria get much tougher? I've got a rundown here. 53eig.ht/2I6Sa3M
Technically, no one has qualified yet since only polls starting on June 28 count. And there will probably be an unexpected surge or two.

But basically we're looking at 8 candidates who are *fairly* safe, Yang and Castro are probably tossups, everyone else has work to do.
The candidates who most benefit are the ones I'd consider in the 2nd tier - Booker, Klobuchar and Beto. Note this is a group of candidates the party establishment likes!

Ratcheting up the winnowing is probably bad news for Sanders, conversely, who benefits from a divided field.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Nate Silver
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!