Thread by @danmikulskis

We put knowledge into silos

But there’s value in the wisdom that comes from “thinking like” someone else (from the work of @ShaneAParrish @JamesClear @ScottAdamsSays )
Eg (1/6)

Think like a behavioral psychologist: what are the incentives? What are the cognitive biases in play?

Like an economist: what are the cost/benefits, is there sunk cost? What’s supply and demand?

like an evolutionary biologist: what are the underlying motivations?

(2/6)

Like a scientist: be skeptical of co-incidence, require evidence for correlation/ causation, what’s the base rate? What’s my starting hypothesis?

Like a philosopher: inversion, what’s the opposite of what we want, (& so how do we avoid that)
(3/6)

Like a physicist: when do we reach critical mass, where’s the momentum?

Like an entrepreneur: how can we test this quickly? What’s the smallest step we can take now to move forward?

Like an asset manager: what’s the risk/ return trade off

(4/6)

Like an engineer: what’s the required margin of safety? Is there leverage? Systems, is there redundancy in the system?

Like an actuary: what’s the future expected value of that?

Like a leader/politician: what’s most persuasive?
(5/6)

What else ?

#mentalmodels

Like a journalist - “what’s the story here, where’s the tension ?”

Like a journalist - “what’s the story here? Where’s the tension?”

Like a military strategist - “what’s the decisive objective, how can I project force, what fronts are there in the battle?”

Unrolled here -

realreturns.blog/2020/01/12/thi…

Like a trader - where do I have optionality?

Like a statistician: what’s the underlying distribution? Are there fat tails​ in play? Where is 80/20 rule relevant?