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The energy sector is the most oversold so far.
Energy sector is -43% from its early 2014 high.
Energy sector is almost near its 2016 low.
Energy implied vol is relatively low $VIX and below average.
Alerian MLP energy index is at a new low
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Mike Shell 🇺🇸
@MikeWShell
#Momentum isn't all the same. The parameters such as time frame of lookback, how momentum is defined as an equation, position sizing method, and any volatility type overlays can have a material impact.
But on the downside, all three of these #Momentum momentum indexes trended together, which tells me the edge of the S&P Momentum index was in getting exposure to higher upside momentum stocks that continued their trends.
Here is the same time frame as above, 3 years, and we see on #Momentum index significantly captured the velocity of momentum and dominated in relative strength.
Read 4 tweets
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Mike Shell 🇺🇸
@MikeWShell
#Momentum leads #Value
#Momentum leads #Value over the past 30 days, too.
In fact, #Momentum leads #Value on the downside as well, by not drawing down as much. I said last week momentum was positioned defensively. The rotations this time has helped on the downside.
Read 9 tweets
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Mike Shell 🇺🇸
@MikeWShell
So far, the dip in $SPX stocks has been minimal at -2.6% max.
Emerging markets have dropped the most among global stock markets. $EEM $SPY $SPX $EFA
The S&P U.S. Dollar Futures Index is designed to measure the performance of a hypothetical portfolio holding an underlying futures contract on the U.S. dollar.
Read 8 tweets

Related threads

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Nikita
@NikitaKitty
AP FACT CHECK: Trump's Davos remarks rife with distortion apnews.com/66e93c782beccc…
His preening performance at the Davos economic conference was rife with distortion.

A sampling of his remarks:

TRUMP, on historically black colleges and universities: “I saved HBCUs. We saved them. They were going out and we saved them.”
THE FACTS: That’s a big stretch.

Trump signed a law in December restoring money that lapsed for several months when Congress failed to reauthorize some $255 million in financing on time.
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Matt Hannon
@hannon_matthew
"Why would we want to deliver a community #energy project?"

Take a look at all the grants from the Waterfall Fund, that takes approx. £30k surplus revenue from Green Energy Mull's Garmony Hydro facility.

This is what community energy does for the local community.
Note that GEM sources around 80% of its revenue from the FiT. Now the FiT is dead, a healthy surplus incredibly difficult to achieve and so community benefit funds like the Waterfall Fund already a thing of the past.
FiT often derided as a middle class subsidy: if you have the money to buy your solar panels, you can access the tariff.

Argyll & Bute has below average disposable household income per head. It isn't rich. The FiT enabled the community to invest in the cultural fabric of #Mull.
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Spatel
@Rjrasva
Early Japanese Isolationism
Author(s): Gustav Voss
Source: Pacific Historical Review, Vol. 14, No. 1 (Mar., 1945)

She broke off nearly all foreign relations so as to put a stop to every contact with Christianity. That was the only reason
a question about the motives for the persecution of Christianity, but the problem, because of its ulterior implications, is of vital interest both to the student of profane history and international relations
We can have no better testimony asserting the motives, inclinations, and aims of the official Japanese circles regarding Christianity and foreign policy
Read 19 tweets
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Henrik Zeberg
@HenrikZeberg
#VIX Wait for it....! #HZupdates
#DB Wait for it....! The strength of Ending Diagonals. Anyone who remember this outlook provided exactly as we broke the triangle at wave 4. We are not moving closer to final target very close to 0 (zero!) #DeathStruggle
typo: "Not" = "Now"
Read 3 tweets
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mcm-ct.com
@mcm_ct
Let’s Get this Chart Storm STORMING...

1/
The most optimism in over 5 years - nothing to see here
2/
Since we are on the subject of sentiment and internal health/state of the markets

This swing in the equity options markets is off the scale manic. From very high put buying to very high call buying in 2 bars!!! $SPX
3/

But that’s not all. $VIX is not agreeing with options players - so someone is wrong. Possibly the manic maniacs? Your guess is as good as ours $SPX
Read 45 tweets
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Sprezza
@TureMasing
Low interest rate=>borrow against anything(house,stocks,cars,education)=>consume more than (low) wages: goods, travels; AND invest=>high sales AND margins=>super profits AND high valuation multiples(low IR, and consumer investment confidence), and low volatility (BTFD reflex)...
The system is self-reinforcing via the wealth effect; allowing lower relative wages (=>lower inflation, lower IR), leading to more sales/lower costs=> higher profits, more optimism, higher valuations, higher stock and other asset prices,more margin to borrow against,BTFD,low VIX.
When the process reverses,due to peak employment turning ever so little downward or due to higher interest rates or a "shock" (the later in the process, the less "shock" is required; ponzi loss, terror, random fluctuation..), higher volatility leads to selling and less borrowing.
Read 8 tweets

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#neutrality #Double_Top_Adam2 #FridayThoughts #Vampires #NoYouDint #solar #poker #OBOR #bullishpercent #Ruminations #Chapter2 #TVClassics #Uruguay #diningout #work #housingassociation #ChartExample #monsters #buybacks #songs #SaturdayNight #HZupdates #dentistry #Soup #Triple_Bottoms
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