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So far, the dip in $SPX stocks has been minimal at -2.6% max.
Emerging markets have dropped the most among global stock markets. $EEM $SPY $SPX $EFA
The S&P U.S. Dollar Futures Index is designed to measure the performance of a hypothetical portfolio holding an underlying futures contract on the U.S. dollar.
The US Dollar is in an uptrend. #trendfollowing
a bigger picture of the US Dollar
US Dollar index relative to gold
...over the past year, Gold shows relative strength over the US Dollar gold and the crossover was last June. #momentum #trendfollowing #trending #Dollar $GLD $IAU
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#trendfollowing #momentum #trending #Dollar

More from @MikeWShell see all

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Mike Shell 🇺🇸
@MikeWShell
#Momentum isn't all the same. The parameters such as time frame of lookback, how momentum is defined as an equation, position sizing method, and any volatility type overlays can have a material impact.
But on the downside, all three of these #Momentum momentum indexes trended together, which tells me the edge of the S&P Momentum index was in getting exposure to higher upside momentum stocks that continued their trends.
Here is the same time frame as above, 3 years, and we see on #Momentum index significantly captured the velocity of momentum and dominated in relative strength.
Read 4 tweets
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Mike Shell 🇺🇸
@MikeWShell
#Momentum leads #Value
#Momentum leads #Value over the past 30 days, too.
In fact, #Momentum leads #Value on the downside as well, by not drawing down as much. I said last week momentum was positioned defensively. The rotations this time has helped on the downside.
Read 9 tweets
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Mike Shell 🇺🇸
@MikeWShell
The energy sector is the most oversold so far.
Energy sector is -43% from its early 2014 high.
Energy sector is almost near its 2016 low.
Read 6 tweets

Related threads

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malteseinvestor
@malteseinvest
Analysis: #NYSE $SPY

Case 50 #SPDR S&P 500

DISCLAIMER: The analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as an invitation to trade.

Thread 👇👇👇

#SPY 1/6
It seems as though the up move will never end but a correction is long overdue.

SPY 2/6
Chart 1
Monthly Chart: Currently breaking above #trendline resistance and the immediate target is 315.54 then 338.47 and the first synthetic trendline #resistance stands at 342.91. ....

SPY 3/6
Read 6 tweets
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Lyn Alden
@LynAldenContact
#fed #repo #dollar #dxy thread w/ a couple new points about timing/catalyst related to cash repatriation and buybacks.
Issue 1) Widening $1T fiscal deficits are causing large supply of UST at unprecedented % of GDP outside of recession/war.
Issue 2a) In last five years, foreign sources and Fed not buying UST. Private domestic balance sheets (blue line) have thus absorbed $3T in new UST in those five years.
Read 9 tweets
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Henrik Zeberg
@HenrikZeberg
#Emerging Markets look really bad here. Chart of #VWO below. We are about to see strong decline as wave C develops. Watch out below #HZupdates
This is all you need to focus on #Copper, #EmergingMarkets #AUDUSD #GOLD. Let me spell it for you: D E F L A T I O N. We are time-wise around May-June of 2008 #HZupdates
TLT about to drop! I'm long term Bull - and will continue to be.... But - I think #TLT will turn down strong for months. This will send nom. up AND real rates soaring as we will also see strong decline in Oil #HZupdates
Read 3 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 *U.S. WAITING TO HEAR FROM #CHINA ON TRADE DEAL, KUDLOW SAYS - BBG
*KUDLOW EXPECTS U.S.-CHINA MEETING IN MARCH IN MAR-A-LAGO
*TRUMP, LIGHTHIZER ARE VERY CLOSE, KUDLOW TELLS CNBC
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 #CHINA WOULD HAVE TO NOTE ANY FX INTERVENTION UNDER DEAL: KUDLOW - BBG
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 *MNUCHIN SAYS #CHINA #TRADE TALKS INCLUDE 150-PAGE DOCUMENT - BBG
Read 819 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇺🇸 #SPX (1) | Equities ⬆ significantly since Dec. lows with participants not taking into account:
1/ the global synchronised slowdown that should be associated with a global trade contraction (YoY) soon
2/ the likely earnings recession in U.S. (and 🇪🇺)
🇺🇸 #SPX (2) | The move can be partly explained by the dovish switch in CBs:
1/ #Fed makes a pause in ⬆ rates and should should stop ⬇ its BS by year-end
2/ #ECB is likely to delay its 1st rate ⬆ and will launch new TLTROs
3/ #BOJ is considering 4 options for extra easing
🇺🇸 #SPX (3) | This easing charge has significant repercussions on asset prices leading to a sharp ⬆ of bonds trading with negative yields (up 60% since Oct. according to a Bloomberg/Barclays index)

➡ #TINA can also explain why investors have rushed into other risky assets
Read 10 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
#SPX #Stocks (1) | Private asset managers raised a record $748 billion globally last year, according to Preqin data compiled and published in Mckinsey’s 2018 Global Private Markets Review - Bloomberg
#SPX #Stocks (2) | Too Few Stocks Rebounding From Rout for Chart Gurus to Calm Down - Bloomberg - bloom.bg/2okxlsi
#SPX #Stocks (3) | Money Managers Think the Worst Is Yet to Come for S&P 500 - Bloomberg - bloom.bg/2EKSoPk
Read 10 tweets

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