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This thread *completely* ignores the importance of Ameircan Samoa.

Lol j/k it's smart and you should read it.
The key points IMO:
* Bernie's Super Tuesday polling has been a little weaker than you might think from his national numbers
* It's a relatively thin line between having Bernie a very good ST and a pretty good ST, and another thin line between a pretty good ST and a pretty bad ST
* The debate and South Carolina present downside risk for Sanders. (Also upside opportunities!).

I'd add to this... I'd like to see more polls but so far Sanders doesn't *seem* to be getting a huge NV bounce, which could cushion him against those downside risks.
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