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NEW: Republicans are leaning hard into their Burisma probe just hours after BIDEN surged to the front of the Democratic primary pack.

Democrats bracing for an all-out assault are calling it Kremlin disinformation.

w/ @AndrewDesiderio
@martinmatishak

politico.com/news/2020/03/0…
@AndrewDesiderio @martinmatishak Democrats won't say whether they ever got confirmation that Russians hacked Burisma, as a third-party security firm suggested in January.

But they're expecting a deluge of Burisma attacks on Biden that were widely discredited by impeachment testimony.

politico.com/news/2020/03/0…
@AndrewDesiderio @martinmatishak Senate GOP insists the timing of their probe has nothing to do with Biden's candidacy.

Yet Sen. Johnson announced a Burisma-related subpoena vote on Sunday (after Biden won SC) and an interim report today (after Super Tuesday put Biden back on top).

politico.com/news/2020/03/0…
@AndrewDesiderio @martinmatishak Dems noted that Burisma all but disappeared from the GOP lexicon when Biden was tanking.

"The Republicans will revive it in a perfect demonstration of what this means to them, which is to be a cudgel to beat Joe Biden with,” said Rep. HIMES

politico.com/news/2020/03/0…
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More from @kyledcheney see all

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Kyle Cheney
@kyledcheney
JUST IN: Text of the final coronavirus bill

docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/…
And here's the section-by-section summary of the bill: appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrat…
CORONAVIRUS RESPONSE BILL PASSES 363-40.
Read 5 tweets
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Kyle Cheney
@kyledcheney
Trump is shaking hands with each speaker as they come up.
Seems like he averted this partway through, stopped doing it with the last few speakers.
Nope back to shaking hands again, this time with CVS exec.
Read 3 tweets
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Kyle Cheney
@kyledcheney
NEW: A sense of anxiety is setting in on Capitol Hill as a coronavirus package expected to have bipartisan support is still in limbo and questions are growing about whether Trump will back it.

The latest w/ @sarahnferris @BresPolitico

politico.com/news/2020/03/1…
No one seems totally sure Mnuchin, the lead negotiator for the White House, is speaking on Trump’s behalf. Dems day he’s operating in good faith but don’t know if Trump could pull the rug from under him. politico.com/news/2020/03/1…
And here’s the crux of it: Rs want Trump to publicly back the package before they do. Unclear if he’s willing to— and they were bitten on FISA just a couple days ago, so trust is not high.

Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change vs last week)

Sanders: 24 (3)
Biden: 18 (0)
Warren: 16 (1)
Bloomberg: 12 (0)
Buttigieg: 11 (1)
Klobuchar: 7 (0)
Steyer: 2 (1)
Gabbard: 2 (-1)
Compared to last week, our poll shows a big dip in Bloomberg's viability, and a modest increase in the share of Democratic primary voters who say they'll consider voting for Amy Klobuchar.
Share of Democratic primary voters considering voting for each candidate (pooled over the last month):

Sanders: 45%
Biden: 45
Warren: 45
Buttigieg: 29
Bloomberg: 26
Klobuchar: 22
Steyer: 13
Gabbard: 6
Read 7 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change vs last week)

Biden: 24 (-2)
Sanders: 19 (-5)
Warren: 18 (-2)
Buttigieg: 9 (2)
Bloomberg: 9 (4)
Klobuchar: 6 (1)
Yang: 3 (-1)
Gabbard: 3 (0)
Steyer: 2 (1)
Bennet: 1 (1)
Which candidates are Democrats considering voting for? (These numbers are from the past month of polls)

Biden: 48%
Warren: 47%
Sanders: 45%
Buttigieg: 28%
Bloomberg: 22%
Klobuchar: 20%
Yang: 16%
Steyer: 12%
Gabbard: 6%
Bennet: 4%
Patrick: 3%
Who would Democrats be disappointed in as the nominee?
(These numbers are from the past month of polls)

Gabbard: 43%
Bloomberg: 29%
Patrick: 23%
Biden: 23%
Steyer: 22%
Sanders: 22%
Bennet: 21%
Buttigieg: 19%
Klobuchar: 17%
Yang: 17%
Warren: 16%
Read 3 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW I wrote about "electability" and the 2020 Democratic primary for the paper this week. We combined political science and polling data and found that a moderate Dem with strength among working-class whites has the best chance against Trump.

<THREAD>

economist.com/united-states/…
The 2020 election is likely to be close. Trump's approval rating & GDP growth suggest that he'll win about 49% of the two-party vote, per our modeling. He's clearly competitive, especially when Democrats need to win the popular vote by about ~2.5pts to win the electoral college.
So the "electability" of the candidates is a particular concern for Democrats.

So what do we know about who is more likely to win general elections?
Read 13 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (chg vs last week):

Biden: 26 (-3)
Sanders: 24 (6)
Warren: 20 (-1)
Buttigieg: 7 (-1)
Klobuchar: 4 (0)
Bloomberg: 4 (-2)
Yang: 4 (0)
Gabbard: 3 (1)
Steyer: 1 (-2)
Patrick: 1 (0)
Who are Democrats considering voting for?

Biden: 49%
Warren: 48
Sanders: 45
Buttigieg: 28
Klobuchar: 20
Bloomberg: 19
Booker: 18
Yang: 16
Steyer: 12
Castro: 10
Gabbard: 6
Bennet: 4
Patrick: 3
Delaney: 2
Who would they be disappointed to see win the nomination?

Gabbard: 42%
Bloomberg: 31
Delaney: 25
Biden: 23
Steyer: 23
Patrick: 23
Bennet: 21
Sanders: 20
Buttigieg: 19
Yang: 17
Klobuchar: 17
Warren: 15
Read 5 tweets
Profile picture
G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change vs last month)

Biden: 26 (3)
Warren: 21 (-5)
Sanders: 16 (-1)
Buttigieg: 11 (2)
Bloomberg: 4 (-)
Yang: 3 (0)
Gabbard: 3 (1)
Booker: 3 (1)
Klobuchar: 2 (-1)
Which candidates are Democratic primary voters considering voting for? (Pooled over the last month)

Warren: 50%
Biden: 50
Sanders: 39
Buttigieg: 35
Harris: 26%
Booker: 20%
Klobuchar: 16%
Yang: 14%
Bloomberg: 12
Castro: 10%

All else under 10%
Which candidates would Democratic voters be disappointed by if they won the nomination?

37% say Gabbard:
Williamson: 36%
Bloomberg: 31%
Biden: 24%
Steyer: 23%
Sanders: 22%
Delaney: 22%
Yang: 18%
Klobuchar: 17%
Warren: 16%
Buttigieg: 15%
Booker: 14%
Read 4 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change v last month)
Warren: 28 (+4)
Biden: 25 (+1)
Sanders: 13 (-4)
Harris: 5 (0)
Buttigieg: 5 (-1)
Yang: 3 (+1)
Bullock: 2 (+1)
Klobuchar: 2 (+1)

All else ≤ 1%
% of Democratic primary voters considering voting for each candidate (over last month):

Warren: 55%
Biden: 47
Sanders: 39
Harris: 30
Buttigieg: 28
Booker: 18
O'Rourke: 16
Yang: 13
Klobuchar: 11
Castro: 11

All else < 10%
% of Democratic primary voters who would be disappointed if ___ candidate won the nomination (over the last month):

Williamson: 32
Gabbard: 23
Biden: 22
Delaney: 21
Steyer: 20
Sanders: 19
Bennet: 17
Yang: 17
O'Rourke: 16
Booker: 13
Buttigieg: 11
Warren: 8
Read 7 tweets

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