Next week is not going to be easy on the COVID-19 front. If there are green shoots here and there, and I hope there are, they are likely to be overwhelmed by many places where things are getting much worse.
But this reflects the lag between when curve-bending measures (mostly meaning social distancing) go into effect and when they start to show up in the data. There's probably something like a 7-10 day lag between infection and when people go to hospitals.
For jurisdictions that still aren't doing enough social distancing, this may scare them straight (good). However, the governments who did shouldn't feel discouraged. In a 2-3 weeks' time, they'll likely see the benefits from it in the flow of new patients.
