Now that the #UNSC has passed a resolution endorsing the @UN #GlobalCeasefire, a few thoughts on (i) how we got here; and (ii) if this actually means anything 👇 [1/8]
.@CrisisGroup (like many other NGOs) called for the #UNSC to back @antonioguterres' #GlobalCeasefire campaign in April, although we had two caveats... [2/8] crisisgroup.org/global/global-…
Our first caveat was that the #GlobalCeasefire was never likely to be really "global". Different conflict parties would take it differently depending on their interests, strategies and views of #COVID. That remains the case today. [3/8] 
Second, while we argued that the #UNSC should back the #GlobalCeasefire, we saw this as a way to "create a formal framework for @UN to monitor and update ceasefire implementation" and an incentive for conflict parties to take the initiative seriously. Not a silver bullet. [4/8]
If we had limited expectations for the #GlobalCeasefire, the #UNSC prolonged failure to get a resolution (thanks to bickering between @USUN and @Chinamission2un) sapped the initiative's momentum and impact, as @AshishSPradhan and I argued @WPReview. [5/8] worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/28762…
And as I argued in a speech to @Mitvim in May, local political factors meant that many of the specific ceasefires called in response to the #GlobalCeasefire appeal have sputtered out already. [6/8] crisisgroup.org/global/whats-h…
Second, @antonioguterres should use the resolution - which asks him to report back on #GlobalCeasefire - as a means to hold #UNSC and other @UN members to account for their actions, praising those who support real #peace efforts and raising questions about those that don't. [END]
