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In developed #countries, #government policies to restrict private behavior in response to #COVID-19 have had no effect in reducing #deaths at all. Excess all-cause mortality is actually associated, though insignificantly, with increasing restrictiveness.
In developed #countries, #deaths caused by #COVID-19 have had no — zero – correlation with #government policies of increasing restrictiveness such as #lockdowns.
Given the statistical #evidence, it is reasonable to infer, in the absence of contrary statistical evidence, that increasing restrictiveness does not decrease mortality. Any assumption or assertion that it does is not following the #science – and #ScienceMatters.
In US #states, there is actually a very weak positive, though statistically insignificant, correlation between #COVID-19 #deaths and government restrictiveness.
Given the massive, irreversible damage to people’s lives and livelihoods predictably caused by very restrictive policies in response to #COVID-19 that were justified – without any #historical or #scientific #evidence – as needed to #SaveLives, this is an important #LessonLearned.
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