Thread by @gbponz

#Russia thread: on.wsj.com/35kW5Hy Easy peasy: #Trump won't say anything because the #US is on the brink of disengaging from central Europe, and this is the final test. (1/7) @vtchakarova @TomekDeptuch @amlivemon @RobertMCutler @shaun_riordan

If #Merkel doesn't touch #Nordstream arrangements it means she has the rest of Europe behind her in a Russia appeasement policy effectively establishing anything east of the Oder as a buffer zone, #Belarus being one of the countries.(2/7)

As much as the US administration has signaled that there is a "Northern EU strategy", involving the #UK, Scandinavian/Baltic countries and #Poland, a Russophile Germany would undermine supply route security, and #France's standing in life is grounded in antiamericanism. (3/7)

The present generation is too young to remember that originally #NATO headquarters were... in #Paris, before being summarily expelled, a feat #Xi would be proud of. Heck, I am too young to remember that.
So, what now?(4/7)

Best bet is, a whole lot of nothing will come of it. Like Lord Dorwin in " #Foundation", present day political authorities are past masters at speaking much saying nothing. Especially because Energy policy, in the guise of #GreenNewDeal , is the new state religion. (5/7)

Gas is the backbone of the #Renewables trade since it fuels all TRUE energy production, i.e. the one necessary to meet demands when the Gods of the Olympus decide it's a windless night and a cloudy day.(6/7)

So, as it often happens in life, if you want a cow now, Farmer John tells you "you should have come here to buy a calf three years ago". Let's see if Germany buys one now. #Nuclear (end)