Let's talk business.

Many governments still struggle to understand that not controlling #COVID19 harms the #economy more. Because:

Consumers remain anxious. Also without lockdowns.

(EN translation of today's Dutch thread)

/1


marker.medium.com/forget-shutdow…
#China already seems to prove that successfully controlling the virus increases consumer confidence and helps the economy recover.

See this tweet by @jonsnowC4:

/2


This recent @IMFNews World Economic Outlook research - in a nutshell - also shows that:

#COVID19 ⏬ ->

Anxiety/voluntary social distancing ⏬ ->

Consumer confidence / #Economy

/3


blogs.imf.org/2020/10/08/cov…
So, #herdimmunity strategies, politics and symbolic measures will backfire.

More economic damage caused by extended low consumer confidence will be an unintended consequence of above strategies.

/4
Although in the #Netherlands one seems not be convinced yet as this tweet from @annaholligan shows.

/5
Last, but not least: the @MRKR piece in /1 is by @JamesSurowiecki.

/6

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More from @Diedhein

19 Oct
Let's talk business.

Wat het kabinet nog steeds onvoldoende lijkt in te zien, is dat "het virus rond laten gaan" de #economie harder schaadt.

Want, consumenten blijven angstig. Ook zonder lockdowns.

/1


marker.medium.com/forget-shutdow…
Dus: je helpt de gezondheid EN de economie, want:

virus terugdringen = hoger consumentenvertrouwen

#ABN hoofdeconoom @SandraPhlippen zei het al bij @Nieuwsuur:

/2


In #China lijkt al zichtbaar te worden wat het de economie oplevert om het virus onder te controle te hebben en daarmee meer consumentenvertrouwen te hebben.

/3


Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
"#Herdimmunity is ‘a dangerous fallacy unsupported by scientific evidence'."

Thread to summarize new #COVID19 paper by @TheLancet via Professor @AlexWFriedrich1.

/1


#INFECTIVITY / #MORTALITY

"Its high infectivity, combined with the susceptibility of unexposed populations to a NEW virus, creates conditions for rapid community spread."

"The infection fatality rate of COVID-19 is several-fold HIGHER than that of seasonal influenza."

/2
YOUNG PEOPLE / #IMMUNITY

"...infection can lead to persisting illness, including in young, previously healthy people"

"It is unclear how long protective immunity lasts"

"SARS-CoV-2 is capable of re-infecting people who have already had the disease"

/3
Read 6 tweets
26 Jun
"Country X has been lucky." "Nation Y has low population density." "Climate in tropical state Z has an impact."

Probably true, but then still:
#leadership
#strategy
#trust
#communications

massively influence a country's dealing with a #pandemic or a #crisis.

1/
Would countries have done better or worse with different #leadership and #strategy? I have NO DOUBT.

Key drivers like #leadership and #trust often seem underestimated or hard to grasp.

This is probably due to #complexity of the matter and that drivers are hard to measure.

2/
The drivers are all related:

#leadership ➡️ trust ➡️ successful execution of #strategy ➡️ empowered leadership ➡️ #trust

#Communications is the glue.

3/
Read 13 tweets
22 Apr
Vandaag dus terug uit Singapore via London naar A’dam. 2 vluchten. Even wat feiten en observaties in samenvatting Zoek de 10 verschillen:
1. Singapore - London
2. London - Amsterdam
1. In grote Airbus met 40 (!!) man. “Feels like private jet” 👌🏿
2. In propvolle City Hopper met 110 man. Alsof je naar Ibiza gaat. “Voelt juist nu benauwend en onverantwoord” 👎🏻
1. Crew allemaal mondkapjes 😷😷
2. Niemand van crew mondkapjes 😧😧
Read 11 tweets

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