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"Country X has been lucky." "Nation Y has low population density." "Climate in tropical state Z has an impact."

Probably true, but then still:
#leadership
#strategy
#trust
#communications

massively influence a country's dealing with a #pandemic or a #crisis.

1/
Would countries have done better or worse with different #leadership and #strategy? I have NO DOUBT.

Key drivers like #leadership and #trust often seem underestimated or hard to grasp.

This is probably due to #complexity of the matter and that drivers are hard to measure.

2/
The drivers are all related:

#leadership ➡️ trust ➡️ successful execution of #strategy ➡️ empowered leadership ➡️ #trust

#Communications is the glue.

3/
E.g., sadly, #US ticks all boxes of poor handling.

#Leadership = downplaying and politicizing the virus. #Strategy = seems absent and is non-centralized. #Communications = extremely non-scientific and worse: misinforming.
#Trust and support = declining.

Leading to 👇

4/
Poor #leadership and #communications in the #US now even seems to include purposedly underreporting in #Florida. This massively undermines #trust in leadership:

5/

See also what #US mathematician and systems scientist @SafaMote of @UofMaryland states about reliability and strategy in this thread:

6/

The impact of drivers like #leadership and #strategy especially seems to become clear if you compare similar or neighbouring countries, e.g. #Finland, #Sweden, #Norway, #Denmark, where Sweden took a 'unique' #herdimmunity approach:

8/

Reputation can be lost rapidly. In April, #Sweden was the world's darling due to a distinctive strategy.

Now, following #transparency by experts and opposition (a good thing!) and high death toll, #trust in #leadership is declining rapidly.

9/

#Asia is a story on its own.

#Taiwan, #SouthKorea, #Hongkong, #Vietnam, #Singapore score well on all drivers. Most countries were proactive and took massive action.

Helped by centralized political systems, discipline, well-developed health care.

10/

theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
On 2 May I wrote below piece on countries' handling of the pandemic in terms of #leadership and #strategy. Most of it still holds.

A.o. #NewZealand, #Taiwan, #SouthKorea, #Austria, #Germany and countries in #EasternEurope did well.

11/

diederikheinink.com/post/the-decad…
This short @wef video by Professor @devisridhar (shared by @DrEricDing) on #strategy is great.

Basically her key message is:

"it's a strategic decision"

Let's hope countries learn and see how important 'the drivers' are.



12/
/end
See @larrybrilliant's tweet on that 👆
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