Last year #Guaita only saved 36% of the close range 1v1s he faced (only #Kepa & #DeGea were lower)
This is because he rarely forms a premeditated barrier before the shot is struck so gives himself no chance of making the save!
This weakness was exposed again tonight.
#PALNEW
This is because he rarely forms a premeditated barrier before the shot is struck so gives himself no chance of making the save!
This weakness was exposed again tonight.
#PALNEW
When shots are from close range there is simply not enough time for a GK to react therefore they have to get close to the striker & form a premeditated barrier & shrink the effective goal area & force the striker to “just hit the ball at them”
As the images below show
As the images below show
I analysed 800+ 1v1s in the #PremierLeague last year & using a logistic regression model found that the engage & react strategy that #Guiata regularly employs gives a GK a far lower chance of making the save vs the engage & block & the engage & spread premediated strategies.
To be clear I think #Guaita is a top GK & is a big reason #CrystalPalace are still a #PremierLeague club, I just found & wanted to highlight a particular weakness in his game.
See my pinned tweet for more details on 1v1 strategies:
See my pinned tweet for more details on 1v1 strategies:
https://twitter.com/jhdharrison1/status/1273312389233082369?s=21
https://twitter.com/jhdharrison1/status/1273312389233082369
As people were very interested here is a full breakdown of #Guaita’s 1v1s last year in saved/faced format:
Close range regular: 5/15
Long range regular: 11/16
Forced out of position: 3/5
(Notice the typo in my 1st post it should have been 33%, everything else is correct though)
Close range regular: 5/15
Long range regular: 11/16
Forced out of position: 3/5
(Notice the typo in my 1st post it should have been 33%, everything else is correct though)
#Guaita vs the league average:
Close range regular: 33% vs 54%
Long range regular: 69% vs 58%
Forced out of position: 80% vs 25%
Close range regular = very weak
Long range regular = Top 5 in PL
FOOP = outrageously good
The images below show some incredible FOOP 1v1 saves!
Close range regular: 33% vs 54%
Long range regular: 69% vs 58%
Forced out of position: 80% vs 25%
Close range regular = very weak
Long range regular = Top 5 in PL
FOOP = outrageously good
The images below show some incredible FOOP 1v1 saves!
#Guaita vs 1v1s
Class at long range as he often trusts his reactions & stays deep. The problem is he continues to trust his reactions even when the 1v1 is close to goal.
He tried to react to 8 close 1v1s so only saved 1. However he saved 4/7 when he made a premeditated barrier.
Class at long range as he often trusts his reactions & stays deep. The problem is he continues to trust his reactions even when the 1v1 is close to goal.
He tried to react to 8 close 1v1s so only saved 1. However he saved 4/7 when he made a premeditated barrier.
#Palace fans will be hoping #Guaita can start using the spread & block more as he has shown he is capable of executing those techniques well it’s just he often seems to default to trying to save shots which are far too close to goal with his reactions.
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