Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #DeGea

Most recents (24)

Como siempre se est谩 reduciendo todo a un jugador. Vamos a echarle la culpa a uno de todo lo malo que pas贸 hoy.
De Gea tuvo culpabilidad en el 2do gol y su distribuci贸n fue pobre (de nuevo), pero lo que me preocupa realmente es el sistema.#MUFC Image
No digo que sea culpa de Ten Hag, la plantilla era limitada, pero la ausencia de referencias por afuera para mantener la estructura del equipo dej贸 al #MUFC sin su mejor chance de retener 鈿斤笍 arriba.

Lo sacrific贸 para poblar el medio, y realmente no funcion贸. Ni soga ni cabra. 馃し鈥嶁檪锔
Sin Antony, ni Garnacho/Rashford para jugar por fuera, definitivamente el plan A del DT para ganar este partido, se descart贸 antes del 0'.

El plan B iba a requerir potencia y despliegue, algo que Eriksen no puede presumir ahora. Pero su salida y 鈿斤笍 quieta lo manten铆an en cancha. Image
Read 16 tweets

Leo los reportes desde dentro del #MUFC sobre el DT dando la derecha para que David De Gea siga en el club y no me sorprende en lo absoluto.

Y creo que tiene mucho que ver con Dave pero m谩s con el contexto del equipo. Breve 馃У de an谩lisis 馃憞

M谩s de lo que imaginas. Lo 1ro es aclarar que Ten Hag no est谩 jugando como en Ajax. Quiere pero no tiene las piezas.
Se adapt贸 a la capacidad de contra del #ManUtd e impuso su idea hasta donde pudo para tener mejor forma.

Analicemos al resto.
Las posibles llegadas est谩n limitadas por el nuevo FFP. Ante la incertidumbre por nuevos due帽os, no hay un claro camino en formaci贸n de plantilla.

馃驴C贸mo vender a los que no quiere el DT?
馃驴Ser谩 Murtough o habr谩 nuevo Director Deportivo?
馃驴Cu谩nto $ realmente est谩 disponible?
Read 16 tweets
#DeGea showing how to deal with a long range 1v1!

He initially stays deep & therefore doesn鈥檛 gift an easy chip/sidefoot finish by maximising his reaction time!

But once #Antonio takes the additional touch #DDG rushes out quickly & forms the block & snuffs out the shot!

If #DeGea had rushed out to engage this touch he would鈥檝e turned a 38% goal probability chance into a 61% goal probability chance as MA could鈥檝e easily rounded him or chipped him!

By waiting he dictated the 1v1 to MA & made him make a decision, MA chose to take another touch鈥
This is when #DeGea really nailed it!

Rather than continuing to stay deep #DeGea realised that now MA was close enough that his reaction time may not be enough to save the shot so he rushed & formed the premeditated block barrier reducing the goal probability to 34%!

Read 6 tweets
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Read 16 tweets
#DeGea continues to be one of the best GKs vs long range 1v1s!

When #Anthony gets in #DeGea doesn鈥檛 rush out & gift an easy finish but holds deep & let鈥檚 his def recover & pressure the ball!

DDGs top decision making turned a 37% goal probability situation into a 16% one!

Gks, don鈥檛 always deal with these situations well & often panic & rush out allowing strikers to either chip it over them or curl it round them

Staying calm & letting your defenders pressure the ball & only rushing out once the striker is closer to goal is a vital skill to master
For those people saying it was a easy save:

#DeGea made the save look easy & made the save far easier for himself due to his top class decision to hold deep & then use his top hand. This made a difficult situation comfortable!

Great decision making makes hard saves easy!

Read 4 tweets
The #PremierLeague is back!

How has your team鈥檚 GK performed?

#Pickford鈥檚 class shot stopping & distribution puts him top 馃彺鬆仹鬆仮鬆仴鬆伄鬆仹鬆伩

#Pope, #Henderson, & #Leno have had great starts at their new clubs馃Г

Big mistakes have cost #DeGea & #Ramsdale 馃槺

#Ward has struggled in all areas 馃槥
The GK xG model shown above looks at every shot faced, pass received, cross faced & through ball faced & calculates the probability of a goal occurring for & against the GK鈥檚 team before the event & after the event occurs!

Thus it measures & evaluates every action a GKs makes!
This allows all GKs to be given a single number measured in goals called

鈥淭otal Value in Goals鈥

Which describes the GK鈥檚 value to their side vs having a league average GK & takes into account everything they do meaning GKs of vastly different styles can be fairly compared!
Read 7 tweets
A GK鈥檚 handling ability is vital & often under analysed!

Here #DeGea showed how handling can determine a game鈥檚 outcome when he parried a 49mph central shot into danger & the rebound was scored!

xRebound xG = 0.09
Actual Rebound xG = 0.47

xG added due to poor handling = 0.38
My handling model uses historic shot data to gauge how often certain shots should be expected to be caught, parried away from danger, & parried into danger in combination with a none shot xG model which assesses how likely rebounds are to be scored based on the parry location
My model found that due the shot鈥檚 lower than avg velocity & central trajectory an avg PL GK would expect to parry the ball into an area which resulted in a goal from the rebound only 9% of the time whereas #DeGea pushed it into an area which results in a goal 47% of the time!
Read 8 tweets
My 1st @goalkeeper_com piece:

How many goals were the big 6 GKs worth vs the avg #PL GK?

#Alisson was worth ~19 goals! What more does a GK have to do to get #POTY!

#DeGea was the best shot stopper but his weak shot prevention & distribution meant he was only worth ~3 goals!
#Ederson was the best distributer & his shot preventing was class but his below average shot stopping means his value is far below #Alisson鈥檚!

#Ramsdale鈥檚 performances at the end of the season were average but his incredible start means he ended the year with great numbers!
#Mendy was in 2nd place for goal value throughout the year but a poor final few games caused him to drop off, still he was worth ~6 goals to #Chelsea!

#Lloris has gone under the radar this year & while his distribution was pretty weak his shot stopping & sweeping was class!
Read 10 tweets
#DeGea struggles with close range 1v1s continue!

His decision making is good, as he doesn鈥檛 engage too soon & only engages once he cannot to react in time to the shot, but his problem is, as always, the way he twists his body away from contact which leaves gaps in his barrier! ImageImageImageImage
My model finds that if #DeGea had engaged the 1st touch the chance would鈥檝e been 0.64 ExG because even though the 1v1 is quite far from goal engaging in that location would make the GK very vulnerable to the chip, sidefoot finish, and being rounded. Image
Engaging the 2nd touch, as #DeGea does, means the chance is actually 0.42 ExG as even though the 1v1 is closer to goal when the GK engages here there is usually very little space to exploit over, through, or round the GK!

Thus #DeGea鈥檚 decision was certainly a good one! Image
Read 6 tweets

Today I鈥檒l breakdown #DeGea鈥檚 performance in the #PremierLeague using my bespoke GK models!

The headline is for the first time in 3 seasons #DeGea鈥檚 shot stopping skills are outweighing his weak shot prevention skills & thus far he has saved #MUFC ~5 additional goals! Image
Shot Stopping:

#DeGea鈥檚 shot stopping has been world class, my model predicts he has saved #MUFC ~5 goals more than an average #PL shot stopper would鈥檝e thus far!

The goalmouth map highlights just how hard #DeGea has been to beat, if you don鈥檛 hit the corners you won鈥檛 score! Image
Shot Stopping:

His Best 3 Saves (Lowest ExSave Saves Made) are below 馃槷:

1. 24% Save Probability vs Jesus

2. 34% Save Probability vs Almiron

3. 42% Save Probability vs Pukki

They highlight #DeGea big strength, his reflexes & ability to cover huge amounts of the goal area. ImageImageImage
Read 17 tweets
Last night was rough for #DeGea

The 1st goal was a textbook shot stopping technique selection mistake

The shot went next to DDG鈥檚 right foot but rather than go with his foot he went with his hand

It was odd to see as DDG鈥檚 shot stopping technique selection is usually flawless!
I actually thought #DeGea鈥檚 footwork before the shot occurred was excellent & it got him into a great position to make the save but his shot stopping technique selection let him down at the last moment & meant he couldn鈥檛 make the save!

The 1st goal was a mistake but I am way more concerned about the 2nd.

Even though #DeGea had ample time to judge the 1v1 would be from close range he failed to get close enough to the ball to maximise the goal area covered & snuff out the shot.

He needed to be on top of the CF!
Read 11 tweets
#DeGea鈥檚 ability to deal with crosses has quite rightly been criticised.

In the #PremierLeague #DeGea has only prevented 6 opposition chances occurring by claiming crosses!

My model finds this lack of activity means #MUFC concede on average an additional 0.14 ExG every game!
In comparison #Alisson of #LFC has prevented 18 opposition chances occurring by claiming crosses & #Alisson has played 90 fewer minutes!

This difference in cross claiming ability corresponds to #LFC facing on average roughly 0.36 fewer ExG per game in comparison to #MUFC!
Additionally #DeGea鈥檚 sweeping numbers have also been low this season.

In the #PremierLeague #DeGea has only prevented 4 opposition chances occurring by sweeping throughballs!

My model finds this lack of activity means #MUFC concede on average an additional 0.07 ExG every game!
Read 9 tweets
This is my favourite #DeGea #UCL save from yesterday

Because it didn鈥檛 require athleticism or reflexes it required calmness & good decision making!

38% of the time a 1v1 in that position results in a goal but after DDGs decision to rush back to his line & wait this falls to 7%! ImageImageImageImage
#DeGea showed you don鈥檛 need to start deep to get into such a position, he was over 12yrd out & was ready to sweep if he had to but because he made the decision to drop & react so quickly & confidently he managed to use his wonderful fast footwork to get back in time.

#MUFC #UCL Image
This save is another example of how the best GKs in the world make difficult moments look easy & make finishes harder for strikers & thus force them into hitting poor inaccurate shots

If you are interested in where my %鈥檚 come they are calculated by my 1v1 model see thread below
Read 5 tweets
#DeGea is one of the best GKs in the #PremierLeague when dealing with long range 1v1s & the save vs #Armstrong was great!

He knew AA was ~15yrd out so it would take a top finish to beat him so he didn鈥檛 need to rush out or gamble as that would only make AA鈥檚 finish easier

#MUFC ImageImageImageImage
It may look like a simple save in the end but that鈥檚 all down to #DeGea鈥檚 excellent decision making which massively reduces the chance quality

The composure DDG showed to stay deep to his line & not over commit early isn鈥檛 common, even in the #PremierLeague

Such top goalkeeping Image
Here鈥檚 a similar situation where the GK didn鈥檛 keep their composure during a long range 1v1 & rushed forward & gambled & as a result let in a pretty average finish

I am not using this to bash #Bachmann, instead I think it should be used to praise #DeGea, the DDG save wasn鈥檛 easy ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
De Gea gestern mit guten Beispiel daf眉r, wieso eine hohe Position noch lange keine hohe Reichweite sein muss. Da er am F眉nfer steht und relativ lange dort bleibt ehe er sich absetzt, hat er hier ein vermeidbares Gegentor kassiert.

#Keeperanalyse #VILMUN #MUFC #UELfinal
Durch ein fr眉heres Absetzen nach hinten h盲tte er sich mehr Reaktionszeit verschaffen k枚nnen und den Ball vermutlich halten k枚nnen. So steht #DeGea im Nirgendwo und kann weder den Raum verteidigen, noch Druck auf den Sch眉tzen aus眉ben.

Grunds盲tzlich bin ich bei Szenen aus dem Spiel heraus ein Fan von mutig positionierten Keepern. Es ist sogar unabdingbar, dass sie h枚her stehen und den Raum hinter der Abwehrkette proaktiv sichern.
Read 5 tweets
What a save from #DeGea

Unbelievably calm GKing in a crucial moment

It may look like a simple save but that鈥檚 all because of his exemplary decision to use the wait & react 1v1 strategy as the 1v1 was from long range!

Not many GKs could make such a good decision

The striker was ~16 yrds from the centre of goal & at a pretty wide angle (hard to see from the photo) so #DeGea鈥檚 decision to stay deep made the finish very difficult as he didn鈥檛 rush out & gift a simple dink/rounded finish
The great thing about #DeGea鈥檚 positioning here is that if the striker takes a touch rather than shooting he鈥檚 far enough off his line & prepared & ready to engage then, only once he knows the striker is so close to goal that he can no longer trust his reactions to make the save!
Read 8 tweets
#PremierLeague Shotstopping Performance Graphic:

#Ederson #Areola #Martinez & #Sanchez have been class 馃敟

#Henderson has outperformed #DeGea when it comes to shotstopping 馃攧

Despite criticism #Ramsdale #Pickford & #Guaita have performed at a roughly average top flight level 馃憖
Explanation of ExSaves:

ExSaves are calculated by looking at every shot a GK faces & using the shots distance, angle, trajectory, final location, the number of defenders in the way + other things & using historical data to find the probability that an avg PL GK makes the save...
...Therefore as a rough example a shot from 40yrds at a tight angle that goes down the middle of goal with all the teams defenders behind the ball may have an ExSave of 99% whereas a central 1v1 from 10yrds fired into the bottom corner may have an ExSave of 10%.
Read 4 tweets
#DeGea鈥檚 penalty record hasn鈥檛 been good recently & while the sample size is too small to conclude he鈥檚 bad at them his technique does seem flawed.

Preshot he pulls his foot inward in the opposite direction to his dive meaning he will always struggle to reach the corner!

#UEL ImageImageImageImage
This 鈥渘egative step鈥 means his footwork actually moves him further from the corner he wants to dive to rather than closer to it!

Therefore using this technique he will always at struggle to get across to penalties which are right in the corner even if he goes the correct way! Image
Ironically #Henderson鈥檚 is one of the best GKs I鈥檝e seen at using a strong 鈥減ositive鈥 step when facing PKs

Look at the ground he makes up preshot!

This means he can dive all the way to the corner & thus if he goes the right way he has a great chance of saving it!

#UEL ImageImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets

#Henderson鈥檚 shot prevention has been class in his first 8 #PremierLeague games & its played a big part in #ManchesterUnited鈥檚 success!

He is preventing 3.07 chances occurring per game corresponding to ~0.44 ExG per game!

That鈥檚 double #DeGea鈥檚 ExG prevented per game!
Here I will compare #Henderson鈥檚 cross claiming & sweeping (the two branches of shot prevention) so far this year to #DeGea鈥檚 & discuss how this has affected #ManchesterUnited鈥檚 defence.

I will use my shot prevention model as sadly mainstream models miss many important actions!

#Henderson鈥檚 sweeping has been highlighted after his tidy display vs #THFC & it wasn鈥檛 a one off!

So far this year for #ManchesterUnited he has prevented 11 opposition chances occurring by sweeping which corresponds to preventing 0.15 ExG/90 (#PL avg is 0.10 ExG/90)
Read 12 tweets
#Henderson鈥檚 cross claiming has been exceptional in his first 5 #PremierLeague appearances

#Henderson boasts a 100% claim success rate while being twice as active the average #PL GK!

His claiming is preventing #ManchesterUnited conceding chances worth ~0.4 ExG per game!

For comparison, #DeGea cross claiming numbers this year are:

Chances Prevented = 0.81
(Only 41% of DH)

ExG Prevented = 0.15
(Only 35% of DH)

Average Claim Distance = 4.5yrd (Only 78% of DH)

Claim Success = 95%
(95% of DH)

Catch Fraction = 58%
(104% of DH)

For more information on the metrics I quote in the graphics above please see this thread, it explains how I calculate which cross claims prevent chances & which don鈥檛 & how I assign ExG values to each claim & why it鈥檚 important to look deeper than 鈥渢otal high balls claimed鈥!
Read 6 tweets

Have #DeGea鈥檚 cross claiming & sweeping numbers changed dramatically this season in comparison to last season?

Below I will look into #DeGea鈥檚 sweeping & cross claiming performance in the 19/20 #PremierLeague season & compare it with his performance so far this year! Image
Claiming 19/20:

#DeGea prevented 0.77 chances per 90 occurring by claiming crosses

Average #PremierLeague GK prevents 1.10 chances per 90 occurring by claiming crosses

Key points

鈥 Attempts to claim infrequently

鈥 Mostly successful when he does attempt to claim

#MUFC Image
Claiming 20/21:

So far #DeGea has prevented 0.74 chances per 90 occurring by claiming crosses

#DeGea has performed in a very similar manner against crosses this year with his willingness to claim & his success when doing so remaining roughly the same.

#MUFC Image
Read 7 tweets
#DeGea鈥檚 ability to stop close range 1v1s has dropped off greatly recently:


He often chooses the optimum 1v1 technique he just gets the execution wrong!

Last night he failed to ground his foot & thus the ball squirmed under him

It鈥檚 these fine margins which stop #DeGea replicating his form of 17/18.

Again with the #Neymar goal he does the right thing trying to use the block but he drops into it too far from #Neymar he needs to get closer to him & fill more of the goal area if he wants to make the save. Image
The 3rd goal is on #Maguire.

#DeGea again gets the decision right to try to block but this time he also nails the execution & gives the PSG player nothing to hit.

But as #Maguire does not trust #DeGea he drops back to the line rather than marking #Neymar giving him a tap in. Image
Read 5 tweets
JWP鈥檚 FK is class & it would have been difficult for #DeGea to save regardless but yet again he gives himself no chance by getting his body shape wrong given his positioning

He needs to start higher off his line so his body angle doesn鈥檛 force him to dive into the goal!

If #DeGea stands ~1yrd forwards he will be able to cover the wall side without diving backwards into his goal + it won鈥檛 hinder his ability to defend his side as while it will cut his reaction time slightly the distance to the far post is such that it won鈥檛 make a big difference.
If #DeGea moved too far forwards (ie 2 to 3 yards) then obviously it would make high saves to his side difficult & cut his reaction time by a substantial amount thus make any save more tricky but I鈥檓 not suggesting such a big change.
Read 4 tweets
Last year #Guaita only saved 36% of the close range 1v1s he faced (only #Kepa & #DeGea were lower)

This is because he rarely forms a premeditated barrier before the shot is struck so gives himself no chance of making the save!

This weakness was exposed again tonight.

When shots are from close range there is simply not enough time for a GK to react therefore they have to get close to the striker & form a premeditated barrier & shrink the effective goal area & force the striker to 鈥渏ust hit the ball at them鈥

As the images below show
I analysed 800+ 1v1s in the #PremierLeague last year & using a logistic regression model found that the engage & react strategy that #Guiata regularly employs gives a GK a far lower chance of making the save vs the engage & block & the engage & spread premediated strategies.
Read 8 tweets

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