#UK#employment no.s show the horrendous cost of #lockdown leapfrog and all the other government stupidity during this pan(dem)ic.
Toll on self-employed getting on for 1 in 10
Total, economy-wide hours worked off 9.1% 1/x
#private sector #jobs down 422k (-378k ex rail worker shift). Public sector up 143k (+99k ex-rail).
Of the 280k total, 7 out of 8 lost by those starting out in life, 16-24 yo; within which more than 1 in 4 of 16-17 yo jobs gone, "POOF!!"
2/x
#redundancies have more than tripled from 106k to 370k, while #vacancies have fallen from 848k to 547k.
This means that everyone newly #unemployed now has 1.5 openings to chase versus 7.7 a year ago. Good luck with THAT!
3/x
Meanwhile, the #claimant count has >doubled, rising by 1.4 million in a few short months.
Those in work now outnumber those looking for it by only ~12:1 v ~27:1 last year. Compared to private payrolls, the ratio has collapsed to 10:1 from 22:1
4/x
Overall, 942,000 workforce #jobs have vanished, 3/4 of a million in #services.
Survivors' average #wages probably biased up by loss of lowest-paid but, even so, Public sector +4.1% yoy gain clearly outstrips Private's 2.4%.
CLAP! CLAP! 5/x
Keep it up, all you safely-ensconsed #PHE panjandrums & cosily-tenured #SAGE sciencemongers!
A few more rounds of #lockdown & you'll have succeeded in spreading enough pain, misery, poverty plus all manner of physical & mental illness to blight a whole generation's chances
6/x
“As a biddable ignoramus who has somehow jockeyed his way into becoming your elected representative, I do not consider it my duty to keep abreast of what world leaders or their guiding Technocrats are openly declaring to be their mission”
Let’s fix that for him: 1/x #GreatReset
I’m an MP, but. I don’t follow what international bodies and policy makers around the world are discussing - or even what my friends in the Other Place are saying. 1/x #GreatReset l
The UK has so far suffered ~50k excess deaths ‘with #COVID19 mentioned on the death certificate’ - 6 out of 7 aged 65+, 1/3 in care homes, 1/5 in hospitals where many were 1st infected.
At the same time, government has borrowed almost £150 billion more than in 2019... 1/3
... that works out at almost £3 million per death and counting.
Do you suppose better management could have lowered both the death toll AND the cost? EG by protecting the vulnerable, treating the sick -with or w/out #COVID19(84) - setting everyone else free!! 2/3
FYI projections for full FY20-21 borrowing were already almost double the current tab, at £372bln - imagine what they look like now that the #BorisJohnson Junta, Nicola Maduro #Sturgeon, et al, have swung the Camp #Covid gates shut again on the Flu-lag Archipelago! 3/3
'Pulling #consumption forward' is an unhelpful euphemism for 'engaging in #capital consumption': more graphically, 'writing cheques the people can't cash'.
Self-sustaining #growth requires coherence between consumption & production not just today, but over time. 1/x #centralbanks
That latter is difficult enough to achieve without #centralbankers & policy-makers in general trying to impose their own vision of the balance (one always narrowly biased to the present) on a system composed of billions of interacting needs & preferences. 2/x #bankofenfgland
The unavoidable (Rumsfeldian) uncertainty -as well as the calculable risks- is made much greater when every fluctuation today -itself a direct result of IN-coherence, largely inflicted from above- is greeted with yet another blunt-force trauma assault on the capital structure
3/x
This must END! It is beyond all logic and utterly out of proportion to the immense harm it is causing, economically, socially, and politically.
NO #Lockdown2
Here are the EU no.s for the UK. These 'Z-scores' are basically a statistcial means of detrending the raw numbers and to provide measures of normal variation from the trend.
Death rates in the UK are UNDER not just the average, but the expected divergence below it!
In the 85 days since restrictions were largely ended at the start of June, 49 deaths have been attributed to #COVID19.
Not even allowing for population increases, the previous 10-year average mortality for these 12 weeks is 13,657.
1 in 278 is NOISE!