I'm going with the experts. #Georgia did it... again!
I'm not an expert on Georgia politics, but simply living here for almost 10 years makes me more of an expert than 95% of pundits in national media, so here is quick #thread
1. This is a victory for African American grassroots campaigning. Sure, @staceyabrams has been amazing, but many, many others have been too.
2. African Americans have come through big for Georgia, and thereby the US. They finally deserve the credit, not just as "followers" but as LEADERS of Democratic politics.
3. Give that both Ossoff and Warnock are winning with (much) larger margins than Biden, this is a clear rejection of the popular claim among (white) pundits that Democrats can only win with support of "moderate Republicans" (i.e. anti-Trump Republicans).
4. Talking about "centrism" (i.e. Democrats should behave as moderate Republicans), so popular in opinion pages of all major US newspapers, while Ossoff and Warnock are not lefties, they are not centrists (by Georgia standards) either.
5. Both Ossoff and Warnock ran assertive campaigns, standing for liberal politics, not backing down to crazy accusations by right-wing media and politicians. And they won!
6. Neither Loeffler nor Perdue were particularly strong candidates. But neither will Brian Kemp be in 2022. Georgia has a divided Republican base (mostly rural vs. suburban).
7. The Georgia runoff shows that the GOP has a massive Trump problem. As long as he chooses to remain active in (Republican) politics, he will be a threat to the party in close contests.
8. Now, Georgia is not "the South". Not even the Southeast. No other state has Atlanta! Moreover, Georgia has one of the fastest changing populations in the South, which has played a major role.
9. So don't expect Alabama, Arkansas or Mississippi to turn blue any time soon.
Moreover, Democrats will have to earn and repay the trust of the non-white communities, from African American to Latinx. @JoeBiden should get with the program fast!
10. As said, I just live here, and there are far better experts on Georgia politics (sadly, they are rarely interviewed outside of Georgia). So take this all for what it's worth. 🤷♂️
There are lot of received wisdoms about #FarRight (often wrongly referred to as #populism ) and #COVID19 so @JakubWondreys and I looked into it. Turns out, shocker, most are wrong.
Below is link to Open Access article. Main points in #thread
1. We focused exclusively on main far right parties in Europe and on the first wave. However, recent update shows that little has changed.
2. First, we looked into stereotype that "populists" (i.e. far right) ignores or minimizes COVID-19. This is almost exclusively based on Bolsonaro and Trump, who turn out to be exceptions rather than rule.
1. Even before Biden was crowned "president-elect" the different sides opened up the power struggle. Progressives mainly through social media, centrists mainly through traditional media.
2. Progressives argued that they had increased turnout, including in swing states (eg Omar in MN), and thereby won Biden the election.
As we are starting to analyze and assess the Trump presidency, we should also start analyzing our own coverage of it, both academic and journalistic.
Much was predicted that didn't come true and much came true that wasn't predicted.
And, yes, I said "we". 👈
For example, until COVID-19 really hit, I thought Trump was going to be re-elected (again lose popular vote but win EC). Until November 3 I thought Biden would win in landslide but worried Trump would sneak out an EC win. 1/2
It's three-year anniversary of deadly "Unite the Right" rally. Some quick observations. #Thread
1. The "Right" is as "united" as it was three years ago, i.e. not at all.
2. The "alt-right" was a hype, both as a concept and as a movement. It was yet another example of how most media were (unintentionally?) acted as booster of far right messaging.
These type of articles will always go viral, because they "confirm" received wisdom, but life is much more complicated, and most radicalization has important online AND offline components. #Threadnytimes.com/2018/11/24/opi…
1. Let me start with an important caveat: I am NOT expert on online radicalization or (far right) terrorism. But this article is about far right/white supremacy in general.
2. Obviously, Internet plays a major role in radicalization these days because, well, Internet plays a major role in all our socialization. Most people (part. youths) get almost all info from Internet.