IMF today revised India's GDP growth forecast for FY22 from 8.8% to 11.5%,making it fastest growing global economy

#IMF listed India as only major economy of the world to register double-digit growth in FY22,thx to pathbreaking reforms&mega vaccine roll out by @narendramodi govt
For CY21/FY22,while IMF projects 11.5% for India,it says global GDP will grow by only 5.5%

Advanced economies to grow by just 4.3%&EMs by 6.3%

China@ 8%,Spain@5.9%&France with GDP growth of 5.5%,are the other projections

India's rebound under @narendramodi govt,to be fastest
L&T,#EPC behemoth, reported 17% rise in Profit,with margins up 80bps at 12%

Worth noting that L&T's order book at Rs 3.31 lakh Cr,is up a massive 76% YoY&the highest that it has ever reported in a quarter

Strong order inflows despite #COVID19,shows capex cycle is turning around
#KotakMahindraBank saw heathy rise in standalone profit at Rs 1854Cr,up 16.2% YoY,with NII up 16.8%

Consol PAT up 10.8%

Barely 600Cr or 0.28% of loan book is troubled,as per 6th Aug circular💪

Healthy Profits came,despite #Covid provision of 1249Cr

SMA2 accounts,under control
*Provision of 1279Cr

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More from @Sanju_Verma_

22 Jan
Against market expectations of 753Cr loss,#YesBank reports profit of Rs 151Cr,with NII growth of solid 31%

Gross NPAs down 8.6% QoQ
Net NPAs down 12.8%

What a brilliant turnaround,thx to timely action by @narendramodi govt

Note:Yes reported Profit despite Provisions up by 85%
#TataMotors reports highest ever PV sales in Dec'20 qtr,in 33 quarters

Ditto with #JSWSteel,which,despite input inflation,recorded highest ever Q3 sales,in its history

#Infosys recently reported Constant Currency growth of 5.3%,in Dec qtr,highest ever in 8 yrs
#EconomicRecovery
#JSWSteel numbers are pretty interesting

Profit at 2669Cr in Dec Qtr,up a massive 1327% YoY

Revenue up 21%,with Ebitda/tonne in excess of Rs13000

Ebitda at 5946Cr,up a solid 143%

Margins at 27.2%,up a whopping 1360bps

And all this,despite global headwinds
#EconomicRecovery💪
Read 5 tweets
21 Jan
Sensex scripting history today,by breaching 50000 for 1st time,is vindication of investor faith in @narendramodi gov

#Sensex,from 40000 on Oct8'20 to 50000 in just 74 sessions&from 45000 on Nov4'20 to 50K today,in 32 trading days,reflects economic momentum

Modi naysayers,quiet!
When #StockMarket plummeted to lows of 25000 at peak of #COVID19 crisis,few had envisaged such meteoric rise from index's 3yr low

Plethora of factors fuelled rally

Liquidity push,FII buying,good corporate earnings,mega vaccine roll out&economic traction under @narendramodi govt
Rs 4633 Cr #IRFC IPO has been subscribed 3.49x on final day of 3 day bidding process;Issue received bids for 435 Crore equity shares as against offered size of 124Cr equity shares

35% of #IPO reserved for #Retail investors,saw 3.53x subscription, with #QIB oversubscribed 3.78x💪
Read 7 tweets
14 Jan
#Fitch,last year said,in FY22,India's #GDP growth will be in 8.5-9.5% range,but has now upgraded it's forecast,saying India under @narendramodi,will grow by solid 11% in 2021-22💪

GDP growth estimates for India in FY22 👇
IMF 8.8%
Nomura 9.9%
India Ratings 9.9%
Goldman Sachs 13%
Fitch,while lauding Modi Govt said,India is unusual among EMs,in having secured pre-orders of various vaccines,sufficient to cover a population-wide programme,having pre-ordered 1.6 billion vaccine doses,including 500 mln of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine through a local producer
M&M expects Tractor industry to grow between 17-19% in FY22;If overall #AutoIndustry grows by 15-20%,cascading effect on GDP growth,will be superior

After stellar Nos by TCS,#Infosys also reported solid 16.6% YoY rise in consol net profit at 5197Cr for Dec qtr
#Economy #Earnings
Read 6 tweets
13 Jan
CPI@ 4.59% in Dec Vs 6.93% in Nov'20;It is for first time in current fiscal that #CPI,below 6%

In Jan2021,CPI may be lower than RBI forecast of 5.8%,which is good news

#CoreCPI in Dec,5.65% Vs 5.84% MoM

Money market rates,lower than #ReverseRepo,implying low rates here to stay
#FoodInflation 3.41% in Dec,Vs 9.43% in Nov

Vegetable Inflation@ -10.41% Vs 15.63%💪

Fuel&Light Inflation@ 2.99% Vs 1.90%

Housing Inflation@3.21% Vs 3.19%

Clothing&Footwear Inflation@ 3.49% Vs 3.30%

Cereal Inflation@0.98% Vs 2.32% (MoM)

Pulses Inflation@15.98% Vs 17.91%
Apart from #Tesla registering with RoC,big news is,IRFC's IPO of 4600Cr;opens on 18th Jan,in price band of 25-26

#IRFC,set up in 1986,is first NBFC in PSU sector,to go public

#IRCTC listed on 14thOct'19 at Rs644,a 101% premium to book price of 320&has been a huge wealth creator
Read 4 tweets
10 Dec 20
#Nomura says,India will be fastest growing Asian economy in FY22,with GDP growth of 9.9;GDP growth to be 32.4% in 1QFY22&10.2% in 2QFY22

Fee weeks back #GoldmanSachs had upgraded India's GDP growth forecast from 10% to 13% for FY22

#IMF is at 8.8%& #Moody's at 8.6%

#Modinomics
Few
@narendramodi govt's decision to sell 20% in IRCTC at base price of Rs 1367,via #OFS tomr,is a great move

1367 is,15.5% discount to Wednesday's closing of Rs1618;52 week high&low is Rs 1995 &775

#IRCTC got listed last yr&was subscribed a whopping 112x

GoI owns 87.4% stake
Read 10 tweets
7 Dec 20
RBI credit policy on 4thDec raised GDP forecast for FY21,from minus 9.5% to minus 7.5%;GDP growth will turn +ve in Q3 at 0.1%&0.7% in Q4

Remarkable speed of the turnaround amidst worst pandemic in 102yrs has lots to do with @narendramodi govt's blistering pace of Agri #Reforms💪
CPI in Sep&Oct'20 came in at 7.3%&7.6% and that is precisely why RBI did not lower rates&rightfully so

WPI came at 1.32%&1.48% in Sep&Oct 2020

Supply disruptions&labour shortages,key reasons for high CPI

CPI will fall to 6.8% in Dec&5.8% in Jan2021

Accommodative stance by RBI
Inflation target for 1HFY22 by RBI has been kept@4.6-5.2% range

Core inflation is sticky,feeding into high inflationary expectations but resumption of normality will ease supply bottlenecks&ease #Core

#Accommodative stance leaves window open for rate cuts,albeit not immediately
Read 5 tweets

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