#Nomura says,India will be fastest growing Asian economy in FY22,with GDP growth of 9.9;GDP growth to be 32.4% in 1QFY22&10.2% in 2QFY22

Fee weeks back #GoldmanSachs had upgraded India's GDP growth forecast from 10% to 13% for FY22

#IMF is at 8.8%& #Moody's at 8.6%

#Modinomics
Few
@narendramodi govt's decision to sell 20% in IRCTC at base price of Rs 1367,via #OFS tomr,is a great move

1367 is,15.5% discount to Wednesday's closing of Rs1618;52 week high&low is Rs 1995 &775

#IRCTC got listed last yr&was subscribed a whopping 112x

GoI owns 87.4% stake
Modi Govt will sell up to 2.4 crore equity shares of #IRCTC,akin to 15% of paid-up equity share capital of company

For Sep 2020 qtr,IRCTC saw revenue of 88.56 Cr with net profit of 32.64 Cr

#OFS open only to non-retail investors today

Bodes well for GoI's #Disinvestment
target
Nov'20 Car sales were steady after a phenomenal October;Maruti sold 1.36 lakh units Vs 1.39 lakh in Nov'19,dip of 2%

But Hyundai,Tata Motors,Kia, Mahindra&Mahindra&Honda recorded healthy numbers

Mahindra’s UV sales saw 27% growth&broader passenger vehicle segment,growth of 24%
Honda Cars had rewarding festive season&clocked domestic sales of 9990 units in Nov’20 Vs 6459 units sold in Nov'19,growth of 55%

#HeroMoto,world’s largest 2-wheeler Co,sold 5.91 lakh units in Nov'20,a 14% jump over last yr

Hero's great numbers were aided by record retail sales
Hero sold 14 lakh units in just 32 day period between Navratra&Bhai-Dooj

Chennai-based TVS Motor also saw great numbers,with 21% higher sales at 3.23 lakh units in Nov,backed by 2-wheelers that grew a solid 30%

Honda motorcycles saw 11% growth

Economic Recovery,powering ahead
Passenger vehicle sales in Nov rose 12.73% to 2.85 lakh units& 2-wheeler sales up 13.43% to 16 lakh units

Motorcycle sales were at 10.27 lakh units,up 14.9%;Scooter sales up 9.29% at 5.03 lakh units

Moot point is,despite festive season being over,auto sales were robust in Nov
On 9th Dec @narendramodi govt gave Rs 6195.08 Cr towards Post Devolution #RevenueDeficit Grant,to States;Centre will give Rs 74341Cr overall,to States,annually

Kerala received largest share at 1277 Cr,followed by Himachal Pradesh at 953Cr,Punjab at 638Cr &Assam,632Cr

#Economy
Reams of paper were written on how @narendramodi gov is unfair to States like Kerala,but data suggests, Kerala has in fact,been getting highest share of #Grant, given to States

Not a word from Kerala's Finance Minister either,who otherwise,takes to Twitter,to target Central govt

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Sanju Verma

Sanju Verma Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Sanju_Verma_

7 Dec
RBI credit policy on 4thDec raised GDP forecast for FY21,from minus 9.5% to minus 7.5%;GDP growth will turn +ve in Q3 at 0.1%&0.7% in Q4

Remarkable speed of the turnaround amidst worst pandemic in 102yrs has lots to do with @narendramodi govt's blistering pace of Agri #Reforms💪
CPI in Sep&Oct'20 came in at 7.3%&7.6% and that is precisely why RBI did not lower rates&rightfully so

WPI came at 1.32%&1.48% in Sep&Oct 2020

Supply disruptions&labour shortages,key reasons for high CPI

CPI will fall to 6.8% in Dec&5.8% in Jan2021

Accommodative stance by RBI
Inflation target for 1HFY22 by RBI has been kept@4.6-5.2% range

Core inflation is sticky,feeding into high inflationary expectations but resumption of normality will ease supply bottlenecks&ease #Core

#Accommodative stance leaves window open for rate cuts,albeit not immediately
Read 5 tweets
25 Nov
Sensex at 44000+,Nifty at 13000+ & #BankNifty at 9 month high of 30000+💪

Amongst top gainers in rally are SBI,ICICI Bank&Axis Bank;549% rise in Profit in #ICICIBank,reinforces, rally is not just liquidity driven,but excellent Sep qtr results have played big role

#EconomyRising
SBI reported PAT of 4574.16Cr in Sep'20 qtr,up 52% YoY&9% QoQ

Note,most analysts were not expecting SBI to clock profit of more than 2100 or 2200Cr

PBT for #SBI came at 6341.45Cr,up 25.33%,YoY&14.3%,QoQ

Operating profit was up 12% at 16460Cr in Q2FY21

#EconomyRising #Banks
#SBI is not any other Bank;It is biggest Bank in India,accounting for one fourth of India's lending activity, so great results by SBI,signify, #EconomyRising

NII at 28182Cr,up 5.7%,QoQ

NIMs up 12bps YoY at 3.34%

GNPA in Sep Qtr fell to 5.28% Vs 5.44% in June qtr,with NPAs down
Read 7 tweets
25 Oct
My Oped of 4300 words in @eOrganiser analyses post-2005, high growth era,with GSDP@ 11.3%, with the Jungle Raaj in Bihar,in the pre-2005 era,when GSDP was just 3.19%--I dissect Bihar's economic rise from a #Bimaru State,to being an over 7 lakh Cr economy

organiser.org/Encyc/2020/10/…
Length of intermediate lanes in Bihar was 1705 km till 2005;it rose to 5654km under NDA,with rapid progress in last few yrs,thx to @narendramodi 💪

Similarly 15 years ago,length of seven metre wide,double-lane State highway was 107km,which rose to 4429 km under #NDA
#BiharPolls
Both Central&State govts allotted Rs 2672Cr in past 3yrs for constructing road network of 1636 km&75 bridges in 5 extremist-hit districts of Bihar

Under #RJD,#Bihar was a den of Maoist led #Naxalism,but under #NDA,it has become an aspirational, growth centric State

#BiharPolls
Read 4 tweets
13 Oct
One-time disbursement of Special #FestivalAdvance,to amount to Rs4000Cr

If given by all state govts,another 8000Cr is expected to be disbursed& employees can spend on any festival

Interest free advance of Rs 10000 under #SpecialFestivalAdvance,to be paid back in 10 instalments
Govt employees will get pre loaded #Rupay card of advance value&scheme will be available till March 31st 2021,for #FestivalAdvance scheme

For #LTCCashVoucher scheme,cost will be Rs 5675Cr for central govt employees who opt for it,leading to demand infusion of 19000Cr
#DemandPush
For PSUs&PSB employees who opt for #LTCCashVoucher,cost will be Rs1900Cr&demand infusion will be for 9000Cr

To avail of #LTCCashVoucher,you have to buy goods with #GST of 12% or more,via digital modes

With #COVID19 derailing travel plans,cash voucher in lieu of LTC,a good move
Read 5 tweets
12 Oct
#RetailInflation in Sep@7.34%,Vs 6.69% in Aug,is due to rise in food price index which rose from 9.05% to 10.68%,MoM

Uptick in #foodinflation is temporary &driven by #COVID related supply disruptions--We had bumper crop last year&FY21,should see bumper agri production,yet again!
By Dec,#CPI should ease& inflationary pressure will abate,due to #BaseEffect& #Kharif arrivals

Note:Kharif sowing was up between 50-88%,for most crops,despite #lockdown

With INR@73.11/$ level,threat of imported inflation is minimal

#CoreInflation at sub 6%,bodes well
#economy
#IIP contraction in Aug at 8% Vs 10.8% in July,is driven by relatively better numbers from #Mining& #ConsumerNonDurables

After record #ManufacturingPMI of 56.8 in Sep,#ServicesPMI at 49.8 Vs 41.8 in Aug,is a good sign💪

#TradeDeficit in Sep@ $2.9 Vs $10.9,in Sep2019,bodes well
Read 5 tweets
10 Oct
Banks have sanctioned Rs 1.87 lakh Cr,to 50.7 lakh units under the Rs 3-lakh crore Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme,#ECLGS,of @narendramodi govt💪

Rs 1.36 lakh Cr has been disbursed to over 27 lakh units in #MSME sector,impacted by slowdown caused by #coronavirus pandemic
Ambit of scheme,expanded to include #MSMEs with turnover of up to Rs 250Cr&individuals for business purposes

As of 5thOct2020,Rs 17460Cr of loans to individuals have been sanctioned,of which 5939Cr has been disbursed

#ECLGS scheme is a big success
#EconomicRecovery #GreenShoots
As many as 33 stranded housing projects with investment of 4197Cr accorded final approval under #SWAMIH scheme

Special window for Affordable&Mid Income Housing Fund #SWAMIH,is working at fast pace to provide relief to 25048 homeowners
#EconomicRecoveryOnTrack #ECLGS #GreenShoots
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!