2) Also #B117 surge predicted by Switzerland to also take over and cause a surge soon too.
Again, nothing to write home about. Move along. Look away.
3) US is totally fine... what the worry when we only have this kind of curve for #B117 %... not to worry. Who’s afraid of a 40-60% more contagious #COVID19. Like, as if America would ever follow Germany 🇩🇪 footsteps. Cuz we are 🇺🇸 right? Land of no masks in Texas MS FL and more.
4) And Florida is like totally fine. It hasn’t even crossed 50% #B117 yet! That means parties for everyone in @GovRonDeSantis country! Who’s afraid of a little pesky faster transmitting variant that is exponentially surging and 60% more severe?!!
5) At this point there are almost no models that I can find in which cases don’t rise in April anymore.
7) Latest Canadian govt models... it’s not pretty either. Only with strict mitigation can we get it down. The current health measures (light grey) won’t work anymore with the new variants.
8) that said, our fate is not sealed. We can stop it if we choose... Terminator 2 quote here is appropriate
VACCINE ESCAPE OF VARIANTS vs Pfizer-BioNTech & NIH-Moderna: Troubling new peer-reviewed paper shows even 2-dose recipients have serious trouble neutralizing the #B1351 🇿🇦 variant—as little as vs old SARS & bat coronavirus. #P1 is poor too. 1-dose worse. Lots of graphs🧵 #COVID19
2) First let’s cover some good news, that having 2 doses clearly MUCH MUCH better than 1 dose alone of either the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines versus neutralizing the classic #SARSCoV2 common strain. cell.com/cell/pdf/S0092…
3) Notably, notice how much stronger in neutralization the blood of people with 2 doses of either Pfizer (dark blue) or Moderna (dark red) is versus the 1 dose of each. Note the logarithmic y-axis. So the difference is even greater.
Pretty amazing that we knew about ventilation and indoor air quality back in 1896. Sad that it takes 2 full blown global pandemic since then to heed these lessons.
So much suffering preventable by adage: “The solution to pollution is dilution / ventilation”. #COVID19#Ventilate
2) CANARY IN THE COAL MINE FOR SCHOOLS: a tech savvy dad strapped a CO2 monitor to his kid to check air CO2 exposure on a school trip. Crazy high CO2 indicates poor indoor ventilation.
Ventilation & air disinfection will prevent outbreaks. #COVID19#Ventilate
3) Key thing - it’s not the CO2 per se that directly affects #Covid19 risk, but that CO2 is a proxy for ventilation. We want CO2 levels as close to fresh air of ~400, so optimally <450 parts per mil.
FYI: normal CO2 used be in <325 ppm when I was born. Now it’s 420-450 ppm in 🌎
Long Covid is serious. Britain ONS estimates that 23.6% of women with #COVID19 and 20.7% of men continued to experience symptoms five weeks after they tested positive for the virus. Nearly 10% had symptoms 12 weeks later. 🧵 #LongCovid bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
2) the fact that 1 in 3 get rehospitalized from #COVID19 is just incredibly mind boggling.
Did you know—30 million doses of the Oxford-AstraZeneca are sitting idle in the US, awaiting results from its U.S. clinical trial while countries that have authorized its use beg for access. That is 30 million doses sitting idle in Ohio factory! #COVID19nytimes.com/2021/03/11/us/…
2) “Emergent BioSolutions, a company in Maryland that AstraZeneca has contracted to manufacture its vaccine in the United States, has also produced enough vaccine in Baltimore for tens of millions more doses once it is filled into vials and packaged, the official said.
3) “But although AstraZeneca’s vaccine is already authorized in more than 70 countries, according to a company spokesman, its U.S. clinical trial has not yet reported results, and the company has not applied to the Food and Drug Administration for emergency use authorization.
One age group is not like the others. Before you say age 0-9 higher because it’s just elderly lower—it’s not, 0-9 is the only group increasing in Netherlands🇳🇱.
This higher relative infection trend in children age 0-9 is also seen nationwide in 🇫🇷 🇬🇧 🇮🇹 🇮🇱. 🧵