$SNY looks like they are ready for a Genomic Medicine Unity #GMU coming out year in C21. Many hires. Many open reqs. Building on Ablynx, Bioverativ and Kiadis M&A #GeneTherapy
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$SNY #GMU head of Rare and Neurologic Disease Research is Christian Mueller. Video into is pretty good
Addl heads include Bruno Figueroa (CMC) and Cate O'Riordan (translational unit)
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$SNY #GMU Principal Scientist Robert Jackson profile says he is working on: Huntingtin's, MLD, PKU, Neurophathies, T1Diabetes Hypertension, Nephrophaty, vascular disease, Rheumatoid Arthritis and sensorineural hearing loss
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$SNY John Reed has been pointing at #GeneTherapy for 3 yrs after saying they were just "dabbling" in 2018 and needed to make this a cornerstone of the future. 4/ biopharmadive.com/news/sanofi-jo…
Notable in the BiopharmaDive interview with Reed was the lack of a pipeline - especially after jettison a couple including the collab with $VYGR. Only 2 #Celltherapy programs in clinic with a few others in preclinic. The 2 in clinic are collabs with $SGMO for SCD BetaT
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$SNY clearly needs to show expertise with these 2 clinical programs. The EMA minute notes are the first real indication that it may be happening which sets up for a dataset rollout later this year....ASH? ema.europa.eu/en/documents/m…
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Notable is the reference in $SNY Mueller video. 'Beginning to work on capsid evolution'. Sounds like they are clearly aware that the work by Shaffer at $FDMT and Ojala at $SGMO are the future. They signed a collab agreement with Sirion in Feb but vaccine background is key
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$SNY has said they are open to large M&A to accelerate. Still think it is a year away but don't be surprised if they pursue $SGMO. Picks up at least a half dozen programs of interest, 3 yrs of AAV evolution research and platform leverage in Neuro seekingalpha.com/article/439595…
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Can't help but wonder what the heck all these development milestone events are for $SNY $SGMO hemoglobinopathy programs. BT/SCD/Other? 10 events and 34 total triggers? Hope they at least round up to nearest $1k
$SNY has been re-engineering their pipeline to focus on best/first in class potential and gene therapy. The Rare Blood Disorders is one of the cornerstones. Hemoglobinopathies are viewed as an emerging growth area per their website. 9/
The R&D P3 focus in RBD is anti-thrombin. P2 shows only 2 programs in Cell Therapy and 4 in RBD 10/
The $SNY R&D pipeline last fall showed the upcoming data for $SGMO programs were considered POC internally. The updated list last month shows these have been removed - coincidentally after the EMA Orphan designation and minutes showed strong data 11/
This morning $SNY announced they were exclusively out-licensing two small molecule #SCD programs to $GBT. The dots connect themselves. $SGMO collab programs are now the focus in hemoglobinopathies and #CellTherapy 12/ streetinsider.com/Corporate+News…
Part II of the $CRSP $SGMO comparison will hopefully be a bit less dry now that Part I updates are in place. This thread will focus more on valuation, outlook and why the valuation cycle should matter to investors.
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Let's start with the concept of #Disruptive technologies. The originator of disruptive innovation theory, Clayton Christensen worked with HBR in 2015 to revisit the past 20 years. 2/ hbr.org/2015/12/what-i…
#GenomicMedicine is disrupting Big Pharma who has begun to respond by spinning off old product lines and jumping into #GeneTherapy. 3/
This is the third edition of my tweetstorms on #GeneTherapy#CellTherapy#GeneEditing. This one compares $SGMO to $CRSP and attempts to look at #GenomeMedicine from the perspectives laid out by C.Woods at ARK This is part one of the series. Pt 2 tomorrow AM 1/20
The charts of both are attached and useful context. $CRSP went public in 2016. The weekly chart is attached and notes the pct ownership of $ARKG $ARKK since CY18. Prior the stock was stagnant below the support/resistance levels show. 2/20
I'm including two charts for $SGMO. Wkly and Mthly. The weekly shows they were pulled along with the #geneediting group The monthly shows this rally/bust cycle is not unique. Compare the SGMO 2017-2018 to CRSP. Pretty similar. More later. 3/20
Appears Cowen published a useful courtesy $SGMO rept for investors prior to their annual HC conference. Most of the verbiage is an accumulation of prior reports. They have higher model royalties for $PFE and $SNY royalties than mine. Not a SOTP or full blown model
Cowen states that though the prelim data on $SNY collab was unimpressive, they are cautiously optimistic. My fcst was pushed out several years consistent with $BLUE issues and probability that more issues will crop up for $CRSP and $SGMO programs.
Attached screenshot of Cowen P&L is consistent with reported $SGMO revenue in C19 including:
- Research reimbursement $16m (mostly Gilead/Sanofi)
- Upfront amort $46m
- Milestones $39m
$ARKG Tweet series
This series of tweets is my opinion only. Cathie Wood has created a group of ETFs that target the disruptive innovation that is both happening and accelerating. These funds have had stellar performance based upon innovation trends and economic theory. 1/
The $ARKG fund description is a good place to start. This has changed recently to a #CRISPR theme but started more with the sequencing cost declines which would drive diagnostics adoption and precision medicine 2/
The economic driver of the Genomic Revolution is a multiplier. Not only sequencing cost declines but the impact of moving from #ZFN to #TALENs to #CRISPR is key. As the editing cost has dropped CRISPR is seeing a dominant increase in publications. 3/
What's up with $SGMO valuation? This thread will try to show some history and the setup for what I still hope to be an outsized move. First worth noting that news will always trump technicals. First here is a month chart I've been using for the company 1/
This being a 10 year chart, it doesn't show how long $SGMO has been around but it does show virtually no trading volume and a 3 yr ceiling on the price as they were in early development stage while trying to get ill-chosen indications into pre/clinic 2/
The first wave $SGMO rally started in 2013 when the ceiling was broken. The company was talking up #GeneEditing#GeneRegulation#HIVcure and #diabetes None were ready but the volume picked up and the first big rally ensued going from around $9 to $20 3/