1) Bill Gurley is a legendary venture capitalist and has been a Partner at Benchmark Capital since 1999. He frequently shares his thoughts on his blog, which can be found at this link: abovethecrowd.com
2) Prior to joining Benchmark, Gurley worked as a:
- Design engineer at Compaq
- Research analyst on Wall Street
- Lead research analyst for the Amazon IPO
- Partner at Hummer Winblad Venture Partners
3) Bill Campbell was a legendary coach to several high-profile and high-performing Silicon Valley CEOs, founders, technologists, and business leaders.
4) Gurley discussed direct listings, traditional IPOs, the IPO underpricing issue, and the incentive structure of investment banks in the IPO process.
5) Speculation increases as interest rates decrease. Currently, we are in a low interest rate environment.
The "TINA Effect" (There Is No Alternative) in investing exists in a low interest rate world, and many investors are searching for positive inflation-adjusted returns.
6) In a zero-interest rate environment, growth matters more than profitability.
Companies and investors, particularly in private markets and the startup community, can use “capital as a weapon” to promote growth initiatives.
7) Gurley is excited about the future of fintech, particularly in consumer finance and consumer banking.
8) Gurley believes that regulatory capture has created massive problems in the American healthcare industry. Gurley believes that regulations often favor the incumbents.
9) Gurley’s favorite book is titled “Complexity: The Emerging Science at the Edge of Order and Chaos” by Mitchell Waldrop.
10) Career advice: Learn from great mentors and exceptional individuals.
Gurley credits a lot of his learnings about investing, business, and entrepreneurship to Michael Mauboussin (@mjmauboussin), Al Jackson, Charlie Wolf, Jeff Bezos, Frank Quattrone, Bill Campbell, and others.
If you’re curious on seeing more content from Bill Gurley (@bgurley), I recommend starting with this presentation and his blog:
Hope you enjoyed this thread of thoughts!
Special thanks to @bgurley for sharing several ideas, insights, and anecdotes on the podcast with @ritholtz on Bloomberg's Masters in Business Podcast.
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Last week, @HarryStebbings hosted an exceptionally insightful podcast with @tfadell. In the spirit of the “20” in The Twenty Minute VC Podcast (@twentyminutevc), here are 20 highlights from the podcast:
1) Tony Fadell is often referred to as “the father of the iPod”. Previously, he was the Founder & CEO of Nest Labs.
Currently, he is a Principal at Future Shape, which is a firm that delivers “mentorship with money”.
Fun fact: Fadell has filed for 300+ patents in his career.
2) Future Shape is a global investment & advisory firm that focuses on coaching engineers & scientists who are working on deep foundational technology. Unlike most venture capital funds, Future Shape does not have LP’s and has long-term committed capital.
Last week, a fantastic episode on the Meb Faber Show with @verdadcap and @MebFaber highlighted several market observations and contrarian insights. 👏👏👏
Here is my summarized list of 20 highlights from the episode: 🧵💡👇
1) Verdad’s core investment strategy remains focused on “private equity replication”, which primarily invests in public equities that are “small in size, cheap in valuations, and financially leveraged”.
Verdad grew its AUM from ~$50M in 2018 to ~$600M in AUM today.
2) Between the beginning of Q4 2018 and the end of Q1 2020, micro-cap value and small-cap value indices suffered one of the worst market environments in history.
1) Recently and especially after yesterday's FOMC announcements about monetary policy updates, several investors are discussing the role of changing interest rates and their impact on financial assets, particularly "growth stocks" and "value stocks".
2) Definitions:
1. DCF = Discounted cash flow analysis 2. Discount rate = The rate used to discount future cash flows back to their present value when determining the time value of money. Some investors consider this rate to be the opportunity cost of their investment.
Given the rising concerns and thoughts about the links between expansionary monetary policy, money supply, and inflation, I wanted to share a few opinions on the topic of inflation and the velocity of money:
1) M2 money supply is up about 25% from last year’s levels, which indicates both the massive money creation and the high degree of expansionary monetary policy that was needed to help stabilize America’s economy and financial markets after the outbreak of the coronavirus crisis.
2) Typically, there are 2 reasons why money velocity can rise:
1. Rising consumer and business confidence drives higher spending.
2. Rising money velocity (not rising money supply) has historically been a leading indicator of future consumer price inflation.
1) Scott Sandell is the Managing General Partner at NEA. He is frequently named in the Forbes Midas List for being one of the top VCs in the VC ecosystem and has led investments in Salesforce, Data Domain, Tableau Software, Workday, and more.
2) Sandell considers his father to be one of his key heroes.