Thread by @oonuch

NEW ARTICLE: on role of #media consumption & #disinformation abt #protest with @emm_mateo @SociologyOxford @Politics_Oxford @REESOxford & @JulianWaller @IERES_GWU @UoMPolitics @uomsoss @UoMNews
Challenging expectations around role of #socialmedia !
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

WE ASK: What is the relationship between media consumption & believing disinformation abt protests? Employing #panelsurvey in #Ukraine we examine media consumption among protest participants & non-participants + supporters & non-supporters journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11… @AKaratnycky

TESTING THEORIES: on #AffectivePolarization #SocialMediaEffects & the role of #OldMedia (namely TV) & #StateMedia (namely #Russian owned TV) + #Ukraine context-specific expectations on #ethnolinguistic #identity divides journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11… @EricaChenoweth @civilresistance

WE FIND: 1) Media consumption patterns align with participation in, positive perceptions of, & believing #disinfo about #protests & mediate (even completely absorb) effects of residing in east/south #Ukraine journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…
@OxanaShevel @HURI_Harvard @Ben_OLoughlin

WE FIND:
2) NO evidence!! that any #socialmedia platform correlates with mobilization or beliefs about the protests @NeilKetchley @zeitzoff @zeynep @davidsmeyer1
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

WE FIND:
3) Surprisingly use of Russian VKontakte had no effect.
4) BUT there's consistent evidence that “old” media & specifically watching #RussianTV = associated w participation in & negative views of protest @tanyalokot @alesherasimenka @meganicka
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

WE FIND:
5) Watching #RussianTV frequently increases the likelihood that a #Ukrainian believes #disinformation by 5% @olliecarroll @CanEmbUkraine @LGaladza @MelSimmonsFCDO @UKinUkraine @AShevch @ChristopherJM @cafreeland @WaschukCanUA @DmytroKuleba
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

WE FIND: 6) Limited evidence 2 support #affectivepolarization hypo. Perceiving oneself: econ loser + easter residence + not having strong civic ID significantly shape likelihood of believing #fakenews abt #EuroMaidan @timothymfrye @j_a_tucker @EliasDinas
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

WE DO NOT FIND:
7) Any evidence of #ethnic or #linguistic #identities being associated with participation in, views of, or belief in #fakenews /Disinformation abt the #EuroMaidan.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11… @ngumenyuk @peterpomeranzev @ukrpravda_news @Hromadske @UATV_en

Research conducted with support: @HURI_Harvard @DCRES_Harvard @IERES_GWU @NSF @REESOxford @Politics_Oxford @NuffieldCollege @BritishAcademy_ @ESRC @UTAustin - Data collected (UCEPS project) by co-PIs: Henry Hale @ponarseurasia, Timothy Colton @Harvard, @nadiyakravets & @oonuch

BIG THANK U 2:
@MaryNeuburger + @avramovok for organizing an amazing workshop + all their lovely colleagues, wonderful students & #Bevo for hosting us @UTAustin @LiberalArtsUT
Thanks also 2 Michelle @SlavXRadio
I hope to return the favour @OfficialUoM @UoMPolitics post-pandemic