1/Re. Line 5 as an excuse to build Energy East...

According to CERI, a federally regulated pipeline requires 9 years to review/approve. Add another 3-4 years to build EE.

So, let's say EE is in service by 2035. What's going on in Eastern Canada then?

ceri.ca/studies/compet…
2/Well, Quebec's ban on the sale of gasoline cars takes effect in...2035.

Wouldn't that be lovely timing? Alberta rides to the rescue just as one-third of the Eastern Canadian market says goodbye.

May we assume Ontario consumers might also buy a few EVs?
energi.media/energy-climate…
3/Well, we'll just export the crude oil that Quebec doesn't want, you say.

Here's IEA oil analyst Olivier Lejeune that global peak oil demand will arrive by the late 2020s or early 2030s.
4/To sum up: the geniuses at CAPP and the Calgary Petroleum Club want to build a $15 billion to $20 billion pipeline to markets that will have begun to collapse by the time it's completed.

Now, all we need is @jkenney to commit billions to EE like he did to Keystone XL.
@threadreaderapp unroll thread please
5/Here's my interview with economist Allan Fogwill, who says the economics suggest that 268,000 b/d of oil imports into Eastern Canada could be displaced by Western oil TODAY.
6/Why do we keep returning to the same brain dead, unworkable ideas?

We're so busy fighting about Keystone XL or Energy East that there's no time left to talk about innovative new ideas like DRUbit.

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More from @politicalham

7 Apr
1/This morning @ShayeGanam asked me what Alberta should do about the potential of losing 50-75% of oil/gas jobs by 2050. My reply:

1. Better leadership (political and business)

2. Create a coherent climate plan

3. Create an energy transition plan

4. A sense of urgency!
2/Here's my interview with Chris Severson-Baker of @Pembina about urgency for @jkenney govt to put in place a robust climate plan to reassure investors worried about climate risk.
#ABleg #OOTT #CDNpoli
3/Here's my Oct. 22, 2019 (day after federal election) column arguing that a showdown between #Alberta and #Canada is inevitable given AB is 36% of national GHG emissions, O&G is 26%, and oil sands are 10%.

energi.media/markham-on-ene…
Read 6 tweets
6 Feb
1/In this innocent tweet, Mr. Chomyn (a prominent Alberta UCP conservative) exposes for all to see what is wrong with the conservative energy worldview:

He misunderstands the fundamentals of the energy transition.

This is a big deal, Albertans.
2/What's really happening:

The global energy system is being transformed by a vast army of new energy technologies centred on clean, abundant, and cheap electricity.

Wind, solar, batteries, and EVs are just the tip of the iceberg.

There are thousands more behind the scenes.
3/What conservatives think is happening:

That the energy transition is driven by policy.

Which, in turn, is driven by govts.

It follows, then, that political ideology and political action are to blame for Alberta's woes.

Change govts, you save AB's oil/gas economy.
Read 23 tweets
5 Feb
"...Canada will not be able to fill that (petroleum) demand if we continue to let ideologically driven governments and activists shut in our products." - Cory Morgan in Suits & Boots email

Uh, energy transition, dude.

It's technology, markets, capital - not ideology.
2/Watch today's interview with battery scientist @JamesTFrith of @BloombergNEF and tell me that change is driven by "ideology" and not market changes created by new, better technologies.

#energytwitter #EVs #batteries #ABleg
3/Frith explaining why battery prices are falling so rapidly.

Here's the irony for Morgan: engineers make oil/gas production possible...and they're responsible for ever-improving batteries.

Should we believe they can do one thing but not the other?
Read 4 tweets
30 Jan
1/The Allan inquiry into foreign funding of anti-Alberta energy campaigns gets a third extension. Report is now due May 31.

For anyone who isn't familiar with my 2019 deep dive on Krause:

energi.media/deep-dives/deb…
2/Why another extension?

"Requests for extensions to the original schedules of public inquiries, regardless of the mandate, are not unusual," says Steve Allan.

The Commissioner makes it sound like a great deal of work has been done.

Highly unlikely.
3/The "foreign funding" is $40 million over roughly 10 years (2008 to 2018) from US charities to the Tar Sands Campaign, which had a shifting "membership" of 50 to 100+ Canadian ENGOs, First Nations, and communities.

It appears Greenpeace got the most: ~$250,000/yr.
Read 27 tweets
17 Jan
1/I interviewed 18 sources for my 2019 debunking of Vivian, 15 of them ENGOs. I asked most of them if Vivian had followed up with them to verify information, especially how the Tar Sands Campaign funding they received was actually used.

Here is Tides Canada's response:
2/ "Although in one email I found she asked [a] question about where the funding went, for the overwhelming majority, she would simply list a whole bunch of info she had collected, and then ask for us to reply and confirm it was correct."
3/Another quote:

"For the record, Tides Canada was never a member of the Tar Sands Campaign. In much of the Vivian Krause rhetoric, there is conflation between Tides Canada and Tides Foundation in the US. We believe this is intentional."
Read 10 tweets
12 Dec 20
Potentially unpopular take:

It's an energy transition plan, not a climate plan.

As it should be, @JustinTrudeau.
2/Allow me a few "I told you so" moments that Premier @jkenney ignored:

"That squishing sound you hear? That’s Jason Kenney and the Alberta junior oil and gas sector being sucked under the Liberal climate plan steamroller."

energi.media/markham-on-ene…
3/I wrote this column only a few days after the 2019 federal election.

"Justin Trudeau is committed to net-zero emissions by 2050 and only Alberta stands between the Liberals and their climate goals."

energi.media/markham-on-ene…
Read 9 tweets

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