The eyes of the world are turned towards the Holy Land on the 10th day of a horrific conflict between the Govt. of Benjamin Netanyahu and the Hamas Govt. in Gaza.

Today's rainfall forecasts for the #MiddleEast and #HornOfAfrica follow.
This image shows a larger picture of the region, from Cairo to Kampala the full Nile Basin. Source: @NASA Modis.
The 10-day forecasts for North Africa are showing increasing amounts of rain over the Western end of the Sahara Desert. The exception being the @ECMWF model which maintains its disbelief in the concept of #DesertRain.
Here is an animation today from the area where the significant rainfall is forecast.
The Horn of Africa this morning...
And this afternoon as the sun went down.
Today's 10-Day rainfall forecasts for #Ethiopia #GERD and the Horn of Africa more broadly.
Today's 3-Day rainfall forecasts for #Ethiopia #GERD and the Horn of Africa more broadly till midnight Saturday. There is much higher divergence between the models now than we have seen in over the last two and a half months.
In terms of #ArabianStorms it looks as if there was only one today, north of Medina. The impact of the stream of water vapour on central Saudi Arabia is obvious. Wind direction over Oman has reversed, and clouds over the coastal mountains in the East did not produce rain.
Meanwhile today's 10-Day rainfall forecasts for the Middle East are intimating the possibility of light rains over Israel Palestine in the next 10 days. The @ECMWF is the most definite about this showing rain over Lebanon and northern Israel Palestine.
3 Day forecasts for #MiddleEast rainfall.
And finally in the rainfall forecast section ultra long range forecasts from three models, GFS, GEFS (16 days) and KMA (12 Days)
In relation to our Bay of Bengal Cyclone Watch it seems this remains a possible. The latest two GFS and ECMWF models are below.

The largely agree on timing of arrival, mid next week, but disagree on intensity. They also about the presence of a low pressure system over Tibet.
On that last point. The remnants of Cyclone Tauktae seem to be streaming through the Himalayas today rather spectacularly.
Meanwhile generally speaking it seems to be expected to be wet across most of the greater Asian continent over the next 10 days.
And a post script, another Atlantic storm is moving in over the UK and Western Europe tonight, where the rainfall continues to be widespread, occasionally intense and very determined.

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More from @althecat

19 May
It appears that the terrifying and apocalyptic aerial bombardment of Gaza by Israel has resumed for a ninth night.

I pray that Hamas holds their fire.
This is why I pray Hamas holds their fire tonight. A unilateral unannounced ceasefire is the best path to a victory, to delivering a lasting peace and forcing Israel into meaningful negotiations to reduce the suffering of the people of Gaza.
Read 4 tweets
18 May
This is pretty amazing.

For the Gazans in their open air prison, this level of recognition of their plight is what they are seeking.

They cannot and do not expect to win a war with Israel. All they can win is hearts and minds.
This sort of thing is infectious. And maybe just maybe it can bring first a ceasefire and later peace.

The cycle of violence in the Holy Places of Israel Palestine needs to stop, it is a crushing evil that causes pain across the world.
The wars in Gaza and there have been many have till now been two dimensional. Intractable, hopeless, irredeemable.

This one feels different. The obscenity remains but for a number of reasons it is very different.
Read 12 tweets
18 May
Cyclone Tauktae is now onshore over the Indian State of Gujarat India. The storm has weakened since these photos were taken by @NASA Modis this morning, but is still packing 150kmh winds & has done a lot of damage.

Rainfall forecasts for #MiddleEast and #HornOfAfrica follow.
Today's satellite presentation of the area has a new feature which has been strengthening over the past few days. A stream of water vapour out of Central Africa & Sudan transiting Chad and Sudan and then the Red Sea near Jeddah.
There is also an increasing amount of activity in the Western Sahara which supports the CMC and KMA model predictions of significant rainfall in these areas in recent forecasts.
Read 19 tweets
17 May
Today's #MiddleEast and #HornOfAfrica rainfall forecasts follow.

Image: A @NASA Modis image of Egypt, the red sea and the Horn of Africa sources of the Nile taken this morning.
First up we have today's 10-Day accumulated rainfall forecasts for North Africa from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC and KMA weather models.
Here are today's #HOA forecasts beginning with #Ethiopia 10-day rainfall from the ECMWF, GFS and KMA 17th May model runs. #Sudan, #SouthSudan #Somalia #Somaliland
Read 9 tweets
17 May
The thread concludes (after I had a close look) that actually yesterday the dam broke on the #GazaUnderAttack story on US Cable TV yesterday, most shows covered it, many mentioning the bombing of the @APNews / @AlJazeera building....

Thread below with reasoning.
Also I omitted to mention @MSNBC's @chucktodd (@MeetThePress*) who actually led his segment with a piece on #GazaUnderAttack and CNN's @camanpour who has, as is her way, been on the case all the way through. So as far as #USSundayPolutics is concerned there was a full court.
Some of the components deserve additional commentary. The ever affable @johndickerson's interview with Netanyahu was I think almost accidentally brilliant, as it provided Bibi with an opportunity to hang himself in his own delusion, it was very Trump.
Read 6 tweets
17 May
The time has come for @CNN @MSNBC and @FoxNews to stop hiding and start telling the story of what is happening in Israel-Palestine in a manner that is consistent with professional journalistic norms.
Maybe they don’t want to, or can’t tell this story through the rich lens of the humanity it is so redolent with.

That’s OK.

It would be suffice to tell it straight up and down in the manner of @bbcworldservice

bbc.co.uk/programmes/w17…

But radio silence is not acceptable.
Read 11 tweets

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