The @guardian has now published a ill-considered incendiary op-ed by @KjetilTronvoll containing his reckons on a subject he doesn't appear to be treating with care. He seeks resignations over a complex war the details of which remain far from clear. theguardian.com/global-develop…
As for the @BBCRealityCheck piece which @KjetilTronvoll cites as a reason to re-up the apparent disinformation. It reports on the existence of the incendiary recording and notes that it is disputed.
"The BBC cannot independently verify whether the audio is genuine or fake."
To the BBC reports that it doesn't know whether its fake but publishes it anyway with the denial (which is ok), then edits its report to add the claim from #KelloMedia that it isn't fake. And as we can see this is then used by this Professor of Peace to re-up the story.
I have not reviewed its content in any detail and have no idea whether it's news reports are accurate or not.
However, the US / New York also appears to be the base for well funded public relations / lobbying efforts to promote disputed allegations of genocide against Ethiopia.
.... (continuing)....
This is more a case of sloppy reporting..
At least 6 journalists were detained in November...
--- << when fighting erupted between Abiy’s troops and rebellious leaders in northern Tigray >> ---
I very much doubt that this is what either CPJ or RSF said. And if they did they should reconsider their words.
Fighting did not "erupt". The "rebellious leaders" = the TPLF & they attacked a garrison of Ethiopian Troops, killed hundreds and stole heavy weaponry starting a war.
In debates on the subject of the Tigray war between Tigray / Ethiopian camps this is the focus of the argument. But there is no factual dispute about this. The TPLF started this war & news media need to get this right. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_…
Horrendous atrocities have been committed in Tigray, this much is clear, and some Ethiopian troops have been brought to account. As far as I am aware no TPLF fighters have.
As for other aspects of this war. The fog of war is still very much obscuring what is happening.
The @CPJAfrica have issued a safety kit for journalists reporting on the Ethiopian Elections. It is mostly concerned with harassment of journalists, but what it says about misinformation is relevant to this discussion. >> See full kit here >> cpj.org/2021/06/ethiop…
This 1st image shows the monsoon spreading westwards across the Bay of Bengal. I think it is relevant to the rains in Africa but you will need to wait till the final tweet to see how.
The strength of the West African Monsoon continues to grow as you can see in the animation above. During the current active period (See also #EuropeBigWet) the Sahara is forecast to reach a point where there is water over most of the great desert. Here are 10d rainfall forecasts.
Today's #EuropeBigWet update. Russia is getting pummelled. Italy is on fire with thunderstorms and central Europe is getting busy.
For context click on the hashtag for earlier episodes. This has been building up for a while. Thread....
It started modestly even though the warm air over Europe is increasingly saturated with moisture. And then as the day got hotter the thunderstorms got active.
This afternoon Italy in particular looks as if it is undergoing something potentially rather dangerous.
This recording stands out because:
a) its explosive nature and
b) because of its wide dissemination and the implications that come from it in relation to the fairness of the election.
c) because it was explicitly denied by the Prime Minister.
The also addresses two wider issues, the first of which relates to elections everywhere, and the second which relates to the specific conditions of this election.
In the CPJ safety handbook for journalists misinformation is directly addressed. cpj.org/2021/06/ethiop…
Let me get this straight professor. You now acknowledge inadvertently spreading misinformation/disinformation in the lead up to this election, you continue to accuse the #Ethiopian Govt. of engaging in it.
As a professor of peace/conflict studies you would be aware that this is Ethiopia’s first shot at a real free and fair democratic election, and you would be aware of the already heightened domestic very lethal tensions, and not just in Tigray. And yet you continue to stoke these.
The Ethiopian Govt is clear they have asked Eritrean troops to leave but they have not yet left, even though undertakings to do so were provided to the U.S.
It is also clear that Tigrayan forces initiated this war and continue - with assistance unknown - to pursue it.
It is now two weeks till the first open democratic #Ethiopian election.
To open here's a high resolution satellite image of the Nile Basin from Cairo to Lake Victoria including Eastern Ethiopia where the #GERD dam is located, and where the Blue Nile - source of much of the Nile's flow - originates in Lake Tana (the heart shaped lake).
We will zoom in on the #HornOfAfrica starting with the wider picture. On the left side of this image you can see a #WesternSahara water transport event which is significantly impacting weather conditions in Europe. (See more in the attached thread
The main source of water into the European zone remains a flow of water across the Sahara north, now on a broad front bringing rain along a 1700km wide front from France to the Aegean.
Notably the unusual circulation of thunderstorms north of the Black Sea has grown to 2000kms wide and now extends all the way to the Baltic. This system appeared with the #WesternSaharaPlume and appears to be fed by it.
This animation from @Meteoblue shows an apparently connected outflow heading East across northern Russia.