Outbreak of 232 active #COVID19 cases in Ontario 🇨🇦 First Nation area of Kashechewan—majority are children under 12, those who aren’t yet eligible for vaccine, & kids <18 who are 1-dose vaccinated. A 12-year old is hospitalized too. ➡️Vaccinate kids ASAP.
theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…
2) Do kids get infected? Oh yes they do. Don’t listen to naysayers who say they don’t. And don’t listen to those who say kids don’t get sick. #LongCovidKids is real too.
3) let this sink in — 1% of all #COVID19 confirmed cases in kids lead to hospitalization.

Is that really an “acceptable” level of kids morbidity that we will allow in society?

?
4) And yes, kids do transmit… teens are now often the leading edge of new infection wave— like in UK with #DeltaVariant
5) take a look at top contact tracing location identified for spread — schools. The latest England data on its #DeltaVariant surge:
6) Although we don’t know the specific variant in this First Nation tribe outbreak yet, Canada is seeing a rise of #DeltaVariant just as US and UK are. And in Singapore too in kids in particular…. Singapore MOH warned on this—
7) kids do get ill damnit— Around 1 in 12 children who've been infected report enduring symptoms.

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More from @DrEricDing

18 Jun
Over 350 medical workers have caught #COVID19 in Java, Indonesia 🇮🇩despite being vaccinated with Sinovac’s CoronaVac—dozens of HCW even hospitalized, officials say, as concerns grow on vaccine efficacy versus #DeltaVariant, believed to be driving cases.🧵
reuters.com/world/asia-pac… Image
2) Most of the workers were asymptomatic and self-isolating at home, said Badai Ismoyo, head of the health office in the district of Kudus in central Java, but dozens were in hospital with high fevers and falling oxygen-saturation levels.
3) Kudus, which has about 5,000 healthcare workers, is battling an outbreak believed to be driven by the more transmissible Delta variant, which has raised its bed occupancy rates above 90%.
Read 9 tweets
18 Jun
📍SLOW ACTION ENDANGERS HEALTH & ECONOMY—Why does an epidemic take hold? #DeltaVariant surging—but what if the CDC had warned or acted earlier? Epidemiologists say we can likely prevent a big outbreak if just a cases, but harder if hundreds or 1000’s of cases… thread 🧵 #COVID19 Image
2) And early fast action buys us precious time for vaccinations if we acted fast. Even if spread was inevitable, we could prevent the worst of it if we bought ourselves more time to fully vaccinate and prepare for the #delt Image
3) In terms of travel restrictions, we all acted much too late— epidemiologists and experts were warning about India in early April already. Yet govts didn’t act until mostly late April. One major country’s CDC didn’t act until May. 👀 Image
Read 7 tweets
17 Jun
⚠️Confirmed—#DeltaVariant is by far the *most contagious** variant found to date, with a transmissibility that is ~2x faster than older strain. #P1 is 2nd fastest, says @WHO study.🧵

📍#B117 #Alpha—29% faster

📍#B1351 #Beta—25%

📍#P1 #Gamma—38%

📍#B16172 #Delta—97% #COVID19 Image
2) “Effective reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern/interest compared against each other, 64 countries, data until 3 June 2021”
eurosurveillance.org/content/10.280… Image
3) “Of the six variants currently designated as VOI, five were considered in our analysis and among these, only B.1.617.1 (#Kappa) and B.1.525 #Eta demonstrated a statistically significant increase in the effective reproduction number of 48% and 29%, respectively.” Image
Read 22 tweets
17 Jun
Top question asked right now: what to do about J&J 1-shot #COVID19 vaccine & rise of #DeltaVariant? Not medical advice: lots of immunologists are hypothesizing & predicting mixing vaccines of different types could yield equal/better response. Trials TBD.🧵
bloombergquint.com/coronavirus-ou…
2) “If you can mix and match, it’s going to look better, something that immunologists have known for decades” said Danny Altmann, professor of immunology. “I’d bet my house on working hypothesis that it’s doable and would produce immunity that’s at least as good if not better.”
3) “After years of reading research on mixing vaccine types -- known as heterologous prime-boosting -- Morgon concluded that getting one dose of the AstraZeneca shot, and another from Moderna Inc.’s or Pfizer Inc.’s newer messenger RNA technology would pack the most punch.”
Read 9 tweets
17 Jun
Jeez—an explosive 968% spike in #COVID19 in just one week—where the G7 Summit recently took place (and many security planners arrived 2 weeks ago). Is this related to the #G7Cornwall #G7Summit2021? Hmm, but a ~1000% increase is not something seen everyday.

HT @Dr_D_Robertson.
2) We can debate whether it’s because it started from a low base. But going up that fast is not normal at all. UK is very concerned about the spike there too. google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.…
3) Dr Ruth Goldstein said they were mainly Delta variant cases in under-30s.

Public health consultant, Dr Goldstein, said the rise was thought to be down to people from Cornwall travelling out and back during the school half-term break, as well as people coming in.
Read 10 tweets
17 Jun
“Double wave” is coming—An internal NHS email sent to hospitals warn them to prepare for a 3rd #COVID19 wave with the 96% dominant #DeltaVariant - at the same time as a spike in serious infections among very young children. 🧵
channel4.com/news/hospitals…
2) The email, sent by a London NHS trust to clinical staff, says “national guidance on planning” has been issued telling hospitals to expect 50 per cent of the Covid cases seen in the first wave of the pandemic.
3) At the same time the third wave of severe Covid cases is likely to peak in hospitals, in early August, NHS leaders are also predicting a national wave of Respiratory Syncytial Virus or RSV infections.
Read 12 tweets

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