The $DXY? Medium-term #Bullish, Long-term #bearish
1/
1) Medium Term: #Fed Hawkish, #ECB Dovish
As the Federal Reserve begins discussing tapering, the ECB is still providing stimulus. A hawkish Fed is confirming a stronger economy while the ECB confirming weakness.
2) Medium Term: Treasury General Account Drawdown Largely Over
$300mm remaining with $750bn already done, causing this downward pressure on the $DXY to wane
3) Medium Term: US Growth Expectations
4. Medium Term: $DXY Technicals
5. Long Term: 18 Month $DXY Model
6. Long-term: Government Still Showing Signs of Providing #Stimulus #infrastructure
whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
7. Long-term: The Federal Reserves Conundrum
"The #Fed will have to continuously print to prop up asset prices and keep interest rates low to maintain solvency of pension and keep the market from imploding on itself."
derman-capital.medium.com/the-conundrum-…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Derman Capital

Derman Capital Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Derman_Capital

1 Jul
1/
Interesting Paper from @blackrock from June 2019

Relates to the need for monetary policy in coordination with fiscal
#monetarypolicy #fiscalpolicy #Fed #economics
#bitcoin #BTC #inflation

blackrock.com/corporate/lite…
2/
"An extreme form of “going direct” would be an explicit and permanent monetary financing of a fiscal expansion, or so-called helicopter money. Explicit monetary financing in sufficient size will push up inflation."
3/
"Without explicit boundaries, however, it would undermine institutional credibility and could lead to uncontrolled fiscal spending."
Read 5 tweets
30 Jun
Is there an incoming policy error by the Federal Reserve? $DXY #FederalReserve #Dollar #Policy #Fed

Thread 1/
Over the past several weeks, we have seen significant Central Bank actions globally. This reflects a market flush with cash and a desire by the Federal Reserve to hold short-term rates positive. 2/
Mid-June 2021 FOMC Summary:
1. Unchanged rate and QE policy
2. Reverse Repo rate increase to 5bps
3. IOER increase to 15 bps
4. Dot plot showing rate hikes sooner than expected
3/
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(