The latest long range forecast for the Western Pacific contains a couple of disturbances which could turn into landfalling storms in the South China Sea. The seeding ground for the cyclonic storm you can see in the second image here has flared up over the past 24 hours.
This is Invest 95W to the east of the Philippines over the past 24 hours.
This simulated storm is still a long way out in the forecast, and is forecast to be small, and in this simulation is not expected to make landfall and dissipate before reaching Taiwan.

It is also unusual but not unheard of. The typhoon season generally ends in September.
"On 18 December, the small but violent typhoon overtook the Task Force while many of the ships were attempting to refuel. Many of the ships were caught near the center of the storm and buffeted by extreme seas and hurricane force winds...."

history.navy.mil/research/libra…
"...Three destroyers, USS Hull, USS Spence, and USS Monaghan, capsized and went down with practically all hands, while a cruiser, five aircraft carriers, and three destroyers suffered serious damage."

This storm is small, and its timing is similar. Here it is on 18th December.

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More from @althecat

7 Dec
Storm Barra has brought rain to all the United Kingdom. Image
Here's an animation of the the storm arriving overnight yesterday and yesterday morning.
As storms go. Storm Barra looks pretty cool from a satellite vantage point.
Read 11 tweets
6 Dec
Senator @ChrisCoons keeps changing the story and context of his alleged conversation with PM Abiy before the war began. In this new Oped for @ForeignPolicy his explanation is even more contorted than before - and really needs some unpacking. foreignaffairs.com/articles/ethio…
The issue of this alleged call arose initially due to the reporting of the error prone @nytimes reporter Declan Walsh. He published a report in which he claimed that Coons had spoken to Abiy before the war started, warning him not to start a war.
@nytimes This is important because contrary to @nytimes @reuters, @ap, @AFP and numerous other western media outlets the war which began in November 2020 was started by the TPLF in a coordinated surprise attack on the ENDF in which 1000s of ENDF troops and officers were killed.
Read 23 tweets
6 Dec
A high resolution view over the #HornOfAfrica and Nile Basins from this morning from the @NASA Worldview satellite system. #GERD #Ethiopia #Somalia #Somaliland #Sudan #SouthSudan #Kenya #Uganda
A closeup of Ethiopia's #GERD and #Sudan's Rosieres dams.
And a close up of the upper reaches of the White Nile showing Lake Albert and Lake Kyoga which are downstream from the Lake Victoria outlet of the White Nile at Jinja.
Read 4 tweets
5 Dec
Retired Amb. Vicky Huddleston is not a former U.S. Ambassador to Ethiopia, she is a former Charge D’Affaires. She is not a spokesperson for the US Govt. Either though one wonders whether they may have green-lighted this appearance.
If so, it was a very unwise decision as this just pours more fuel onto a bonfire of U.S. foreign relations, not just with Ethiopia but with the HOA region, China, US Allies in the Middle East and possibly the African continent as a whole. #NoMore
It also draws attention to the leaked call where Huddleston and serving US Somalia Ambassador Donald Yamamoto had a cost chat with TPLF “Western Hemisphere Representative” Berhane Gebre Christos about overthrowing the elected Ethiopian Govt.
Read 6 tweets
5 Dec
#AwesomeClimate

This edition of my weekly look at #OurChangingClimate looks at the astonishing atmospheric rivers around the planet and their impacts on us all.

We begin in the Sahara, where an Amazon powered atmospheric river is projecting water all the way to the Levant.
Each observation consists of at least 48 hours observation of the area in question - abover we see Dec 3-4, below Dec 4-5. [Satellite imagery comes from @zoom_earth]
@zoom_earth Our trip around the globe moves south to take a look at the West African Monsoon 3-5 December. The monsoon is generating an atmospheric river which heads southeast over Southern Africa.
Read 32 tweets
4 Dec
An interesting analysis of American misinformation, inside the U.S. wrt to China's investment policy in Africa.

If the U.S. and EU would just compete for African investment opportunities, they might not be losing, and Africa would benefit.

Whenever I discuss Africa's circumstances wrt the US and EU, the reflexive response is almost always "but Africa is being colonised by China with debt".

This video, like most @BTnewsroom reports, places things in historical and contemporary news context.
In Greece, which is part of Europe, China has been steadily investing in the port of Pireaus (see report below).

It did so initially during the Euro Crisis 2014-2015, which was caused, in part, by financial warfare by speculators against the Euro.
asia.nikkei.com/Business/Trans…
Read 23 tweets

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