Hello Tuesday!

#Inflation - induced by 🚁💰direct from Uncle Sam to businesses (PPP) and individuals (UBI) and monetized by the Fed - dominates the market zeitgeist right now.

Causing dislocations and volatility, fear of #QT is creating opportunities

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia markets closed ↘️

$NIKK 28222 -0.9%
$SSEC 3567 -0.75%
$TWII 18288 +0.3% ⏪
$HSI 23739 -0.05%
$KOPSI 2927 unch
$IDX 6648 -0.65%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7390 -0.75%

India ↗️
$BSE 60544 +0.25%
European bourses open ↗️

$DAX 15969 +1.3%
$FTSE 7490 +0.6%
$CAC 7215 +1.4% ⏪
$AEX 782 +1.15%
$IBEX 8781 +0.85%
$MIB 27618 +0.95%
$SMI 12751 +1.2% ⏪
$MOEX 5789 +1.35% 🪆

$VSTOXX 22.54 🔺
🇺🇸 futures ↗️ after yesterday's intraday 🤮

$ES 4693 +0.5%
$NQ 15719 +0.65%
$RTY 2178 +0.45%

$VIX 19.10 🔻
Metals ↗️ across the complex

$GOLD 1806 +0.45%; $GVZ 15.56
$SILVER 22.58 +0.55%
$COPPER 4.379 +0.6%
$PLAT 939 +0.6%
$PALL 1912 unch
$ALI 2927 -0.15%
$ZINC 3552 +2.15% ⏪
A key source of #inflation, hydrocarbons ♉️↗️

$WTIC 79.53 +1.65%; $OVX 37.65
$BRENT 82.15 +1.6%
$GASO 2.31 +1.65%
$NATGAS 4.037 -1.05% ⏪🐻
Grains are 🏀↗️ in the early go

$WHEAT 761 +0.05%
$CORN 602 +0.35%
$SOYB 1385 unch
$SUGAR 17.95 +0.4%
In #FX, Cable 🇬🇧 and Loonie 🦆 with a bid ↗️

$GBP 1.361 +0.24%
$EUR 1.133 +0.05%
$AUD .7184 +0.22%
$USD 95.895 -0.1%
$USDJPY 115.39 +0.16% ♉️
$USDCHF .926 -0.12%
$USDCAD 1.264 -0.32%
$USD RUB 74.91 -0.14% 🪆
Crypto trying to find support ↔️

$BTC 41992 +0.45%
$ETH 3119 -0.85%
After banging cycle highs, UST yields ↘️
10/2s to 84.3 BPS 🔻

Turbulence persists MOVE 78.12🔺

2Y .903
5Y 1.517
10Y 1.746
30Y 2.074

Global 10Ys mostly ↘️
CAN 1.718 🔺
JPN 0.155 🔺
The 🔑 to ↘️ $CPI is ↗️ prices

#CPI and PE Powell on tap tomorrow #QT 😱

Participants 🤮 yesterday and the $SPX hammered out a near-term bottom after another 2 STD move, giving you an opportunity to load up on #quad4 longs. Take advantage?

Have a super profitable 💰 day.

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More from @tdarling1

12 Jan
Hello 🐫 day!

This week's catalyst?
#CPI

Let's dig into the market 🧮!
Asia jumped on the ♉️🚄↗️

$NIKK 28766 +1.9%
$SSEC 3597 +0.85%
$TWII 18375 +0.5%
$HSI 244402 +2.8% ⬅️
$KOSPI 2972 +1.55%
$IDX 6647 unch

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7439 +0.65%

India ↗️
$BSE 61132 +0.85%
Europe building on gains ↗️

$DAX 16017 +0.45%
$FTSE 7550 +0.8%
$CAC 7220 +0.5%
$AEX 788 +0.65%
$IBEX 8789 +0.4%
$MIB 27646 +0.4%
$SMI 12692 -0.15%
$MOEX 3803 +0.45% 🪆

$VSTOXX 19.79 🔻
Read 11 tweets
10 Jan
Hello Monday!

#Inflation remains front and center as we begin the week with #CPI, Powell Testimony, and 10-year note auction all on tap for Wednesday.

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia closed mostly ↗️

$NIKK holiday
$SSEC 3594 +0.4%
$TWII 18239 +0.4%
$HSI 23747 +1.1%
$KOSPI 2927 -0.95% ⏪
$IDX 6991 -0.15%

Australia ↔️
$ASX 7447 -0.1%

India ↗️
$BSE 60290 +0.9%
Europe opens mostly ↘️

$DAX 15917 -0.2%
$FTSE 7448 -0.1%
$CAC 7211 -0.1%
$AEX 786 -0.35%
$IBEX 8738 -0.15%
$MIB 27670 +0.2%
$SMI 12757 -0.3% ⏪
$MOEX 3801 +0.75% 🪆
Read 11 tweets
9 Jan
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮

Global Macro Review - 01/09/2022

1/14

Market players returned from 🕎🎄🎉 buying value and oil ↗️ and selling growth and duration ↘️

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/14

Roiled by #FOMC minutes (nothing new) mid-week, players bid up $VXN and sold $COMPQ.

$VXN 65 +21% - $COMPQ -4.53%
$RVX +13.31% - $IWM -2.87%
$VIX 18.76 +8.94% - $SPX -1.87%

Chart: $COMPQ -4.44% (t) +2.44% (T)
2a/14

Chart: $VXN accelerates to the 🪓🪣
Read 20 tweets
7 Jan
Hello Friday

Week to date

$BTC -10.12%
$GOLD -2.15%
$EUR -0.69%
$USD +0.77%

$CAC +1.35%
$SPX -1.47%
$KOSPI -1.92%
$COMPQ -3.61%

$WHEAT -3.21%
$COPPER -2.44%
$NATGAS +2.2%
$SOYB +3.58%
$GASO +3.58%
$WTIC +5.65%
$LUMBER +6.66%
$CRB +1.88%

$TNX +14.62%

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia closed ↔️ for the week

$NIKK 28479 -0.05%
$SSEC 3580 -0.2%
$TWII 18170 -1.1%

$HSI 23493 +1.8%
$KOSPI 2955 +1.2%
$IDX 59578 +0.7%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7453 +1.3%

India ↔️
$BSE 50577 -0.05%
Europe opens ↔️

$IBEX 8741 -0.55%
$DAX 16000 -0.3%
$CAC 7241 -0.1%
$SMI 12787 -0.05%

$FTSE 7458 +0.1%
$AEX 788 +0.25%
$MOEX 3277 +0.5% 🪆
$MIB 27832 +0.66%

$VSTOXX 20.10 🔺
Read 12 tweets
7 Nov 21
Weekly Global Macro Review 10/07/21

1/15

@hedgeye calls it #Quad2 reflation, but I rather prefer @jam_croissant’s colorful description of “endless gamma squeezes” oh so reminiscent of 🎉🍾🥳 like it’s 1999!

Let’s dig into the macro 🧮 for the week
2/15

A 🕊 #FOMC on Wednesday and a 💪🏼 #NFP report on Friday with underlying wage #inflation of 4.9% y/y was enough to ignite a rally in the $UST market ↗️

WTF, you say?
3/15

Indeed, the MOVE 66.30 ↘️ from 78.34 on Tuesday as the 10/2s curve remained 🥞 at 105

2Y .405 -9.6 bps
5Y 1.056 -12.9 bps
10Y 1.455 -10.6 bps
30Y 1.888 -5.1 bps

Chart: Despite a strong #NFP, the $TNX ↘️ -10.6 BPS to 1.455 and at critical support
Read 19 tweets
5 Nov 21
Hello Friday!

W/MTD

$NIKK +3.12%
$COMPQ +2.85%
$DAX +2.17%
$SPX +1.62%
$KOSPI +0.42%

$CRB -1.79%
$NATGAS +5.34%
$COPPER -1.09%
$CORN -1.58%
$WTIC -5.70%

$TLT -0.27%
$IEF +0.46%
$SHY +0.13%

$USD +0.23%
$GOLD +0.54%

Let's dig into the wee hour 🧮!
Asia closed with a ↘️ bias

$NIKK 29612 -0.6%
$SSEC 3492 -1.0%
$TWII 17297 +1.3% 🔺
$KOSPI 2069 -0.45%
$IDX 6582 -0.05%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7457 +0.4%

India ↔️
$BSE 60068 unch/closed
Europe opened with a ↗️ bias

$DAX 16021 -0.05%
$FTSE 7308 +0.4%
$CAC 7006 +0.25%
$AEX 822 +0.2%
$IBEX 9026 -0.15%
$MIB 27575 +0.2%
$SMI 12458 +0.45%
$MOEX 4170 -0.35% 🪆
Read 11 tweets

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