Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Feb 23 15 tweets 8 min read
BREAKING: #Russia's +150,000 troops encircling #Ukraine "as ready as they can be" per senior US defense official

80% of Russian forces "in forward position ready to go" w/some within 5km of Ukraine border
"They are literally ready to go now if they get the order to go" per sr US defense official

re #Russia|n forces surrounding #Ukraine
#Russia's #Putin-"He is near 100% of all the forces we anticipated he would [move] in...He is dang near it" per senior US defense official

re: #Ukraine
#Russia has more than 10 landing ships in the #BlackSea - "those ships exist for 1 reason-that's to put boots on the ground" per senior US defense official
#Russia's #Putin: "It is our assessment that he is fully prepared to conduct a large-scale invasion & that is a likely option" per senior US defense official

"If ever we want to be wrong, we want to be wrong about this" official adds

re #Ukraine
"We'll continue to look for ways to provide lethal & non-lethal assistance" to #Ukraine, per senior US defense official
#Russia's forces surrounding #Ukraine - "They have uncoiled. They are ready to go" per senior US defense official
Current #cyber attacks vs #Ukraine "obviously very much in keeping w/their [#Russia's] playbook" but no attribution just yet, per senior US defense official
The #Russia|ns - "They have increased their operations inside eastern #Ukraine" per senior US defense official
"They could go at any hour now" per senior US defense official on when #Russia may launch full scale invasion

"We believe he [Russian Pres Vladimir Putin] has made his decision to go"
80% of total #Russia|n conventional forces "uncoiled" and ready to invade #Ukraine, per senior US defense official
How far is #Russia's President Putin prepared to go into #Ukraine?

Russian forces prepared for "a major invasion of #Ukraine" per senior US defense official, who says only Putin can share what his political objectives would be
"We do have indication that they [#Russia] plan to use reserves...and that's concerning" per senior US defense official

"The implication would be that they have long-term goals here" in #Ukraine
"This is not the same Ukrainian armed forces that Mr. Putin met in 2014...They are more competent & more capable" per senior US defense official, citing money, equipment & training from US, other countries

#Russia-#Ukraine
Clarification: 80% of the #Russia|n forces assigned and arrayed against #Ukraine are ready for battle, per senior US defense official

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More from @jseldin

Feb 25
JUST IN: #Russia "not moving on #Kyiv as fast as they anticipated they would do...meeting more resistance than they expected" per a senior US defense official

But official says Russian troops still advancing
Signs #Russia is splitting some of its troops advancing from the south into NE & NW directions, per a senior US defense official
Indications #Russia|n forces trying to take a key dam, power plant - possibly including #cyberattacks vs the power plant, per a senior US defense official
Read 14 tweets
Feb 25
Is #Russia's war against #Ukraine the work of a madman?

Pre-invasion, @POTUS described Vladimir #Putin's words bizarre & twisted

@SecBlinken said "deeply disturbing"

Others said Putin looked unhinged

But current/former intel officials say wait... 🧵
voanews.com/a/putin-s-gamb…
Current/former officials who spoke to @VOANews warn against writing #Russia's #Putin off as a leader-turned- crackpot

As recently as last year, William Burns, then the nominee to lead @CIA, warned lawmakers against underestimating Putin
Most assessments tend to see #Russia's #Putin as a very rational actor - ruthless, cunning and dangerous, with an appetite for risk
Read 11 tweets
Feb 24
NEW: #Russia continuing to flow in additional elements/troops into #Ukraine - headed to #Kyiv #Kharkhiv & #Kherson, per a senior defense official

More than 160 missiles have been launched so far

Some Russian soldiers also appear to have moved thru #Chernobyl area
"We still have no evidence of #Odessa right now being occupied or attacked" per a senior US defense official
#Russia|n troops - "They have gotten closer to #Kyiv" over past few hours, per a senior US defense official

Indications of active fighting in #Kharkhiv and arrival of more Russian airborne troops there
Read 8 tweets
Feb 24
DETAILS on new "significant & unprecedented" sanctions vs #Russia from @USTreasury

US actions targeting "nearly 80 percent of all banking assets in Russia" per statement
US sanctioning:
- Public Joint Stock Company Sberbank of Russia (Sberbank)
- VTB Bank Public Joint Stock Company (VTB Bank)
-Otkritie, Novikom & Sovcom (holding combined assets worth $80 billion)

per @USTreasury
.@USTreasury also imposing debt/equity restrictions on:
- Sberbank
- Gazprombank Joint Stock Company
- Joint Stock Company Russian Agricultural Bank
- Public Joint Stock Company Gazprom
-Public Joint Stock Company Gazprom Neft
- Public Joint Stock Company Transneft

(cont.)
Read 8 tweets
Feb 24
BREAKING: "The #Russia|n military's begun a brutal assault on the ppl of #Ukraine without provocation, without justification" per @POTUS

Says #Russia massed +175,000 troops to Ukraine's borders before launching the invasion Image
#Russia's Vladimir Putin "rejected every good-faith effort the #UnitedStates & our allies & partners made...to avoid needless conflict" per @POTUS
NEW: @POTUS blames #Russia for recent #cyber attacks vs #Ukraine
Read 20 tweets
Feb 24
BREAKING: Senior US defense official says #Russia's ops in #Ukraine just getting started

"What we are seeing is initial phases of a large scale invasion" per the official "They're making a move on #Kyiv"
BREAKING: #Russia op "clearly designed to take key population centers" per senior US defense official

"They have every intention of decapitating the [#Ukraine] government"
US seeing 3 lines of attack from #Russia, per senior defense official

- southern advance from #Crimea to #Kherson
- north-central advance from #Belarus to #Kyiv
- advance on #Kharkhiv, which is seeing the heaviest fighting
Read 10 tweets

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