Thread by @I_Katchanovski

My analysis of videos & other corroborated evidence suggests that situation in #Russia - #Ukraine war continues to deteriorate for #Ukrainian forces. #Russian troops from Crimea advanced close to strategically important port city of #Mariupol in government-controlled #Donbas 1/

Separatist & #Russian forces advanced further in #Ukraine controlled #Donbas towards borders of Donetsk & Luhansk regions that they claim & towards Mariupol from the north. There is danger of encirclement of Mariupol & #Ukrainian forces there & in other parts of Donbas. 2/

CNN reported that some 50,000 #Russian troops entered #Ukraine out of circa 150,000 located on its borders & in #Crimea before war. This is consistent with videos & other sources that I examined. Videos don't show very large numbers of Russian tanks/heavy weapons in Ukraine.

This quite accurate new map illustrates my research findings about advance of #Russian forces from #Crimea close to #Mariupol & danger of encirclement of Mariupol & #Ukrainian forces in #Donbas

#UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar #Ukraine #Russia #RussiaUkraineConflict #UkraineRussia