Thomas C. Theiner Profile picture
Mar 21 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
putin wants to conquer Kyiv, because the "Rus" in russia has actually nothing to do with russia.

A ๐Ÿงต about Kyiv:

In 1547 Ivan the Terrible declared himself "Tsar and Grand Duke of all Rus'", stealing his title from the fallen Byzantine Empire (tsar/czar = caesar) and

1/12
"of all Rus'" from the medieval Kievan Rus' empire.

The Kievan Rus', founded in 882 by Vikings travelling down the rivers of Eastern Europe, was the largest state in medieval Europe until its decline in the 12th century.

Look at the map: moscow didn't even exist back then

2/12
In the 11th century Kyiv and Constantinople were the leading capitals in Europe. With a population of 100,000 Kyiv was the 4th largest city on the continent.

In 1011 Byzantine architects began the construction of the Rus' main Cathedral: Saint Sophia of Kyiv

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Kyiv was such a center of power, study, and trade in the 11th century that the four daughters of Yaroslav the Wise (978โ€“1054) married:

โ€ข Elisiv the King of Norway
โ€ข Anastasia the King of Hungary
โ€ข Anne the King of France
โ€ข Agatha the King of England

4/12
while Yaroslav's heir Iziaslav married the King of Poland's daughter.

Kyiv was the leading city in the East until the Mongols razed it and killed 95% of its population in 1240.

100 years later moscow began to expand its borders and grow from small village to Grand Duchy.

5/12
When Ivan the Terrible appropriated "tsar" and "of all Rus'" in 1547 he not only stole the ruler's title and name of two fallen empires, he also claimed the two empire's history and lands for moscow.

All tsars after Ivan used these claims to expaned their lands, claiming

6/12
all lands where Slavic people lived as theirs. The tsars of muscovy even fought twelve wars against the Ottoman Empire to reclaim the lands of the Byzantine Empire.

Even in World War I one of the tsar's main goals was the annexation of Constantinople and the Dardanelles.

7/12
russian nationalists still claim all these lands for russia.
putin is such a nationalist.

He and his ilk want to dominate all that once was Rus' (or russia or USSR) land. In their racist view the people in these lands long for and need russian rule, and if they don't then

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russia has the right to exterminate them.

If this reminds you of Hitler's Untermenschen theory - yes, it is the same racist, murderous ideology - just expressed with different words.

putin wants Kyiv not for its people, not for its economy, not for its beauty.

9/12
putin wants Kyiv because in russia's national-fascist ideology, russia is the successor of the Kievan Rus' and so Kyiv "belongs" to muscovy, as it was the seat of the first empire in Eastern Europe and the city where Eastern Slavs were christianized.

putin is so obsessed

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with taking back control of Kyiv and its history that in 2016 he ordered a 17.5m high statue of Kievan Rus' prince Volodymyr the Great (958-1015) to be erected next to the kremlin in moscow and unveiled it with a rabidly fascist speech on "russian people's unity day".

11/12
putin, like the tsars before him, wants Kyiv for its history, which since 1547 (along with the name Rus') has been stolen by the "rus"sians to vindicate their rule, conquests, and genocides of Eastern European people.

No more. Kyiv must not fall.
muscovy MUST be defeated.

12/12

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More from @noclador

Mar 21
A few days ago russia beseeched China to supply it with weapons, ammunition, food and war materiel.

Even if China agrees - it would take a month or more to deliver these supplies and they won't change the war's outcome.

Let me explain:

1/9 Image
It is 5,500 km from the railway crossing at Manzhouli in China to belgorod, where russia operates its main railway hub for the invasion of Ukraine.

russian trains will take a week to cover this distance, but it will take China even longer to get materiel to Manzhouli.

2/9
China's People's Liberation Army has almost no russian equipment in service. China's most modern equipment is all made in China and russia can't use it.

China could give russia older stuff and ammunition, like i.e. BM-21 Grad copies and/or the rockets for it.

3/9 Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 20
I was asked for the reason that putin/russia is so hell-bent on conquering Mariupol.

Let me explain. Thread:

Originally putin assumed the invasion would be a cakewalk, allowing for a quick annexation of Donetsk and Luhansk (dark red). Other regions (light red) would then

1/8
have seen "spontaneous" "people's republics" appear, which would have demanded annexation to russia too.

putin would have slowly dismembered Ukraine after fake referendums, leaving a rump Ukraine under a russian-controlled quisling government.

That plan failed.

2/8
putin now understands that Ukrainians hate russia and will fight a decades long insurgency if russia occupies their country.

putin now also realizes that he has too few troops to conquer and occupy the southern and eastern parts of Ukraine he originally planned to annex.

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Mar 20
Thread re. #Belarus:

putin is forcing Belarus to join his failed invasion of Ukraine. putin seems to believe Belarus's military can stop the flow of Western weapons and supplies to Ukraine.

putin is an idiot:
1) Belarus can't
2) Belarus troops will be slaughtered

1/6
The main NATO-Ukraine supply line runs from Rzeszรณw to Vinnytsia (+ two more secret supply lines).

That line is 220-250 km from Belarus.

If unchallenged russian forces can move at maximum 120 km from their railheads before needing to be resupplied.

2/6
There are only two railways russia could use:

โ€ข Brest, Belarus - Kovel, Ukraine
โ€ข Pinsk, Belarus - Sarny, Ukraine

Ukrainians are gonna blow both up. Forcing russia to use the railheads in Brest and Pinsk, which are 50 km respectively 30 km from Ukraine

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Mar 5
No,no, no.

Stop arguing for attacking the russian Black Sea Fleet, while it is anchored of Crimea.

Patience.

Ukraine will attack it with every anti-ship missile available once the russians commence their landing operations near Odesa.

Think about it:

1/4
Once those landing ships open their bow doors to let the BTRs into the water, these ships are sitting ducks.

Closing those doors takes time, closing them means abandoning the troops already in the water. Recovering the troops already in the water takes even more time.

2/4
And all of the fleets escort ships: retreating means to abandon the landing ships to be destroyed, remaining near the shore to cover the landing ships means to be easy targets for anti-ship missles.

In short: any russian landing near Odesa is gonna be another putin fiasco.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jan 13
A short thread about #Finland ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ&๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช #Sweden... and the short time left for them to join #NATO.

1) #Russia is about to invade #Ukraine.
2) This will lead to a massive increase of NATO forces in #Poland, #Estonia, #Latvia, and #Lithuania.

1/5
3) Russia's invasion will also result in #Finland & #Sweden requesting to join #NATO.
4) points 2 & 3 ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ฎ๐ง๐š๐œ๐œ๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž for #Russia & Russia will risk everything to prevent these.
5) The easiest way to stop a country from joining NATO is to occupy a part of it.

2/5
6) #Russia's solution is to occupy Sweden's #Gotland.
7) If Russia occupies Gotland then NATO will reject Sweden's bid as accepting it would mean immediate war with Russia.
8) With Sweden's bid rejected #Finland would have to face Russia alone or accept Finlandization again.

3/5
Read 5 tweets

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