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Apr 30 39 tweets 21 min read
Thread: 30 April 2022: Day 66 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia is in a very unhappy place. Little else that can be said.
#pt: If one was waging a war of aggression under the banner of "denazifying" a neighbouring state, eschewing fascist aesthetic might be considered a propaganda necessity.
The temptation is for an analogy with Nicholas II taking personal charge of the army in 1915, but the truth of it is that Vladimir Putin has had centralised control over the war on Ukraine from the outset; hardly anyone else even knew it was being launched
An intercepted call between a #Russian soldier and his wife. She worries that this latest offensive is intended for the Donbas and Kharkiv, when the Russians can't even take Azovstal, but he reassures her Putin will use CWMD and eradicate #Ukraine.
#pt: Russian soldier: "It all needs to be eradicated, so this country [Ukraine] wouldn't exist anymore ... [it] needs to be wiped off the face of the earth. ... I'll shoot everything ... I'll draw a swastika on their forehead with a knife. I'll draw it personally."
A "military expert" on #Russia's state television celebrates the creation of a "filtration camp" that can hold 100,000 people, and says the camps created in Donetsk - a hideous network of GULAGs - are the model.
Well this is strange:

The Times, citing "Ukrainian sources", says it has identified the "Ghost of Kyiv", a fighter pilot who has down 40+ Russian aircraft, as Major Stepan Tarabalka, 29.

But Russia hasn't lost 40 jets and "the Ghost" does not exist.
thetimes.co.uk/article/ghost-…
The Pentagon spokesman gets choked up speaking about what Putin's army has done in Ukraine
#Britain public intelligence estimate points to #Russia's attempt to "merge and redeploy" the "depleted and disparate units" from the attack on Kiev in the east, says they are "likely suffering from weakened morale". Logistics problems still present.
#Ukraine continuing to push back #Russia's forces around Kharkiv
Re the reports of Putin taking personal command of the military: such a "formal" move, while making no practical difference to how the army runs, is presumably tied up with the political argument about making the "special operation" a "war", enabling inter alia mass mobilisation.
In that sense, this political/PR move could have a practical effect: it would be part of the Russian escalation in Ukraine to be announced/enacted on 9 May.
Putin "formally" taking charge of the army would also have the political impact abroad of preventing him evading the war crimes charges that are surely coming over Ukraine, and domestically it means there would be no scapegoat if the Donbas offensive turns into a disaster.
Zelensky's latest says #Russia is razing Donbas. Mariupol, one of the most developed cities in east, "is [now] simply a Russian concentration camp". Thanks #US for Lend-Lease, helping #Ukraine beat "the ideological successors of the Nazis". aleph.wtf/29001/ v @no_itsmyturn
#pt: Zelensky says the West's help to shows "freedom is still able to defend itself". Comments on the fuel problem in Ukraine. Thanks Britain and others for returning Embassies to Kiev. Russia is preparing to hive off Kherson. Condolences for Radio Liberty journalist Vera Hyrych.
"The more evil head of the [Anglo-American] dragon" is a moniker #Britain could live with. And he's right, too, that even at the moment of apparent alliance between Britain and the Soviets in the Second World War there was no such thing.
The Radio Liberty journalist President Zelensky mentioned in his latest statement, Vira Hyrych, was killed by #Russia in a precision strike on #Ukraine's capital. Hyrych had been an employee at #Israel's Embassy, too.
#Kosovo helping train people from #Ukraine who will be de-mining their country for decades to come after what #Russia has done
#Britain being abandoned for the #UAE by #Russian oligarchs. How awful 🥲
Thread on #Russia's blockade of the Black Sea ports, which has effectively stopped #Ukraine's exports, thus creating terrible stresses on the economy. The current workarounds - rail exports through Poland and Western aid - can't really make up for this
Thread. BLUF: #Russia almost certainly cannot mobilise the manpower for the Donbas offensive to succeed before #Ukraine has the weapons to stop it, and if Moscow tries a lightning strike it will go like Kiev, since RU doesn't have the logistics capacity
"The oil embargo [on #Russia] will be the biggest and most important new step in the #EU's sixth package of sanctions ... Barring an unlikely last-minute demand by Hungary, ... the process should be completed without requiring an EU leaders’ meeting" bdnews24.com/world/2022/04/…
#Russia using cruise missiles from submarines to attack #Ukraine, likely to make up for the depletion of precision missiles
An effort, however risible, by the #Russian government to forge ideological and patronage relationships with people in occupied #Ukraine
A #Russian drone intended for civil use has been shot down in #Ukraine. Strange for the Russians to do this. Perhaps an indicator that supplies are running low on all fronts?
Can see while out about: "With Christ, for Russia"
#Russia is digging mass graves around #Mariupol to cover up its war crimes
One for all the people having a go at me earlier: #Ukraine officially rejects the idea "Ghost of Kyiv" is an individual and that any single person has shot down 40 Russian aircraft
#Ukraine's President Zelensky clearly unwilling to countenance the "deals" being urged upon him by Realists that reward #Russian aggression
Think that would be the tenth #Russian General down (if confirmed)

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More from @KyleWOrton

Apr 29
Thread: 29 April 2022: Day 65 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
"V" and "Z" monuments gone up in Maloyaroslavets, in European #Russia
Footage of a #Ukraine drone strike on #Russia's forces in Luhansk
Read 29 tweets
Apr 29
A church-commissioned German investigation said Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI's claims to have no personal knowledge of the child rape cases when he was running the archdiocese of Munich (1977-82) were not credible. He could be accused of wrongdoing in four. washingtonpost.com/world/2022/01/…
In one of the cases, Bendict, Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger as he then was, "accepted a priest into his archdiocese even after the cleric had been convicted of sexual abuse in a criminal court."
The priest had been imprisoned in the 1960s on charges related to a "large number" of sexual indecency cases with underage boys, but in the late 1970s, after he was released, he petitioned Ratzinger to be returned to clerical work, and was made a pastor
Read 5 tweets
Apr 28
Thread: 28 April 2022: Day 64 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Britain is getting the messaging right on this: an acknowledgement of the reality that there is a task in front of us, but a refusal to even hint at recognising #Russia's annexation of Crimea or any other part of #Ukraine
#Russia managing to forge a nation in #Ukraine, revitalise a West that had seemed in terminal decline, and eliminate its own levers soft/economic influence in a war meant to do exactly the opposite is quite something to watch
Read 65 tweets
Apr 27
Thread: 27 April 2022: Day 63 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Another case where the levers of influence over #Turkey that supposedly explain why #Russia has such influence over Ankara highlight the questions of why the #US cannot use these same levers and why the Turks do not worry about them
#Ukraine's ability to strike inside #Russia, in towns like Belgorod, is now becoming routine
Read 42 tweets
Apr 18
Thread: 18 April 2022: Day 54 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
"'I screamed at the [#Russian] guards: "He is dying, he is dying." I tried with my bound feet to push a bottle of water towards him,' says Dima, visibly distressed. 'All they did was laugh and say: "If he dies, he dies. All Ukrainians must die".'" independent.co.uk/news/world/eur…
#pt: "For 10 days, survivors of this room – all civilians – say they were starved, tortured, subjected to multiple mock executions [by #Russian soldiers], threatened with rape and forced to sit in their own excrement by soldiers under Trostyanets station [in Sumy]."
Read 39 tweets
Apr 17
Thread: 17 April 2022: Day 53 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia: Sergei Erzhenkov, a journalist, attended a 4 March anti-war rally in Kasimov, where inter alia he filmed activists spray-painting "Putin — go away" on a Lenin statue. The FSB arrested him the next day and he says tortured him. themoscowtimes.com/2022/04/14/rus…
Read 33 tweets

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