John Quakes Profile picture
May 8, 2022 13 tweets 18 min read Read on X
1)The #Uranium #mining #stocks #investing thesis👨‍🏫 in May 2022 is now the most bullish it's been in 4 decades!🤠🐂 Here's a thread to bring you up to speed🏇 on how a record Uranium supply deficit⤵️⛏️ is colliding💥 with a global #Nuclear #Energy Renaissance.⤴️🌞🏗️⚛️ 🌊🏄‍♀️🧵4U👇2 Image
2)Entering 2022, #Nuclear fuel consultants UxC & TradeTech estimated 200M lbs of #Uranium demand versus only 135M lbs of mined supply for a ~65M lbs deficit for many years to come.↕️ #Nuclear utilities draw down inventory & rely on ~25M lbs of Secondary Supply to fill gap⛏️👇3 ImageImage
3)Then to make matters worse, #Russia invaded #Ukraine🪖 turning the #Nuclear fuel market on its head.🙃 Russia's 39% of global enriched #Uranium, 27% conversion & 14% of mined U supply are a target of emerging US & EU import bans & self-sanctioning by western utilities🇷🇺⛏️⛔️👇4 Image
4)Western pivot away from #Russia's #Uranium has triggered record-breaking spikes in UF6, Conversion & enrichment SWU prices as #Nuclear utilities scramble to find alternative supply in the west.🛒 Anti-Russia pivot cuts Secondary U Supply in half, adding to #SupplyShock😲⚛️🎇👇5 ImageImage
5)At same time, bans on Russian oil & gas have led to a pivot to #Nuclear, the key 24/7 #CarbonFree #energy able to mitigate a new #EnergyCrisis.🌞⚛️⚡️ UK & France now put #Nuclear at heart of their #EnergySecurity & #NetZero plans, while Belgium delays reactor closures.🤠🐂👇6 ImageImageImage
6)Suddenly, a wave of new unanticipated #Uranium demand🌊🏄‍♀️ has been added to a global #Nuclear build-out already underway to achieve #NetZero.🌞🏗️⚛️ On top of that, #SouthKorea reverses its planned nuclear phase-out while #Japan moves to accelerate restarts of its reactors.🏇👇7 ImageImageImageImage
7)China had already announced plans to build 150 new #Nuclear reactors by 2035, approving 6 new reactor builds in April.🌞 India has announced plans to triple its nuclear capacity, confirming 10 more builds plus 6 giant EPR reactors to be built with France. Poland too!⚛️🏗️⤴️👇8 ImageImageImageImage
8)Even the US is reversing its decades of #Nuclear decline by launching a $6 Billion program to halt premature reactor retirements.😲🎇🇺🇸 Anti-nuclear #California says it will apply to halt closure of its Diablo Canyon NPP as Michigan tries to save its Palisades plant too.🚨🚑👇9 ImageImageImageImage
9)Worldwide, plans to build mass-produced advanced Small Modular #Nuclear reactors (#SMR's) are moving into high gear.🏎️🧑‍🔬⚛️ Their #Uranium demand hasn't yet been added to demand models.😲 China, Canada, UK, US, Korea, France... over 70 designs in 18 countries today.🌞🏗️⚡️👇10 ImageImageImageImage
10)Global #Uranium demand is surging⤴️ but supply is in a deep structural deficit from years of under-investment.⤵️⛏️ No major new mines are coming online.🤯 Kazatomprom has capped its production at -20% thru 2023, while Cameco will only ramp up production to -41% by 2024.🐌👇11 ImageImageImageImage
11)Many forget too that #Uranium mines operating today are being depleted & must be replaced.😲 But with inflation driving up costs, #Uranium prices must nearly double to $80+/lb⏫ for lenders & miners to give green lights for new mines that will take many years to build.🏭🦥👇12 Image
12)#Uranium demand is now rising at an unprecedented rate⚛️📈 and pivot away from Russia adds new "secondary demand" thru a transition by western enrichers from underfeeding to overfeeding in order to replace lost Russian enrichment, driving need for even more mined U3O8.⛏️⤴️👇13 ImageImage
13)#Nuclear demand⚛️ vs #Uranium supply⛏️ fundamentals are "Best Ever"🤠🐂 but a global market correction⬇️ has driven shares of high quality U #mining #stocks into deep discounts💲⤵️ completely divorced from extremely bullish fundamentals🔀 & primed for a strong rebound.📈😃☘️💰 ImageImage

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More from @quakes99

Feb 12
If U are a newbie👶 unfamiliar with #Uranium, a commodity unlike any other with its own unique concepts & terminology such as #U3O8, Conversion, #UF6 & enrichment SWU😖 then this Tutorial thread👨‍🏫 on the #Nuclear fuel cycle♻️⚛️⛏️ may help U to ride the bull wave!🌊🏄🤠🐂🧵👇../2 Image
2) #Uranium is a very different fuel unlike #coal & #gas that are burned "as is" in #electricity power plants.🏭⚡️ #Nuclear fuel needs to be specially processed and then packaged into fuel rods that are then loaded into reactors to generate #CarbonFree electricity.🌞⚛️⚡️👇../3 Image
3)Mined #Uranium⛏️is processed into drums of Yellow Cake #U3O8🛢️that in the West are shipped🚢🚛 to plants in Canada, US & France for "Conversion" into a gas form called #UF6 which is then shipped in cylinders🚛 to plants in US & Europe for "Enrichment" into #Nuclear fuel⚛️👇../4 Image
Read 14 tweets
Jan 25
1) With #Uranium Explorers mobilizing for winter drilling in #Canada's #AthabascaBasin⛏️ it's time⏳ for a thread on how to interpret drill data🗒️ coming soon in news releases.📰 Misunderstanding data can lead to missed opportunities.💰😟 Maybe I can help U get ready!👨‍🏫🧵👇.../2 Image
2) #Uranium explorers drill rock core samples looking for signs of #U3O8 bearing ore.🧐 Rarely do they hit high-grade on first few attempts.😟 Geologists first look for visual signs in the core samples. Here's a description from pre-discovery 2013 drilling at $NXE's Arrow👇.../3

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3) Visual inspection of core samples is just 1 of many steps taken to see if #uranium is found. Presence of radioactivity is best indicator☢️ so all cores are scanned with an instrument called a Hand-held Scintillometer to produce "Scint" CPS tables for each core interval.🗒️.../4Image
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Read 11 tweets
Jan 16
If you've heard about #Uranium soaring past $100 to 16-year highs💯🎇🦻🐦 amidst a global #Nuclear #energy resurgence⤴️⚛️bringing unprecedented U demand⛏️🛒 and wonder how U can invest💵🤔 in U #mining #stocks famous for spectacular gains🎆💰😃 here's a🧵on ways U can play.🤠🐂👇 Image
If you're just beginning to invest in #Uranium #mining #stocks👶 then a great starter🥣 is #investing in a 100% Pure-Play Uranium ETF: $URNM 🇺🇸🇬🇧🇦🇺 or Horizons Global Uranium Index ETF $HURA 🇨🇦 giving U broad #U3O8 sector exposure⛏️😃 while U do your research📚🧐👇#Nuclear⚛️🤠🐂
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The world's largest and most liquid #Uranium ETF with $2.8 Billion AUM💰 is offered by Global X but is weighted at only 70% U #stocks⚠️ with the other 30% for #Nuclear component makers⚛️🏭 & generic miners⛏️at ticker $URA 🇺🇸 also offered as $URNU 🇬🇧 and $ATOM 🇦🇺 🤠🐂 Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 19, 2023
If you've heard about #Uranium breaking out to new 15-year highs🎇🦻🐦 amidst a global #Nuclear #energy resurgence⤴️⚛️ bringing unprecedented U demand⛏️🛒 and wonder how U can invest💵🤔 in U #mining #stocks famous for spectacular gains🎆💰😃 here's a🧵on the ways U can play.🤠👇 Image
If you're just beginning to invest in #Uranium #mining #stocks👶 then a great starter🥣 is #investing in a 100% Pure-Play Uranium ETF: $URNM 🇺🇸🇬🇧🇦🇺 or Horizons Global Uranium Index ETF $HURA 🇨🇦 giving U broad #U3O8 sector exposure⛏️😃 while U do your research📚🧐👇#Nuclear⚛️🤠🐂
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The world's largest and most liquid #Uranium ETF with $2.4 Billion AUM💰 is offered by Global X but is weighted at only 70% U #stocks⚠️ with the other 30% for #Nuclear component makers⚛️🏭 & generic miners⛏️at ticker $URA 🇺🇸 also offered as $URNU 🇬🇧 and $ATOM 🇦🇺 🤠🐂 Image
Read 12 tweets
Aug 27, 2023
If you've heard about a global #Nuclear #energy resurgence⤴️⚛️👂🐦 driving demand for #Uranium that's in a deep supply deficit⤵️⛏️ and wonder how U can invest💵🤔 in this tiny #mining #stocks sector famous for spectacular gains🎆💰😃 here's a🧵 on the various ways U can play.🤠👇 Image
To build your own #Uranium #mining #stocks portfolio📂 of #U3O8 equities traded in #Canada, #USA, #Australia & #UK🛒 U could choose from the holdings of 100% pure-play '@Sprott Uranium Miners ETF' $URNM 🇺🇸🇦🇺🇬🇧🛒⚛️⛏️🤠🐂 #Nuclear #investing #NetZero #ESG🏄‍♂️ sprottetfs.com/urnm-sprott-ur…

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Lowest risk #Uranium #investing option🦺 is a Fund that stacks raw #Nuclear fuel #U3O8🏦⚛️ providing direct 1-to-1 exposure to U3O8 Spot price.📈👯 In North America that's @Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (TSX: $U.UN $U.U OTC: $SRUUF)🇺🇸🇨🇦 & in #UK Yellow Cake plc (AIM: $YCA)🇬🇧🛒⛏️
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Read 12 tweets
Jul 16, 2023
Quantifying #Uranium demand:🧵🛒⚛️⛏️🧮 I see investors using a wide range of figures when it comes to calculating estimates for U demand.↕️ What are the sources of Uranium demand today & in future, apart from what's consumed each year by #Nuclear reactors?🤔 Let's explore!🧑‍🏫../2 Image
2) First let's make sure we understand the terms used to express #Uranium quantities.🤬 #Nuclear fuel requirements are usually quoted as 'metric tonnes of U' => 'MT U' or 'tU' ⚖️ but miners fill drums of yellow cake🛢️ which is #U3O8 that's not pure U so we must convert.🧮../3 Image
3) TradeTech provides a handy conversion table to convert #Uranium quantities between tU & lbs #U3O8.📊 One tU is contained in 2599.79 lbs of #U3O8, so if a reactor consumes 200 tU per year it needs approx 200x2600 = 520,000 lbs drummed #U3O8 to supply that.🛢️⚛️⛏️ Got it?😀 ../4 Image
Read 12 tweets

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