Anas Alhajji Profile picture
May 20 4 tweets 3 min read
Short thread: As China reopens, oil prices may NOT increase!
1-4 Will oil prices increase as #China opens up?
a- It depends on how the increase in demand is met: If China uses the SPR that was built in recent weeks, then the impact on prices is limited.
#Oil #OOTT #COM #Rusia
2-4
b- If China increases imports, prices might increase as long as the imports are from countries other than Russia. If crude inventories start building up, Russian discounts will start affecting prices globally, especially if competition for market share in China heats up
3-4
c- The most likely scenario is a combination of all the above, leading to a very limited increase in prices.

d- In case of a recession in the US or EU or both, reopening in China will NOT increase oil prices.
#China #Russia #OIl #OOTT
4-4 If petroleum products exports from China & India go back to normal, they case ease global product shortages.
However, a prolonged heatwave in China & the Middle East would bring diesel & fuel oil prices to record highs.

The most bullish factor in the summer is the weather!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Anas Alhajji

Anas Alhajji Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @anasalhajji

May 16
Thread on the risks of Europ's increased dependence on US LNG
1- Among the pillars of energy security:
a- Diversification of energy sources
b- Diversification of energy imports
c- Low volatility of energy prices
d- Affordability and reliability
#Russia #Natgas #LNG #EU
2- Answer the following:
a- Who benefited the most from stopping Nordstearm 2?
b- Who was the Marketing-in-Cheif of US LNG?
c- Who took advantage of Russian invasion of Ukraine to secure US LNG market share in Europe?
d- Which country is the largest gas exporter to Europe now?
3- Europe has not learned its lesson... yet!

- All they are doing now is shifting dependence from the "mined" fossil fuels to the "mined" minerals needed for the "claimed" carbon neutrality.
and most importantly: shifting Europe's dependence from Russian gas to US gas!
#Russia
Read 13 tweets
May 13
Short thread on inflation
1- I have been listening to what experts have been saying about inflation & its impact on various parts of the economy in recent weeks. Many think inflation is a modern phenomenon & somehow the FED, fiat money, or capitalism created it. #Inflation
2- Inflation is old.. thousands of years old, when people used all kinds of things as money. Inflation existed even when gold & silver were used as money.
The main reason for my thread today is this:
Anglosaxon experts must read about inflation in other languages & cultures.
3- The quantity theory of money was NOT introduced in Europe in the 17th century as European books claim. It was introduced in Egypt 300 years earlier in a book written by a scholar called: Al-Maqrizi
#Inflation #Money #Egypt #Economics
Read 15 tweets
May 12
Ready for some fun?
On this day, May 11, 2007
The fastest motorized Sofa was recorded and registered in the Guinness Book of World Records
The rear-engined couch was commissioned by sofa .com and built by Auto Trader TV show presenter Edd China.
see videos below
#Cars #Fun
Guinness World Records Day 2008 - Edd China Drives The Fastest Bed
Read 4 tweets
May 11
Thread of news items related to #NOPEC
#OPEC #OOTT #COM #Oil
1- Trump calls on Russia and Saudi Arabia to cut oil production
politico.com/news/2020/04/0…
2- Trump told Saudi: Cut oil supply or lose U.S. military support - sources
reuters.com/article/us-glo…
3- OPEC and allies’ oil production cut is Trump’s ‘biggest and most complex’ deal ever: Dan Yergin

cnbc.com/2020/04/13/ope…
Read 6 tweets
Apr 1
سلسلة تغريدات تتعلق بوقف أوبك الاعتماد على بيانات وكالة الطاقة الدولية، وهي من مقال نشر في 29 سبتمبر، 2009، في جريدة الاقتصادية السعودية:
1- ماحصل أمس كان يجب أن يحصل منذ سنوات طويلة.. لأن بيانات وتوقعات الوكالة كانت خاطئة، مجيّرة، وعلميا غير مقبولة.
#النفط #أوبك
2- نجح الغرب في منهجة بعض الكتابات حتى اكتسبت الصفة الأكاديمية والعلمية, رغم أنها كتابات تفتقر إلى أصول البحث العلمي. لقد استطاع الغرب أكدمة العداء للعالم العربي من خلال هذه الكتابات، لدرجة أن رسائل الدكتوراة التي يكتبها الطلاب العرب في الجامعات الغربية أصبحت ''من فمك أدينك''!
3- أما مؤتمرات النفط الخليجية التي عقدت في الأعوام الماضية في العواصم الخليجية فقد أصبحت مجالاً للتندر لأنها تعقد في عقر دار الدول النفطية وتتبنى آراء وكالة الطاقة الدولية والدول الغربية وأغلب متحدثيها من مؤصلي الفكر الغربي المعادي للعرب!
Read 7 tweets
Feb 25
Thread on the effects of the #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine on global energy markets
1- Will oil prices continue to rise? Will they remain high? Will they decline? The answer depends on the types of additional sanctions that might be imposed in the coming g days by the US & EU. Image
2- This raises another question: what can the Biden's & EU governments do? The answer consists of two parts. The first relates to the ineffectiveness of sanctions. The second relates to the dependence of the US & Europe on Russian energy sources & other materials such as pig iron
3- The main objective of economic sanctions is to force the opponent to change his/her position on something. The academic literature shows that sanctions in the last 120, although painful, failed to achieve their “declared” goals. #OOTT #Russia
Read 22 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(